๐ New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 19 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 20 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 176 unique markets across 16 new events, plus 3,641 recurring bracket markets.
โก What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes โ i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 77ยฐ or above bid 2ยข / ask 3ยข, 76ยฐ or above bid 19ยข / ask 20ยข, 75ยฐ or above bid 66ยข / ask 67ยข
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 68ยฐ or above bid 86ยข / ask 87ยข, 67ยฐ or above bid 98ยข / ask 99ยข, 70ยฐ or above bid 1ยข / ask 3ยข
Temperature in Austin on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 79ยฐ or above bid 2ยข / ask 3ยข, 78ยฐ or above bid 10ยข / ask 11ยข, 77ยฐ or above bid 63ยข / ask 64ยข
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 73ยฐ or above bid 1ยข / ask 2ยข, 72ยฐ or above bid 1ยข / ask 2ยข, 71ยฐ or above bid 14ยข / ask 15ยข
Temperature in New York City on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?: 70ยฐ or above bid 10ยข / ask 11ยข, 69ยฐ or above bid 48ยข / ask 49ยข, 68ยฐ or above bid 87ยข / ask 88ยข
All Events โ every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026?
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
All New Events
๐น Financials โ 6 events, 76 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026? โ 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026? โ 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026? โ 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026? โ 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 21, 2026? โ 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.8130 โ listed Jul 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
๐ค๏ธ Climate and Weather โ 10 events, 100 markets
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Temperature in Austin on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Temperature in New York City on Jul 20, 2026 at 10am EDT? โ 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet ยท Jul 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 80ยฐ or above | โ |
| 79ยฐ or above | โ |
| 78ยฐ or above | bid 3ยข / ask 5ยข |
| 77ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 3ยข |
| 76ยฐ or above | bid 19ยข / ask 20ยข |
| 75ยฐ or above | bid 66ยข / ask 67ยข |
| 74ยฐ or above | bid 90ยข / ask 91ยข |
| 73ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 72ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 71ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 71ยฐ or above | โ |
| 70ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 3ยข |
| 69ยฐ or above | bid 30ยข / ask 40ยข |
| 68ยฐ or above | bid 86ยข / ask 87ยข |
| 67ยฐ or above | bid 98ยข / ask 99ยข |
| 66ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 65ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 64ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 63ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 62ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in Austin on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 80ยฐ or above | last 1ยข (book empty) |
| 79ยฐ or above | bid 2ยข / ask 3ยข |
| 78ยฐ or above | bid 10ยข / ask 11ยข |
| 77ยฐ or above | bid 63ยข / ask 64ยข |
| 76ยฐ or above | bid 62ยข / ask 63ยข |
| 75ยฐ or above | bid 88ยข / ask 89ยข |
| 74ยฐ or above | bid 98ยข / ask 99ยข |
| 73ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 72ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 71ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 75ยฐ or above | last 1ยข (book empty) |
| 74ยฐ or above | last 1ยข (book empty) |
| 73ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 2ยข |
| 72ยฐ or above | bid 1ยข / ask 2ยข |
| 71ยฐ or above | bid 14ยข / ask 15ยข |
| 70ยฐ or above | bid 33ยข / ask 34ยข |
| 69ยฐ or above | bid 98ยข / ask 99ยข |
| 68ยฐ or above | bid 98ยข / ask 99ยข |
| 67ยฐ or above | bid 98ยข / ask 99ยข |
| 66ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
Temperature in New York City on Jul 20, 2026 at 9am EDT? โ 10 brackets โ listed Jul 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 74ยฐ or above | โ |
| 73ยฐ or above | โ |
| 72ยฐ or above | โ |
| 71ยฐ or above | โ |
| 70ยฐ or above | bid 10ยข / ask 11ยข |
| 69ยฐ or above | bid 48ยข / ask 49ยข |
| 68ยฐ or above | bid 87ยข / ask 88ยข |
| 67ยฐ or above | bid 97ยข / ask 98ยข |
| 66ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
| 65ยฐ or above | bid 99ยข (no asks) |
๐ Recurring Markets
3,641 recurring markets also launched โ these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| ๐น Financials | 3,341 | 8 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +5 more |
| ๐ค๏ธ Climate and Weather | 240 | 40 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +37 more |
| ๐ Economics | 50 | 3 | TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, US gas price |
| ๐ฌ Science and Technology | 10 | 1 | B200 Monthly Price |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.