📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 21 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 22 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 829 unique markets across 66 new events, plus 4,057 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist: SIENNA SPIRO, salute, Rob49 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Love Island UK: Wednesday Elimination: Priya bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Mica bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Yasmine last 1¢ (book empty)
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?: Before Jan 1, 2030 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?: Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?: 4.4% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 4.38% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, 4.6% or above bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?: 4.23% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 4.29% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, 4.27% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- European Central Bank rate decision in September
- EV commodity prices on Jul 23, 2026
- How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
- How many companies will go bankrupt this year?
- How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
- Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026
- US SPR level for the week ending July 24, 2026
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Austin on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in New York City on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
- Dharmendra Pradhan announces departure as Minister of Education?
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
- What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
- When will a reconciliation bill become law?
- Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
- Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?
- Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?
- Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?
- Will new tariffs become law?
- Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
- Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
- FIFA World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership
- Grammy nominees: Record of the Year
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- Love Island UK: Wednesday Elimination
- Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor
- Oscar nominees: Best Visual Effects
- Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026
- Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models
- Who will have a #1 album this year?
- Who will headline Coachella 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026?
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- Google headcount in 2026
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
- Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Which companies will be acquired this year?
- Will Reddit renew data licensing with Google?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?: Gianni Infantino (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 1 market
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026: Above 314 million (bid 70¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 3 markets
Best AI in Oct 2026?: Kimi — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 10:17 PM ET
Best AI in Sep 2026?: Kimi — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 10:16 PM ET
Best AI in Aug 2026?: Kimi — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 10:14 PM ET
📊 Economics — 9 events, 55 markets
EV commodity prices on Jul 23, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
US SPR level for the week ending July 24, 2026 — 10 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 318M | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 316M | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 314M | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 312M | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 310M | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 308M | bid 28¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 306M | bid 48¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 304M | bid 62¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 302M | bid 77¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 300M | bid 85¢ / ask 92¢ |
How many companies will go bankrupt this year? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 900 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 950 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 1,000 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 1,050 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 1,100 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 1,150 | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 1,200 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 52¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 32¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
European Central Bank rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 3:28 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 440 | bid 62¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 450 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least 500 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least 550 | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 600 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? — 4 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 9:52 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 200 billion | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 150 billion | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 100 billion | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| At least 50 billion | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? — 2 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 2 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least 1 | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026 — 2 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | bid 10¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 3.5% | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 35 markets
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — 10 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Roybal v. Griffith | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Republican National Committee v. Eakin | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Duncan v. Bonta | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
When will a reconciliation bill become law? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 29¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 10:56 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 76¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 52¢ / ask 58¢ |
Will new tariffs become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 24¢ / ask 27¢ |
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 42¢ / ask 49¢ |
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 64¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET
Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 42¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 9:55 PM ET
Dharmendra Pradhan announces departure as Minister of Education?: Before Sep 1, 2026 (bid 49¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 9:05 PM ET
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 11 events, 103 markets
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Austin on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in New York City on Jul 22, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Temperature in Washington DC on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 90° or above | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 89° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 88° or above | bid 16¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 87° or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 86° or above | bid 78¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 85° or above | bid 83¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 84° or above | bid 58¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 83° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 82° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 81° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in Los Angeles on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 81° or above | — |
| 80° or above | — |
| 79° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 78° or above | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 77° or above | bid 39¢ / ask 50¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 82¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in Austin on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 100° or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 99° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 98° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 97° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 106° or above | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| 105° or above | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| 104° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 103° or above | bid 29¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 102° or above | bid 80¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 101° or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in Chicago on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 76° or above | — |
| 75° or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 74° or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 73° or above | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 72° or above | bid 29¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 71° or above | bid 80¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 70° or above | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 69° or above | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| 68° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 67° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Temperature in New York City on Jul 22, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 86° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 85° or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 84° or above | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 83° or above | bid 36¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 82° or above | bid 68¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 81° or above | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 80° or above | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 78° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 77° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 22, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2029, Before 2028, Before 2027
🎬 Entertainment — 12 events, 125 markets
Grammy Winner: Best New Artist — 67 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yazmin Lacey | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Whitney | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Wednesday | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Viagra Boys | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Thee Sacred Souls | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sudan Archives | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Slayyyter | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Skye Newman | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SIENNA SPIRO | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Say Now | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sasha Keable | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sammy Virji | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| salute | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| SAILORR | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Rochelle Jordan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Rob49 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Renee Rapp | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Remy Bond | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| PARTYOF2 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Oklou | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| October London | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Nourished By Time | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ninajirachi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Nami | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ms Banks | last 1¢ (book empty) |
+ 42 more outcomes
Vogue (US) 2026: Cover Models — 30 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:59 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zoë Kravitz | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Venus Williams | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Tyla | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Teyana Taylor | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Taylor Swift | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Sydney Sweeney | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Selena Gomez | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Rihanna | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Pamela Anderson | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Nicole Kidman | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Miley Cyrus | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Margot Robbie | bid 6¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Lady Gaga | bid 6¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Kendall Jenner | bid 14¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Jennie | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Jenna Ortega | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Jennifer Lawrence | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Hailey Bieber | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Florence Pugh | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Dua Lipa | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Coco Gauff | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Chappell Roan | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Charli xcx | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Billie Eilish | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
+ 5 more outcomes
Love Island UK: Wednesday Elimination — 13 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| None | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Mica | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Julia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 2¢ (book empty) |
FIFA World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership — 6 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 50.0M | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Above 45.0M | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| Above 53.0M | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Above 55.0M | bid 1¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 57.0M | bid 1¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 60.0M | bid 1¢ / ask 24¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| John Leguizamo | bid 33¢ / ask 39¢ |
| James Ortiz | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
Who will headline Coachella 2027?: Miley Cyrus (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET
Time's Person of the Year for 2026: Xi Jinping (bid 7¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
Who will have a #1 album this year?: Phoebe Bridgers — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET
Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026: Erling Haaland — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 2:49 PM ET
Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: James Ortiz (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Visual Effects: The Odyssey — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
Grammy nominees: Record of the Year: WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
💹 Financials — 18 events, 506 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 23¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 23, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,370 | bid 19¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,365 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,360 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,355 | bid 22¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,350 | bid 22¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,345 | bid 23¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,340 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,335 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,330 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,325 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,320 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,315 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,310 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $52,305 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $52,300 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $52,295 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $52,290 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $52,285 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $52,280 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $52,275 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $52,270 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $52,265 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $52,260 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $52,255 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $52,250 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
+ 35 more
30Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.29% or above | — |
| 5.27% or above | — |
| 5.25% or above | — |
| 5.23% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 5.21% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 5.19% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 5.17% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 70¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 5.13% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.11% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.09% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.07% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 5.03% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.79% or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 4.77% or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 4.75% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 59¢ / ask 66¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 75¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.51% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.64% or above | — |
| 4.62% or above | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| 4.6% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 4.58% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.56% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 4.54% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 4.52% or above | bid 71¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.48% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.46% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.44% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.42% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.38% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.36% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.49% or above | — |
| 4.47% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 4.43% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 69¢ |
| 4.39% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.29% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.27% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.23% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.21% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 23, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.39% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.29% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.27% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.23% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.21% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.19% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.17% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 4.13% or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 4.11% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 54 TWh | bid 80¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 55 TWh | bid 64¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 56 TWh | bid 52¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 57 TWh | bid 39¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 58 TWh | bid 25¢ / ask 32¢ |
Which companies will be acquired this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 7:11 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| MGM Resorts | bid 69¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Brown-Forman | bid 21¢ / ask 33¢ |
Google headcount in 2026: Above 212000 (bid 16¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
Will Reddit renew data licensing with Google?: Yes (bid 31¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.1424 — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026: Above 54000 (bid 75¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Jul 21, 2026 at 7:28 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,057 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,320 | 7 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 306 | 12 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +9 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 260 | 41 | Where will it rain daily, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +38 more |
| 📊 Economics | 169 | 13 | US gas price up, CoinMarketCap Total Market Cap , Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index, +10 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 2 | 1 | Judges confirmed |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.