📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 22 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 23 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 538 unique markets across 38 new events, plus 3,712 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Robinhood funded customers in 2026: Above 36 million bid 5¢ / ask 7¢, Above 35 million bid 37¢ / ask 39¢, Above 36.6 million ask 7¢ (no bids)
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?: 100% or above bid 1¢ / ask 6¢, 10% or above bid 92¢ / ask 99¢, 50% or above bid 7¢ / ask 14¢
Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Anne Hathaway — bid 21¢ / ask 27¢
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?: Formal 16-year extension bid 70¢ / ask 77¢, U.S. withdrawal notice bid 21¢ / ask 29¢, U.S.–Mexico interim agreement bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026: Above 4375 bid 71¢ / ask 78¢, Above 4385 bid 47¢ / ask 54¢
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT: At least $51,795 bid 34¢ / ask 42¢, At least $51,790 bid 35¢ / ask 43¢, At least $51,785 bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 12pm EDT: At least $51,795 bid 33¢ / ask 41¢, At least $51,790 bid 34¢ / ask 42¢, At least $51,785 bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?
- Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
- What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
- What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
- What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
- What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
- What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
- What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
- When will Trump release more UFO files?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026?
- Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
- Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2
- Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
- Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2
- Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- First Solar megawatts sold in Q2
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Hims subscribers in 2026
- Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
- Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
- Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026
- Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 2 markets
SpaceX Starship 13th launch? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 4:11 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before July 25th | bid 73¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Before July 26th | bid 66¢ / ask 89¢ |
🏢 Companies — 2 events, 7 markets
Robinhood funded customers in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 35 million | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 36 million | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 36.2 million | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 36.4 million | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 36.6 million | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 — 2 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4385 | bid 47¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 4375 | bid 71¢ / ask 78¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 13 markets
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026? — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET
CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 14 markets
Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination — 13 outcomes — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| None | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Julia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Anne Hathaway (bid 21¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 40 markets
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| U.S. withdrawal notice | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| U.S.–Mexico interim agreement | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| U.S.–Canada interim agreement | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Trilateral revised deal | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Mexican withdrawal notice | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Canadian withdrawal notice | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Formal USMCA amendment | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Formal 16-year extension | bid 70¢ / ask 77¢ |
When will Trump release more UFO files? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 27, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Before Aug 31, 2026 | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before Aug 24, 2026 | bid 76¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before Aug 17, 2026 | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Before Aug 10, 2026 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Before Aug 3, 2026 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET
Tracking: 10% or above, 50% or above, 40% or above, 30% or above, 20% or above
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 100% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 10% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 50% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 30% or above | bid 28¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 20% or above | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Tracking: 10% or above, 50% or above, 30% or above, 20% or above
What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 11:58 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 10% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 30% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 20% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
Tracking: 10% or above, 30% or above, 20% or above
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 11:51 AM ET
Tracking: 10% or above, 30% or above, 20% or above
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?: Before Jan 1, 2031 (bid 81¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET
Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 20¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?: Yes (bid 37¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET
💹 Financials — 20 events, 462 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $51,795 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $51,790 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $51,785 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $51,780 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $51,775 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $51,770 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $51,765 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $51,760 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $51,755 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $51,750 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $51,745 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $51,740 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $51,735 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $51,730 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $51,725 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $51,720 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $51,715 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $51,710 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $51,705 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $51,700 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $51,695 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $51,690 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $51,685 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $51,680 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $51,675 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $51,795 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $51,790 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $51,785 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $51,780 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $51,775 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $51,770 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $51,765 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $51,760 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $51,755 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $51,750 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $51,745 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $51,740 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $51,735 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $51,730 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $51,725 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $51,720 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $51,715 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $51,710 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $51,705 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $51,700 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $51,695 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $51,690 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $51,685 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $51,680 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $51,675 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Jul 24, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $51,795 | — |
| At least $51,790 | last 30¢ (book empty) |
| At least $51,785 | — |
| At least $51,780 | — |
| At least $51,775 | — |
| At least $51,770 | — |
| At least $51,765 | — |
| At least $51,760 | — |
| At least $51,755 | — |
| At least $51,750 | — |
| At least $51,745 | — |
| At least $51,740 | — |
| At least $51,735 | — |
| At least $51,730 | — |
| At least $51,725 | — |
| At least $51,720 | — |
| At least $51,715 | — |
| At least $51,710 | — |
| At least $51,705 | — |
| At least $51,700 | last 54¢ (book empty) |
| At least $51,695 | — |
| At least $51,690 | — |
| At least $51,685 | — |
| At least $51,680 | — |
| At least $51,675 | — |
+ 35 more
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 9:08 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 13 TWh | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 13.5 TWh | bid 61¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 14 TWh | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 14.5 TWh | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 15 twh | ask 59¢ (no bids) |
| Above 15.5 twh | ask 59¢ (no bids) |
| Above 16 twh | ask 59¢ (no bids) |
Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Jul 22, 2026 at 9:06 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 59 TWh | ask 32¢ (no bids) |
| Above 60 TWh | ask 32¢ (no bids) |
| Above 61 TWh | ask 32¢ (no bids) |
| Above 62 TWh | ask 32¢ (no bids) |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2 — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET
Tracking: Above -12%, Above -13%, Above -14%
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET
Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 87.5% | ask 40¢ (no bids) |
| Above 88% | ask 40¢ (no bids) |
| Above 88.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 40¢ |
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 40.4 million | bid 41¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 40.3 million | bid 41¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 40.2 million | bid 41¢ / ask 99¢ |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 56000 | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
| Above 58000 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above 60000 | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
Tracking: Above -7%, Above -8%, Above -9%
Hims subscribers in 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
First Solar megawatts sold in Q2 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 23, 2026 at 1:06 PM ET
Tracking: Above -2%, Above -3%, Above -4%
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.2731 — listed Jul 23, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,712 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,292 | 9 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +6 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 366 | 48 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +45 more |
| 📊 Economics | 52 | 7 | US gas price up, Weekly initial jobless claims, WEF tweets, +4 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 2 | 2 | Will Album be runner up this week?, Netflix TV ranking |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.