📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 24 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 25 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 63 unique markets across 9 new events, plus 393 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026: Below 4.6 million sq km bid 83¢ / ask 90¢, Below 4.5 million sq km bid 74¢ / ask 81¢, Below 4.4 million sq km bid 65¢ / ask 72¢
Hurricane Genevieve category?: Category 3 or above bid 61¢ / ask 99¢, Category 2 or above bid 99¢ (no asks), Category 1 or above bid 99¢ (no asks)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 9 events, 63 markets
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 4.8 million sq km | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Below 4.6 million sq km | bid 83¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Below 4.5 million sq km | bid 74¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Below 4.4 million sq km | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Below 4.3 million sq km | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Below 4.2 million sq km | bid 48¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Below 4.0 million sq km | bid 39¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Below 3.8 million sq km | bid 30¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Below 3.6 million sq km | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
Rain in San Francisco in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Dallas in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Seattle in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Houston in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Los Angeles in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Austin in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Miami in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Hurricane Genevieve category? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Category 5 or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Category 4 or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Category 3 or above | bid 61¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Category 2 or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Category 1 or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
393 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 374 | 48 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +45 more |
| 📊 Economics | 17 | 1 | US gas price up |
| 💹 Financials | 2 | 2 | INXDUD, NASDAQDUD |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.