📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 25 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 26 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 71 unique markets across 11 new events, plus 403 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026: Below 4.6 million sq km bid 85¢ / ask 89¢, Below 4.8 million sq km bid 92¢ / ask 97¢, Below 4.5 million sq km bid 75¢ / ask 80¢
Rain in San Francisco in Aug 2026?: Above 7 inches, Above 6 inches, Above 5 inches all at bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
Rain in Los Angeles in Aug 2026?: Above 7 inches, Above 6 inches, Above 5 inches all at bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Rain in Seattle in Aug 2026?: Above 7 inches, Above 6 inches, Above 5 inches all at bid 2¢ / ask 29¢
Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?: Above 7 inches bid 2¢ / ask 31¢, Above 1 inch bid 66¢ / ask 98¢
Hurricane Genevieve category?: Category 4 or above bid 35¢ / ask 99¢, Category 2 or above bid 99¢ (no asks), Category 1 or above bid 99¢ (no asks)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
💹 Financials — 1 event, 1 market
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.4640 — listed Jul 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 7 markets
USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026 — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 8:50 PM ET
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 9 events, 63 markets
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 4.8 million sq km | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Below 4.6 million sq km | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Below 4.5 million sq km | bid 75¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Below 4.4 million sq km | bid 66¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Below 4.3 million sq km | bid 58¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Below 4.2 million sq km | bid 49¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Below 4.0 million sq km | bid 40¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Below 3.8 million sq km | bid 31¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Below 3.6 million sq km | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
Rain in San Francisco in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 1 inch | — |
Rain in Dallas in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Seattle in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 3 inches | — |
| Above 2 inches | — |
| Above 1 inch | — |
Rain in Houston in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Los Angeles in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 1 inch | — |
Rain in Austin in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
Rain in Miami in Aug 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 6 inches | — |
| Above 5 inches | — |
| Above 4 inches | — |
| Above 3 inches | — |
| Above 2 inches | — |
| Above 1 inch | bid 66¢ / ask 98¢ |
Hurricane Genevieve category? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 25, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Category 5 or above | last 4¢ (book empty) |
| Category 4 or above | bid 35¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Category 3 or above | bid 86¢ (no asks) |
| Category 2 or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Category 1 or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🔄 Recurring Markets
403 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 374 | 48 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +45 more |
| 📊 Economics | 29 | 3 | US gas price up, USD share of global foreign exchange reserves, US gas price |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.