📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 13 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 14 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 213 unique markets across 18 new events, plus 4,211 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Diesel prices this week: Above $6.10, Above $6.08, Above $6.06 all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026: Above 1222.00 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1212.00 bid 5¢ / ask 7¢, Above 1172.00 bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?: United Kingdom bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, UAE bid 65¢ / ask 66¢, Taiwan bid 59¢ / ask 60¢
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes — bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?: Yes — bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes — bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Open Source market share on Sep 14th: Above 85% bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above 82.5% bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Above 80% bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026
- Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 9 markets
Open Source market share on Sep 14th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 87.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 85% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 82.5% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 80% | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 77.5% | bid 23¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 75% | bid 40¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 72.5% | bid 53¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 70% | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 67.5% | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Todo Lo Fue, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, LISA - SaWaDiKa (Dance Performance Video), KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Todo Lo Fue, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, LISA - SaWaDiKa (Dance Performance Video), KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song), Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, Backdoor, AH HA
📊 Economics — 4 events, 69 markets
Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Sep 14, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.44 | bid 39¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above $6.42 | bid 49¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $6.40 | bid 58¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above $6.38 | bid 67¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $6.36 | bid 75¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above $6.34 | bid 81¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above $6.32 | bid 86¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $6.30 | bid 89¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.28 | bid 91¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.26 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.24 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.22 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.20 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.18 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.16 | bid 92¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $6.14 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.12 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.10 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.08 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.06 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.04 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 14, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.280 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.275 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.270 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.265 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.260 | bid 12¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $6.255 | bid 18¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $6.250 | bid 19¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.245 | bid 21¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.240 | bid 21¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.235 | bid 28¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.230 | bid 39¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.225 | bid 53¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.220 | bid 48¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.215 | bid 49¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.210 | bid 53¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.205 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.200 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.195 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.190 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.185 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.180 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1282.00 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1272.00 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1262.00 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1252.00 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1242.00 | ask 54¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1232.00 | ask 69¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1222.00 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1212.00 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 1202.00 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 1192.00 | bid 34¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 1182.00 | bid 77¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 1172.00 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1162.00 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1152.00 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1142.00 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? — 12 outcomes — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| United Kingdom | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| UAE | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Taiwan | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Saudi Arabia | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Norway | bid 42¢ / ask 54¢ |
| South Korea | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Japan | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| India | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| France | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Mainland China | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Canada | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Brazil | bid 46¢ / ask 70¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 15 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 14, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 38.9% | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 14¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 42¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 39.1% | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 39.0% | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 38.9% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 39.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
New Scottish referendum — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 13, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
Tracking: Before 2028, Before 2029, Before 2030
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes (bid 23¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?: Yes (bid 17¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?: Yes (bid 23¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Sep 13, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
💹 Financials — 5 events, 75 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 15, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,211 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,429 | 7 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 433 | 65 | Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +62 more |
| 📊 Economics | 334 | 20 | TSA check-ins this week, Massachusetts gas price, Tennessee gas price, +17 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.