📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 09 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 10 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 159 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 3,751 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.250 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.295 bid 15¢ / ask 85¢
EV commodity prices on Aug 10, 2026: Above 1277.25 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1267.25 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1257.25 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
MN-07 Democratic nominee?: Steve Carlson — bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
MN-07 Democratic nominee?: Steve Carlson (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Aug 09, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.350 | — |
| Above $5.345 | — |
| Above $5.340 | — |
| Above $5.335 | — |
| Above $5.330 | — |
| Above $5.325 | — |
| Above $5.320 | — |
| Above $5.315 | — |
| Above $5.310 | — |
| Above $5.305 | — |
| Above $5.300 | — |
| Above $5.295 | bid 15¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above $5.290 | — |
| Above $5.285 | — |
| Above $5.280 | — |
| Above $5.275 | — |
| Above $5.270 | — |
| Above $5.265 | — |
| Above $5.260 | — |
| Above $5.255 | — |
| Above $5.250 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
EV commodity prices on Aug 10, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 09, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1307.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1297.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1287.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1277.25 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1267.25 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1257.25 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 1247.25 | bid 25¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 1237.25 | bid 55¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 1227.25 | bid 69¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 1217.25 | bid 82¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 1207.25 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1197.25 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1187.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1177.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1167.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa, Sunflower, Si Antes Te Hubiera Conocido, Shararat, Life Goes On, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Bairan
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa, Sunflower, Si Antes Te Hubiera Conocido, Shararat, Life Goes On, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Bairan
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: You, Todo Lo Fue, The Verity Band - Be My Friend (official song), Sunflower, Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio], Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio], Life Goes On, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, FDO, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Beat It
💹 Financials — 7 events, 77 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7227 — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
How high will the CAC 40 get in August 2026?: At least €8,900 — listed Aug 09, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,751 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,310 | 6 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +3 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 46 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more |
| 📊 Economics | 66 | 5 | TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, Employment Combo, +2 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.