Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, Luxon Departure, UFO Files

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 10 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 11 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 808 unique markets across 57 new events, plus 3,983 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather

1 event

6 markets

📊 Economics

3 events

41 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

4 events

34 markets

🎬 Entertainment

4 events

46 markets

🏛️ Politics

8 events

36 markets

🗳️ Elections

8 events

42 markets

💹 Financials

29 events

603 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.295 bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Above $5.290 bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Above $5.285 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?: Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, Before Nov 7, 2026 bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 43¢ / ask 45¢

EV commodity prices on Aug 11, 2026: Above 1278.83 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1268.83 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1218.83 bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City?: Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Jan 1, 2030 bid 39¢ / ask 41¢

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?: Tom Emmer bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Steve Scalise bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Pete Aguilar bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

When will Trump release more UFO files?: Before Oct 2, 2026 bid 81¢ / ask 82¢, Before Sep 25, 2026 bid 77¢ / ask 79¢, Before Sep 4, 2026 bid 36¢ / ask 38¢

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?: Tom Cotton bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, John Barrasso bid 4¢ / ask 6¢, Chris Van Hollen bid 3¢ / ask 6¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Sep 1, 2026?

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 6 markets

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Sep 1, 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 9:32 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
7.5+	bid 22¢ / ask 24¢
7.6+	bid 17¢ / ask 23¢
7.7+	bid 9¢ / ask 15¢
7.8+	bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
7.9+	bid 5¢ / ask 13¢
8.0+	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢

📊 Economics — 3 events, 41 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $5.370	—
Above $5.365	—
Above $5.360	—
Above $5.355	—
Above $5.350	—
Above $5.345	—
Above $5.340	ask 87¢ (no bids)
Above $5.335	—
Above $5.330	—
Above $5.325	—
Above $5.320	—
Above $5.315	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above $5.310	bid 12¢ (no asks)
Above $5.305	—
Above $5.300	—
Above $5.295	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Above $5.290	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Above $5.285	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.280	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.275	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.270	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Aug 11, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1308.83	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1298.83	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1288.83	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1278.83	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1268.83	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1258.83	bid 22¢ / ask 34¢
Above 1248.83	bid 25¢ / ask 30¢
Above 1238.83	bid 49¢ / ask 70¢
Above 1228.83	bid 73¢ / ask 84¢
Above 1218.83	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 1208.83	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1198.83	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1188.83	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1178.83	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1168.83	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 34 markets

Top Chinese AI Company week of August 17th — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Xiaomi	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Tencent	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Moonshot	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
DeepSeek	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
ByteDance	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Baidu	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Alibaba	bid 84¢ / ask 87¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Most popular AI this week — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Xiaomi	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Tencent	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
OpenAI	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Google	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
DeepSeek	bid 66¢ / ask 73¢
Anthropic	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 46 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: เพราะพี่รักจริง, Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa, Sunflower, Sheesha, Shararat, Life Goes On, KALYANI (Remix), Jaiye Sajana, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Bairan

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Todo Lo Fue, The Verity Band - Be My Friend (official song), Sunflower, Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio], Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio], Life Goes On, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Ghetto Love Story, FDO, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Beat It

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Who will headline Coachella 2027?: Tame Impala (bid 4¢ / ask 41¢) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 8 events, 36 markets

When will Trump release more UFO files? — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 25, 2026	bid 77¢ / ask 79¢
Before Sep 18, 2026	bid 69¢ / ask 74¢
Before Sep 11, 2026	bid 57¢ / ask 61¢
Before Sep 4, 2026	bid 36¢ / ask 38¢
Before Oct 2, 2026	bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
Before Aug 28, 2026	bid 21¢ / ask 25¢
Before Aug 21, 2026	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢

How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House? — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 400	bid 5¢ / ask 12¢
Above 375	bid 14¢ / ask 18¢
Above 350	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Above 325	bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Above 300	bid 42¢ / ask 46¢
Above 275	bid 54¢ / ask 57¢
Above 250	bid 71¢ / ask 72¢

Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Stanley E. Woodward Jr.	bid 19¢ / ask 23¢
R. Trent McCotter	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
John A. Eisenberg	bid 11¢ / ask 13¢
Harmeet Dhillon	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Colin M. McDonald	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
A. Tysen Duva	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢

When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 76¢ / ask 88¢
Before Sep 1, 2026	bid 4¢ / ask 9¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 30¢ / ask 44¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 50¢ / ask 53¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 78¢ / ask 82¢

Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2030	bid 39¢ / ask 41¢
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 17¢ / ask 19¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:16 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Sep 1, 2026	bid 43¢ / ask 45¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Before Nov 7, 2026	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢

How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 7	bid 73¢ / ask 83¢
At least 9	bid 22¢ / ask 43¢
At least 11	bid 2¢ / ask 25¢

John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?: Before Oct 1, 2026 (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 8 events, 42 markets

Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:17 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Silvia Salis	bid 2¢ / ask 17¢
Roberto Gualtieri	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Paolo Gentiloni	bid 2¢ / ask 13¢
Giorgia Meloni	bid 37¢ / ask 74¢
Gaetano Manfredi	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Giuseppe Conte	bid 4¢ / ask 20¢
Elly Schlein	bid 5¢ / ask 23¢
Ernesto Maria Ruffini	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Antonio Tajani	bid 2¢ / ask 11¢
Antonio Decaro	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 35	bid 7¢ / ask 14¢
Above 32	bid 21¢ / ask 26¢
Above 29	bid 19¢ / ask 37¢
Above 26	bid 44¢ / ask 48¢
Above 23	bid 73¢ / ask 81¢
Above 20	bid 86¢ / ask 93¢
Above 17	bid 86¢ / ask 93¢

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 7:43 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tom Emmer	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Steve Scalise	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Pete Aguilar	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Mike Johnson	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Hakeem Jeffries	bid 74¢ / ask 75¢
Katherine Clark	bid 6¢ / ask 11¢
Jim Jordan	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 7:41 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tom Cotton	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
John Thune	bid 47¢ / ask 51¢
John Barrasso	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Chuck Schumer	bid 31¢ / ask 35¢
Chris Van Hollen	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Brian Schatz	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30)	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Remington Model 700 bolt-action rifle (.30-06)	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
M1 Garand rifle (.30-06)	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)	bid 22¢ / ask 25¢

South Carolina Senate Republican special primary: who will advance? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:50 AM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ralph Norman	bid 63¢ / ask 67¢
Russell Fry	bid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Mark Sanford	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Darline Graham	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection?: Yes (bid 48¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET

Toronto mayoral election winner?: Chris Alexander — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:51 PM ET

💹 Financials — 29 events, 603 markets

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $54,040	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,035	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,030	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,025	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,020	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,015	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,010	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,005	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,000	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,995	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,990	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,985	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,980	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,975	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,970	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,965	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,960	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,955	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,950	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,945	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,940	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $53,935	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $53,930	bid 53¢ / ask 61¢
At least $53,925	bid 54¢ / ask 62¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,040	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,035	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,030	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,025	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,020	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,015	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $54,010	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $54,005	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $54,000	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,995	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,990	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,985	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,980	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,975	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,970	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,965	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,960	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,955	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,950	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,945	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,940	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,935	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,930	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,925	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,040	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,035	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,030	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,025	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,020	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,015	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,010	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $54,005	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $54,000	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,995	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,990	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,985	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,980	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,975	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,970	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,965	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,960	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,955	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,950	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,945	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,940	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,935	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,930	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,925	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,040	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,035	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,030	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,025	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,020	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,015	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,010	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $54,005	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $54,000	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,995	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,990	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,985	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,980	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,975	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,970	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,965	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,960	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,955	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,950	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,945	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,940	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,935	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,930	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $53,925	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $54,040	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,035	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,030	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,025	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,020	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $54,015	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,010	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $54,005	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $54,000	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,995	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,990	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,985	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,980	bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,975	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
At least $53,970	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,965	bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
At least $53,960	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,955	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,950	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,945	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,940	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,935	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,930	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $53,925	bid 53¢ / ask 61¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,040	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $54,035	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $54,030	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $54,025	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $54,020	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $54,015	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,010	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,005	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,000	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,995	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,990	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,985	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,980	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,975	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,970	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,965	bid 52¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,960	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,955	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,950	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $53,945	bid 53¢ / ask 61¢
At least $53,940	bid 54¢ / ask 62¢
At least $53,935	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
At least $53,930	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
At least $53,925	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,045	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
At least $54,040	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
At least $54,035	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $54,030	bid 32¢ / ask 40¢
At least $54,025	bid 33¢ / ask 41¢
At least $54,020	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
At least $54,015	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
At least $54,010	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
At least $54,005	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
At least $54,000	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,995	bid 39¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,990	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,985	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,980	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,975	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,970	bid 47¢ / ask 55¢
At least $53,965	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
At least $53,960	bid 49¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,955	bid 50¢ / ask 58¢
At least $53,950	bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least $53,945	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
At least $53,940	bid 53¢ / ask 61¢
At least $53,935	bid 54¢ / ask 62¢
At least $53,930	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
At least $53,925	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢

+ 35 more

EURUSD price on Aug 14 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET

View market strikes (20 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1.173	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.171	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.169	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 1.167	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above 1.165	bid 19¢ / ask 22¢
Above 1.163	bid 26¢ / ask 29¢
Above 1.161	bid 31¢ / ask 34¢
Above 1.159	bid 34¢ / ask 37¢
Above 1.157	bid 35¢ / ask 36¢
Above 1.155	bid 47¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1.153	bid 52¢ / ask 54¢
Above 1.151	bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
Above 1.149	bid 66¢ / ask 67¢
Above 1.147	bid 76¢ / ask 77¢
Above 1.145	bid 78¢ / ask 81¢
Above 1.143	bid 81¢ / ask 84¢
Above 1.141	bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Above 1.139	bid 90¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1.137	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 1.135	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 12, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 12, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

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7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 12, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

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5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 12, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

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2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 12, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 11, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

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Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:32 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $10.7 billion	bid 1¢ / ask 18¢
Above $10.65 billion	bid 3¢ / ask 19¢
Above $10.6 billion	bid 3¢ / ask 33¢
Above $10.55 billion	bid 4¢ / ask 39¢
Above $10.5 billion	bid 19¢ / ask 46¢
Above $10.45 billion	bid 46¢ / ask 89¢
Above $10.4 billion	bid 49¢ / ask 95¢
Above $10.35 billion	bid 78¢ / ask 97¢
Above $10.3 billion	bid 82¢ / ask 98¢

Uber Eats App Downloads in August — 9 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 96	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 116	bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
Above 112	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Above 108	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 104	bid 91¢ / ask 93¢
Above 100	bid 94¢ / ask 96¢
Above 120	—
Above 124	—
Above 128	—

Hims subscribers in Q3 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:32 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.25 million	bid 1¢ / ask 17¢
Above 3.2 million	bid 3¢ / ask 16¢
Above 3.15 million	bid 5¢ / ask 34¢
Above 3.1 million	bid 41¢ / ask 60¢
Above 3.05 million	bid 50¢ / ask 78¢
Above 3 million	bid 74¢ / ask 96¢
Above 2.95 million	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢

Claude App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:07 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 2400	bid 10¢ / ask 15¢
Above 2200	bid 17¢ / ask 20¢
Above 2000	bid 52¢ / ask 71¢
Above 1800	bid 41¢ / ask 68¢
Above 1600	bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
Above 2600	—
Above 2800	—

DoorDash App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 89¢ / ask 95¢
Above 96	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above 108	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above 106	bid 23¢ / ask 27¢
Above 104	bid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Above 102	bid 66¢ / ask 70¢
Above 100	bid 81¢ / ask 85¢

Instacart App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 130	bid 23¢ / ask 26¢
Above 125	bid 32¢ / ask 51¢
Above 120	bid 45¢ / ask 62¢
Above 115	bid 57¢ / ask 82¢
Above 110	bid 75¢ / ask 95¢
Above 105	bid 89¢ / ask 94¢
Above 100	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢

DraftKings App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 240	bid 11¢ / ask 18¢
Above 220	bid 29¢ / ask 36¢
Above 200	bid 51¢ / ask 58¢
Above 180	bid 66¢ / ask 73¢
Above 160	bid 77¢ / ask 84¢
Above 140	bid 84¢ / ask 91¢
Above 120	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢

Gemini App Downloads in August — 6 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:09 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 260	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
Above 240	bid 26¢ / ask 33¢
Above 220	bid 46¢ / ask 53¢
Above 200	bid 71¢ / ask 78¢
Above 180	bid 82¢ / ask 89¢
Above 160	bid 92¢ / ask 96¢

Instacart gross transaction value in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:33 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $43 billion	bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
Above $42.5 billion	bid 6¢ / ask 47¢
Above $42 billion	bid 49¢ / ask 95¢
Above $41.5 billion	bid 86¢ / ask 97¢
Above $41 billion	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢

ChatGPT App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 95	bid 91¢ / ask 97¢
Above 115	bid 17¢ / ask 24¢
Above 110	bid 36¢ / ask 43¢
Above 105	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 100	bid 78¢ / ask 85¢

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 4, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Extreme Fear	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Neutral	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Greed	bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Fear	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢

Netflix App Downloads in August — 4 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above 80	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above 70	bid 25¢ / ask 30¢
Above 60	bid 53¢ / ask 85¢

Grok App Downloads in August 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 80	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 60	bid 34¢ / ask 38¢
Above 40	bid 60¢ / ask 64¢
Above 20	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢

FanDuel App Downloads in August — 4 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 80	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above 60	bid 48¢ / ask 53¢
Above 120	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 100	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.8557 — listed Aug 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?: In 2026 (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,983 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,532	19	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +16 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	360	46	Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more
🎬 Entertainment	51	6	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more
📊 Economics	35	2	US gas price up, US gas price up
🔬 Science and Technology	5	1	Top model

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, Luxon Departure, UFO Files — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:20 AM ET, Aug 11)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 6 markets

📊 Economics — 3 events, 41 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 34 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 46 markets

🏛️ Politics — 8 events, 36 markets

🗳️ Elections — 8 events, 42 markets

💹 Financials — 29 events, 603 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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