📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 20 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 21 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 200 unique markets across 15 new events, plus 4,575 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Diesel prices this week: Above $6.66 bid 18¢ / ask 19¢, Above $6.52 bid 57¢ / ask 58¢, Above $6.40 bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Open Source market share on Sep 20th: Above 85% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 82.5% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 90% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?: Below 39.8% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 40.4% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 40.3% bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
EV commodity prices on Sep 21, 2026: Above 1176.39 bid 90¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1266.39 bid 4¢ / ask 21¢, Above 1186.39 bid 77¢ / ask 98¢
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?: 6% or above bid 1¢ / ask 11¢, 5.75% or above bid 5¢ / ask 15¢, 5.5% or above bid 13¢ / ask 23¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 22, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 22, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 22, 2026
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Which lists will win a Knesset seat?: Reservists–Economic Party — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:02 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 9 markets
Open Source market share on Sep 20th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 90% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 87.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 85% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 82.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 80% | bid 74¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 77.5% | bid 85¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 75% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 72.5% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 70% | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.8% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 40.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 40.3% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 40.2% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 40.1% | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 40.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 22, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Zid, Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, new trick, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 22, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Zid, Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, new trick, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 22, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, new trick, Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song), Let’s Get Married, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Joseph, Janice STFU, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, AH HA
📊 Economics — 3 events, 57 markets
Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Sep 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.72 | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $6.70 | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $6.68 | bid 18¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above $6.66 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above $6.64 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $6.62 | bid 24¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $6.60 | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above $6.58 | bid 35¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $6.56 | bid 42¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above $6.54 | bid 49¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $6.52 | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above $6.50 | bid 62¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above $6.48 | bid 67¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $6.46 | bid 73¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above $6.44 | bid 77¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above $6.42 | bid 80¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above $6.40 | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above $6.38 | bid 83¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above $6.36 | bid 83¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above $6.34 | bid 84¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $6.32 | bid 85¢ / ask 90¢ |
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
EV commodity prices on Sep 21, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1296.39 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1286.39 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1276.39 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1266.39 | bid 4¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 1256.39 | bid 4¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 1246.39 | bid 9¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 1236.39 | bid 21¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 1226.39 | bid 24¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 1216.39 | bid 40¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1206.39 | bid 55¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1196.39 | bid 70¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1186.39 | bid 77¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1176.39 | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1166.39 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1156.39 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 6 events, 79 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 22, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 22, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 22, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 22, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 22, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 20, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.25% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 5.5% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 5.75% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 6% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,575 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,719 | 8 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +5 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 436 | 65 | Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +62 more |
| 📊 Economics | 405 | 24 | TSA check-ins this week, Minnesota gas price, Oregon gas price, +21 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.