📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 14 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 15 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 321 unique markets across 33 new events, plus 4,401 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections
3 events
19 markets
📊 Economics
6 events
58 markets
💹 Financials
6 events
85 markets
🏛️ Politics
7 events
32 markets
🎬 Entertainment
11 events
127 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices this week: Above $6.52 bid 54¢ / ask 55¢, Above $6.50 bid 58¢ / ask 59¢, Above $6.64 bid 6¢ / ask 10¢

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional): Democrats, ≥8% bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Democrats, ≥16% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Democrats, ≥6% bid 68¢ / ask 71¢

Game Awards: Best Game Direction: Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Crimson Desert bid 1¢ / ask 69¢, Saros bid 5¢ / ask 79¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?: Below 39.7% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, 39.7% bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 40.3% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.290 bid 95¢ / ask 96¢, Above $6.300 bid 91¢ / ask 93¢, Above $6.285 bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?: 4.67% or above bid 74¢ / ask 75¢, 4.65% or above bid 74¢ / ask 80¢, 4.73% or above bid 5¢ / ask 13¢

How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?: Above 220 bid 79¢ / ask 80¢, Above 240 bid 54¢ / ask 56¢, Above 230 bid 63¢ / ask 68¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections
📊 Economics
💹 Financials
🏛️ Politics
🎬 Entertainment

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 19 markets

View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Democrats, ≥8%bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Democrats, ≥6%bid 68¢ / ask 71¢
Democrats, ≥4%bid 78¢ / ask 84¢
Democrats, ≥2%bid 86¢ / ask 90¢
Democrats, ≥16%bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Democrats, ≥14%bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Democrats, ≥12%bid 9¢ / ask 14¢
Democrats, ≥10%bid 24¢ / ask 29¢
View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 8bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
At least 4bid 11¢ / ask 20¢
At least 3bid 23¢ / ask 32¢
At least 2bid 34¢ / ask 43¢
At least 16bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
At least 12bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
At least 1bid 50¢ / ask 59¢

Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 14, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Both winbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Rogers wins, Collins losesbid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Rogers loses, Collins winsbid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Both losebid 45¢ / ask 46¢

📊 Economics — 6 events, 58 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $6.320bid 27¢ / ask 30¢
Above $6.315bid 48¢ / ask 52¢
Above $6.310bid 68¢ / ask 74¢
Above $6.305bid 84¢ / ask 90¢
Above $6.300bid 91¢ / ask 93¢
Above $6.295bid 94¢ / ask 97¢
Above $6.290bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.285bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.280bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.275bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.270bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.265bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.260bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.255bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.250bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.245bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.240bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.235bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.230bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.225bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $6.220bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Sep 15, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1277.74last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1267.74last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1257.74last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1247.74last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1237.74ask 13¢ (no bids)
Above 1227.74last 2¢ (book empty)
Above 1217.74last 2¢ (book empty)
Above 1207.74ask 58¢ (no bids)
Above 1197.74bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 1187.74bid 47¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1177.74bid 84¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1167.74bid 96¢ (no asks)
Above 1157.74bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1147.74bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1137.74bid 98¢ (no asks)

Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $6.46bid 65¢ / ask 70¢
Above $6.48bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above $6.50bid 58¢ / ask 59¢
Above $6.52bid 54¢ / ask 55¢
Above $6.54bid 39¢ / ask 43¢
Above $6.56bid 25¢ / ask 32¢
Above $6.58bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
Above $6.60bid 11¢ / ask 16¢
Above $6.62bid 8¢ / ask 12¢
Above $6.64bid 6¢ / ask 10¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 50%bid 5¢ / ask 58¢
Above 40%bid 5¢ / ask 85¢
Above 30%bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 20%bid 21¢ / ask 90¢
Above 10%bid 21¢ / ask 93¢
Above 0%bid 31¢ / ask 91¢

Number of rate hikes in 2026? — 5 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 4bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Exactly 3bid 1¢ / ask 24¢
Exactly 2bid 40¢ / ask 60¢
Exactly 1bid 20¢ / ask 38¢
Exactly 0bid 1¢ / ask 5¢

💹 Financials — 6 events, 85 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.49% or above
5.47% or above
5.45% or aboveask 8¢ (no bids)
5.43% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 10¢
5.41% or abovebid 8¢ / ask 28¢
5.39% or abovebid 19¢ / ask 39¢
5.37% or abovebid 48¢ / ask 67¢
5.35% or abovebid 67¢ / ask 87¢
5.33% or abovebid 83¢ / ask 95¢
5.31% or abovebid 90¢ / ask 99¢
5.29% or abovebid 92¢ / ask 99¢
5.27% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)
5.25% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)
5.23% or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)
5.21% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.09% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
5.07% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 17¢
5.05% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 25¢
5.03% or abovebid 13¢ / ask 31¢
5.01% or abovebid 26¢ / ask 53¢
4.99% or abovebid 48¢ / ask 75¢
4.97% or abovebid 62¢ / ask 89¢
4.95% or abovebid 75¢ / ask 96¢
4.93% or abovebid 84¢ / ask 99¢
4.91% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.89% or abovebid 94¢ (no asks)
4.87% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)
4.85% or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)
4.83% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.81% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.04% or aboveask 5¢ (no bids)
5.02% or aboveask 7¢ (no bids)
5% or aboveask 10¢ (no bids)
4.98% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 13¢
4.96% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 25¢
4.94% or abovebid 13¢ / ask 25¢
4.92% or abovebid 27¢ / ask 43¢
4.9% or abovebid 48¢ / ask 68¢
4.88% or abovebid 70¢ / ask 86¢
4.86% or abovebid 84¢ / ask 94¢
4.84% or abovebid 89¢ / ask 98¢
4.82% or abovebid 90¢ (no asks)
4.8% or abovebid 92¢ (no asks)
4.78% or abovebid 95¢ (no asks)
4.76% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.94% or aboveask 9¢ (no bids)
4.92% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 10¢
4.9% or abovebid 3¢ / ask 13¢
4.88% or abovebid 9¢ / ask 17¢
4.86% or abovebid 29¢ / ask 40¢
4.84% or abovebid 38¢ / ask 54¢
4.82% or abovebid 56¢ / ask 72¢
4.8% or abovebid 73¢ / ask 86¢
4.78% or abovebid 89¢ / ask 93¢
4.76% or abovebid 89¢ / ask 97¢
4.74% or abovebid 90¢ / ask 99¢
4.72% or abovebid 91¢ (no asks)
4.7% or abovebid 94¢ (no asks)
4.68% or abovebid 96¢ (no asks)
4.66% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.79% or aboveask 8¢ (no bids)
4.77% or aboveask 11¢ (no bids)
4.75% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 13¢
4.73% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 13¢
4.71% or abovebid 18¢ / ask 34¢
4.69% or abovebid 21¢ / ask 46¢
4.67% or abovebid 74¢ / ask 75¢
4.65% or abovebid 74¢ / ask 80¢
4.63% or abovebid 74¢ / ask 89¢
4.61% or abovebid 75¢ / ask 94¢
4.59% or abovebid 82¢ / ask 94¢
4.57% or abovebid 88¢ / ask 98¢
4.55% or abovebid 92¢ (no asks)
4.53% or abovebid 94¢ (no asks)
4.51% or abovebid 95¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 8:52 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.96% or abovebid 23¢ / ask 43¢
4.98% or abovebid 22¢ / ask 42¢
5% or abovebid 19¢ / ask 36¢
5.02% or abovebid 16¢ / ask 32¢
5.04% or abovebid 14¢ / ask 27¢
5.06% or abovebid 11¢ / ask 24¢
5.08% or abovebid 10¢ / ask 21¢
5.1% or abovebid 7¢ / ask 18¢
5.12% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 15¢
5.14% or abovebid 3¢ / ask 13¢

🏛️ Politics — 7 events, 32 markets

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Below 39.7%bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
40.3%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
40.2%bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
40.1%bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
40.0%bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
39.9%bid 25¢ / ask 34¢
39.8%bid 13¢ / ask 18¢
39.7%bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 40.3%bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 8bid 76¢ / ask 83¢
At least 6bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
At least 20bid 5¢ / ask 11¢
At least 18bid 11¢ / ask 18¢
At least 16bid 15¢ / ask 24¢
At least 14bid 21¢ / ask 30¢
At least 12bid 41¢ / ask 48¢
At least 10bid 56¢ / ask 65¢

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 15, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET

Tracking: Mark Carney, Sara Al-Saqqa, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 45bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Above 50bid 30¢ / ask 40¢
Above 55bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 240bid 54¢ / ask 56¢
Above 230bid 63¢ / ask 68¢
Above 220bid 79¢ / ask 80¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Mar 1, 2027bid 79¢ / ask 80¢
Before Jun 1, 2027bid 85¢ / ask 87¢
Before Dec 1, 2026bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Mar 1, 2027bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Before Jun 1, 2027bid 51¢ / ask 80¢
Before Dec 1, 2026bid 25¢ / ask 67¢

🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 127 markets

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 90 minutes
At least 75 minutes
At least 60 minutes
At least 45 minutes
At least 360 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 345 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 330 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 315 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 300 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 30 minutes
At least 285 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 270 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 255 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 240 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 225 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 210 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 20 minutes
At least 195 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 180 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 165 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 150 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 15 minutes
At least 135 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 120 minuteslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 105 minutes

+ 1 more

Steam: Weekly Top Seller — 20 outcomes — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Wuthering Waveslast 1¢ (book empty)
Warframelast 1¢ (book empty)
WARDOGS
Valheimlast 1¢ (book empty)
The Blood of Dawnwalkerask 60¢ (no bids)
Steam Decklast 1¢ (book empty)
STAR WARS Zero Company™last 1¢ (book empty)
Overwatch®ask 60¢ (no bids)
Onimusha: Way of the Swordlast 1¢ (book empty)
No Man's Skylast 1¢ (book empty)
NBA 2K27last 1¢ (book empty)
Marvel Rivalsask 60¢ (no bids)
MapleStorylast 1¢ (book empty)
How to Fishask 57¢ (no bids)
HELLDIVERS™ 2last 1¢ (book empty)
Halloween: The Gameask 60¢ (no bids)
Counter-Strike 2
Borderlands 4ask 60¢ (no bids)
Bodycamlast 1¢ (book empty)
Apex Legends™last 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zidlast 1¢ (book empty)
Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)bid 6¢ / ask 33¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klipbid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Training Season (Live)last 1¢ (book empty)
Shararatlast 1¢ (book empty)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)last 1¢ (book empty)
Parvatiask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MVlast 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix)ask 94¢ (no bids)
Goldenlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Daibid 7¢ / ask 82¢
Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni Pask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalulast 1¢ (book empty)
Barbaadilast 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaatlast 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zid
Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)ask 95¢ (no bids)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klipask 95¢ (no bids)
Training Season (Live)
Shararat
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)
Parvati
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV
KALYANI (Remix)
Golden
Dai Daibid 39¢ / ask 84¢
Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P
Basinga Balaalu
Barbaadi
Barsaatlast 3¢ (book empty)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
WTF GOINlast 1¢ (book empty)
Todo Lo Fuelast 1¢ (book empty)
Sunflowerbid 7¢ / ask 77¢
Splash Broslast 1¢ (book empty)
Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song)bid 1¢ / ask 63¢
Life Goes Onlast 1¢ (book empty)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MVbid 1¢ / ask 66¢
Hootie Fruttiask 95¢ (no bids)
Goldenlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dead Freshlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Daibid 9¢ / ask 75¢
Choosin' Texasbid 13¢ / ask 49¢
BbY WOWlast 1¢ (book empty)
AH HAlast 1¢ (book empty)
View market strikes (11 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 millionbid 11¢ (no asks)
At least 6 millionbid 65¢ / ask 96¢
At least 50 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 40 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 35 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 30 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 25 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 21 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 18 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 15 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 12 millionbid 12¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (11 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 millionbid 85¢ / ask 96¢
At least 6 millionbid 91¢ / ask 99¢
At least 50 millionask 84¢ (no bids)
At least 40 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 35 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 30 millionask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 25 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)
At least 21 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)
At least 18 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)
At least 15 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)
At least 12 millionbid 6¢ (no asks)

Game Awards: Best Game Direction — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Tiebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sarosbid 5¢ / ask 79¢
Resident Evil Requiembid 5¢ / ask 80¢
Pragmatabid 3¢ / ask 79¢
Mewgenicsbid 3¢ / ask 79¢
Marvel's Wolverinebid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Grand Theft Auto VIbid 5¢ / ask 81¢
Crimson Desertbid 1¢ / ask 69¢
Control Resonantbid 5¢ / ask 79¢
The Blood of Dawnwalkerbid 2¢ / ask 77¢

People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 14, 2026 at 7:11 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Robert Pattinsonbid 1¢ / ask 13¢
Tom Hollandbid 1¢ / ask 19¢

Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Mahershala Ali (bid 3¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Sep 14, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,401 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,51112Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +9 more
📊 Economics42920Ohio gas price, Michigan gas price, North Carolina gas price, +17 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather36054Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment10112DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, +9 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.