📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 01 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 02 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 78 unique markets across 7 new events, plus 452 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Diesel prices tomorrow?: Above $5.415 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above $5.410 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Above $5.405 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: exact place (1st Round): Norman, Fry, Graham bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Graham, Norman, Fry bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Graham, Fry, Norman bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Diesel prices this week?: Above $5.52 bid 9¢ / ask 11¢, Above $5.56 bid 9¢ / ask 13¢, Above $5.54 bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 6 markets
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: exact place (1st Round) — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Norman, Graham, Fry | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Norman, Fry, Graham | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Graham, Norman, Fry | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Graham, Fry, Norman | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Fry, Norman, Graham | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Fry, Graham, Norman | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 42 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow? — 21 brackets — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.415 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $5.410 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $5.405 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $5.400 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $5.395 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $5.390 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $5.385 | bid 14¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $5.380 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $5.375 | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above $5.370 | bid 24¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $5.365 | bid 28¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above $5.360 | bid 52¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above $5.355 | bid 55¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above $5.350 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above $5.345 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $5.340 | bid 71¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above $5.335 | bid 70¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $5.330 | bid 78¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above $5.325 | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above $5.320 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $5.315 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Diesel prices this week? — 21 brackets — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.56 | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $5.54 | bid 6¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $5.52 | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $5.50 | bid 17¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above $5.48 | bid 16¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above $5.46 | bid 17¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above $5.44 | bid 17¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above $5.42 | bid 16¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above $5.40 | bid 19¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $5.38 | bid 19¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $5.36 | bid 22¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above $5.34 | bid 26¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above $5.32 | bid 25¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above $5.30 | bid 30¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above $5.28 | bid 35¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above $5.26 | bid 39¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above $5.24 | bid 47¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above $5.22 | bid 46¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above $5.20 | bid 50¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above $5.18 | bid 51¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above $5.16 | bid 51¢ / ask 84¢ |
💹 Financials — 4 events, 30 markets
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in August 2026? — 14 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 02, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in August 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 02, 2026 at 12:28 PM ET
How high will the CAC 40 get in August 2026? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 02, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
Tracking: At least €8,850, At least €8,800, At least €8,750, At least €8,700, At least €8,650, At least €8,600
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7908 — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
452 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 46 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more |
| 📊 Economics | 48 | 5 | US gas price up, Price of a Burger King 8-piece nuggets this month, Price of a Chick-fil-A chicken sandwich this month, +2 more |
| 💹 Financials | 30 | 1 | S&P 500 above/below |
| 🏛️ Politics | 10 | 1 | Will Trump do anything today? |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 4 | 2 | Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1 |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.