📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 17 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 18 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 448 unique markets across 39 new events, plus 4,900 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections
2 events
4 markets
🏛️ Politics
5 events
13 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
5 events
23 markets
💹 Financials
6 events
80 markets
🎬 Entertainment
10 events
226 markets
📊 Economics
11 events
102 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.430 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $6.450 bid 10¢ (no asks), Above $6.500 bid 6¢ (no asks)

Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026: Above 50% bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 30% bid 30¢ / ask 31¢, Above 40% bid 13¢ / ask 15¢

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026: Exactly 4.5% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Exactly 4.4% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Exactly 3.4% bid 5¢ / ask 7¢

Czech National Bank rate decision in November: Cut more than 25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Cut 1-25bps bid 3¢ / ask 6¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 4¢ / ask 10¢

US building permits for September: Above 1.550M bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1.400M bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, Above 1.300M bid 90¢ / ask 91¢

US housing starts for September: Above 1.200M bid 73¢ / ask 74¢, Above 1.250M bid 57¢ / ask 59¢, Above 1.150M bid 83¢ / ask 85¢

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November: Maintain current rate bid 26¢ / ask 27¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections
🏛️ Politics
🔬 Science and Technology
💹 Financials
🎬 Entertainment
📊 Economics

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 4 markets

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Voltbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
FDPbid 7¢ / ask 10¢
BSWbid 31¢ / ask 39¢

Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?: Yes (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 13 markets

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Below 39.4%bid 7¢ / ask 19¢
40.0%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
39.9%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
39.8%bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
39.7%bid 30¢ / ask 41¢
39.6%bid 45¢ / ask 56¢
39.5%bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
39.4%bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 40.0%bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Will Newsom call a California special session?: Yes (bid 12¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET

Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 12¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Leon Black (bid 30¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 5 events, 23 markets

Open Source market share on Sep 24th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 90%bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 87%bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Above 84%bid 5¢ / ask 25¢
Above 81%bid 10¢ / ask 44¢
Above 78%bid 22¢ / ask 62¢
Above 75%bid 37¢ / ask 75¢
Above 72%bid 51¢ / ask 88¢
Above 69%bid 65¢ / ask 92¢
Above 66%bid 75¢ / ask 97¢

Open Source market share on Sep 18th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 85%bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 82.5%bid 2¢ / ask 16¢
Above 80%bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 77.5%ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 75%bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 72.5%bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 70%bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 67.5%
Above 65%bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

OpenAI market share this week — 3 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 19%bid 6¢ / ask 19¢
Above 18.5%bid 18¢ / ask 34¢
Above 18%bid 32¢ / ask 37¢

Qwen market share this week: Above 7.65% (ask 38¢ (no bids)) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

SpaceX Starship 14th launch?: Before Sep 29, 2026 (bid 64¢ / ask 67¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 1:29 PM ET

💹 Financials — 6 events, 80 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Before Nov 1, 2026bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 40¢ / ask 87¢
Before Dec 1, 2027bid 42¢ / ask 94¢
Before Dec 1, 2026bid 28¢ / ask 32¢

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 226 markets

View market options (25 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zach Bryanbid 6¢ / ask 9¢
YoungBoy Never Broke Againbid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Lil Yachtybid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Charli xcxbid 36¢ / ask 37¢
The Weekndbid 10¢ / ask 30¢
Lil Waynebid 8¢ / ask 19¢
Lil Uzi Vertbid 25¢ / ask 26¢
USHERbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Tylabid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Tyler, The Creatorbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Tygabid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Trippie Reddbid 13¢ / ask 14¢
T-Painbid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Justin Timberlakebid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Young Thugbid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Taylor Swiftbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Tate McRaebid 24¢ / ask 25¢
SZAbid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Swae Leebid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Stray Kidsbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
sombrbid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Siabid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Shawn Mendesbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Shaboozeybid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Sexyy Redbid 35¢ / ask 36¢

+ 105 more outcomes

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Пешта, Training Season, Sebebi Yar (Live), SaWaDiKa, Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Irumudi Kattu, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dai Dai, CLICK, BbY WOW, Barsaat, Animal

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Zid, Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Joseph, Jai Jai Ram, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Barsaat

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Zid, Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Joseph, Jai Jai Ram, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi, Barsaat

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage), What You Need, Sunflower, SaWaDiKa, Pink Blush, misery., Loser, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, Animal, AH HA, 9 to 5

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 19, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Triple 3, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song), KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Joseph, Janice STFU, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video), AH HA

View market options (14 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Taylor Hansonbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Tyler Cameronbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Tatyana Alibid 47¢ / ask 48¢
Maura Higginsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Julia Stilesbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Jackson Olsonbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Jenna Dewanbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Harry Shum Jr.bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Guillermo Rodriguezbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Giada De Laurentiisbid 23¢ / ask 26¢
Ezra Frechbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Connor Woodbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Ciara Millerbid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Amber Glennbid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Latin Grammy Awards: Album of the Year — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
EQUILIBRIVMask 86¢ (no bids)
FREE SPIRITSask 85¢ (no bids)
Vendrán Suaves Lluviasask 90¢ (no bids)
MUDAask 90¢ (no bids)
¿Dónde Es El After?ask 91¢ (no bids)

Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Anthony Ippolito (bid 3¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:42 PM ET

Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Anthony Ippolito (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET

📊 Economics — 11 events, 102 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $6.500bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.495bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.490bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.485bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.480bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.475bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.470
Above $6.465
Above $6.460
Above $6.455bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.450bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.445
Above $6.440
Above $6.435
Above $6.430bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.425last 99¢ (book empty)
Above $6.420last 99¢ (book empty)
Above $6.415last 99¢ (book empty)
Above $6.410last 99¢ (book empty)
Above $6.405last 99¢ (book empty)
Above $6.400last 99¢ (book empty)

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — 21 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 6:03 PM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Exactly 4.5%bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Exactly 4.4%bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 4.3%bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Exactly 4.2%bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
Exactly 4.1%bid 3¢ / ask 9¢
Exactly 4.0%bid 5¢ / ask 11¢
Exactly 3.9%bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Exactly 3.8%bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Exactly 3.7%bid 5¢ / ask 11¢
Exactly 3.6%bid 5¢ / ask 8¢
Exactly 3.5%bid 4¢ / ask 10¢
Exactly 3.4%bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Exactly 3.3%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 3.2%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 3.1%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 3.0%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 2.9%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 2.8%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 2.7%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Exactly 2.6%bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Exactly 2.5%bid 2¢ / ask 4¢

EV commodity prices on Sep 18, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1259.21last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1249.21ask 82¢ (no bids)
Above 1239.21bid 3¢ / ask 24¢
Above 1229.21bid 6¢ / ask 25¢
Above 1219.21bid 7¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1209.21bid 45¢ / ask 88¢
Above 1199.21bid 50¢ / ask 65¢
Above 1189.21bid 87¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1179.21bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1169.21bid 89¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1159.21bid 91¢ (no asks)
Above 1149.21bid 91¢ (no asks)
Above 1139.21bid 91¢ (no asks)
Above 1129.21bid 91¢ (no asks)
Above 1119.21bid 93¢ (no asks)

CPI month-over-month in Dec 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)
BracketPrice
Exactly 0.9%bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Exactly 0.8%bid 2¢ / ask 23¢
Exactly 0.7%bid 3¢ / ask 40¢
Exactly 0.6%bid 5¢ / ask 20¢
Exactly 0.5%bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
Exactly 0.4%bid 11¢ / ask 30¢
Exactly 0.3%bid 9¢ / ask 40¢
Exactly 0.2%bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
Exactly -0.2%bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Exactly 0.1%bid 3¢ / ask 40¢
Exactly -0.1%bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
Exactly 0.0%bid 2¢ / ask 16¢

US housing starts for September — 8 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1.450Mbid 8¢ / ask 15¢
Above 1.400Mbid 15¢ / ask 18¢
Above 1.350Mbid 27¢ / ask 36¢
Above 1.300Mbid 42¢ / ask 49¢
Above 1.250Mbid 57¢ / ask 59¢
Above 1.200Mbid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Above 1.150Mbid 83¢ / ask 85¢
Above 1.100Mbid 92¢ / ask 94¢

US building permits for September — 7 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1.550Mbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1.500Mbid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 1.450Mbid 9¢ / ask 11¢
Above 1.400Mbid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Above 1.350Mbid 66¢ / ask 68¢
Above 1.300Mbid 90¢ / ask 91¢
Above 1.250Mbid 96¢ / ask 97¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 50%bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 40%bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
Above 30%bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Above 20%bid 78¢ / ask 85¢
Above 10%bid 81¢ / ask 90¢
Above 0%bid 83¢ / ask 90¢
View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 43¢ / ask 54¢
Hike more than 25bpsbid 4¢ / ask 10¢
Hike 1-25bpsbid 41¢ / ask 54¢
Cut more than 25bpsbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Cut 1-25bpsbid 3¢ / ask 6¢
View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Hike more than 25bpsbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Hike 1-25bpsbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Cut more than 25bpsbid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Cut 1-25bpsbid 43¢ / ask 44¢

Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?: United Kingdom higher? (bid 6¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET

Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?: Canada higher? (bid 8¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,900 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,75720Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +17 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather65354Where will it rain daily, Trenton Daily low temp , HIGHEST Temperature SATX, +51 more
📊 Economics47329Inflation, Minnesota gas price, Oregon gas price, +26 more
🎬 Entertainment162DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Billboard Top 200 #1
🔬 Science and Technology11Z.ai market share

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.