Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices & Treasury Yields

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 04 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 05 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 813 unique markets across 53 new events, plus 3,921 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics

1 event

1 market

🏢 Companies

2 events

18 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

3 events

37 markets

🗳️ Elections

4 events

8 markets

📊 Economics

4 events

56 markets

🎬 Entertainment

10 events

67 markets

💹 Financials

29 events

626 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Diesel prices tomorrow?: Above $5.310 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.330 bid 91¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.335 bid 90¢ / ask 99¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?: 5.26% or above bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, 5.24% or above bid 14¢ / ask 19¢, 5.22% or above bid 25¢ / ask 30¢

7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?: 4.31% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 4.33% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, 4.37% or above bid 92¢ / ask 95¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?: 4.39% or above bid 20¢ / ask 21¢, 4.37% or above bid 30¢ / ask 32¢, 4.41% or above bid 11¢ / ask 14¢

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT: At least $54,595 bid 19¢ / ask 22¢, At least $54,590 bid 19¢ / ask 23¢, At least $54,585 bid 19¢ / ask 23¢

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 11am EDT: At least $54,595 bid 18¢ / ask 21¢, At least $54,585 bid 18¢ / ask 22¢, At least $54,580 bid 18¢ / ask 22¢

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 10am EDT: At least $54,590 bid 18¢ / ask 21¢, At least $54,585 bid 18¢ / ask 22¢, At least $54,565 bid 18¢ / ask 24¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏛️ Politics

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?

🏢 Companies

🔬 Science and Technology

📊 Economics

🗳️ Elections

🎬 Entertainment

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?: Before Aug 15, 2026 (bid 2¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET

🏢 Companies — 2 events, 18 markets

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $176 billion	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $174 billion	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above $172 billion	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above $170 billion	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above $168 billion	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
Above $166 billion	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
Above $164 billion	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above $162 billion	bid 74¢ / ask 82¢
Above $160 billion	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢
Above $158 billion	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above $156 billion	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in fiscal 2027 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above 8%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 7%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 5%	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Above 4%	bid 70¢ / ask 78¢
Above 3%	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 37 markets

Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

Tracking: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI, SpaceXAI, Smallest.ai, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Inworld, Google, Fish Audio, ElevenLabs, Cartesia, Async, Amazon, Alibaba

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET

Tracking: Vidu, SpaceXAI, Skywork AI, PixVerse, MiniMax, Lightricks, KlingAI, Google, ByteDance, Alibaba

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 7:31 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 8 markets

NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tim Moffitt	bid 37¢ / ask 44¢
No one	bid 12¢ / ask 18¢
Kevin Corbin	bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
Jennifer Balkcom	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
Adam Smith	bid 12¢ / ask 15¢

South Dakota Senate winner?: Brian Bengs (bid 4¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET

2028 Republican VP nominee: Tim Scott (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

Lima Mayor winner?: Rafael López Aliaga (bid 2¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET

📊 Economics — 4 events, 56 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow? — 21 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $5.410	—
Above $5.405	ask 28¢ (no bids)
Above $5.400	ask 39¢ (no bids)
Above $5.395	ask 44¢ (no bids)
Above $5.390	ask 48¢ (no bids)
Above $5.385	ask 54¢ (no bids)
Above $5.380	ask 59¢ (no bids)
Above $5.375	ask 64¢ (no bids)
Above $5.370	ask 69¢ (no bids)
Above $5.365	ask 74¢ (no bids)
Above $5.360	ask 45¢ (no bids)
Above $5.355	ask 50¢ (no bids)
Above $5.350	ask 70¢ (no bids)
Above $5.345	bid 60¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.340	bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.335	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.330	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.325	last 98¢ (book empty)
Above $5.320	bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above $5.315	bid 71¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.310	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

EV commodity prices on Aug 5, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1296.05	ask 45¢ (no bids)
Above 1286.05	ask 43¢ (no bids)
Above 1276.05	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1266.05	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 1256.05	bid 41¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1246.05	bid 92¢ / ask 95¢
Above 1236.05	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1226.05	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1216.05	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1206.05	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1196.05	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1186.05	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1176.05	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1166.05	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1156.05	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q2 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 2:13 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 67 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Waka Waka	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Sunflower	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yar	ask 5¢ (no bids)
petal	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Nano	ask 5¢ (no bids)
MOON	bid 18¢ / ask 28¢
Life Goes On	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Jaiye Sajana	ask 5¢ (no bids)
ICONIC BY MISTAKE	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Golden	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Barbaadi	bid 69¢ / ask 79¢

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Waka Waka	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Sunflower	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yar	ask 5¢ (no bids)
petal	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Nano	ask 5¢ (no bids)
MOON	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Life Goes On	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Jaiye Sajana	ask 5¢ (no bids)
ICONIC BY MISTAKE	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Golden	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	bid 93¢ / ask 97¢
Basinga Balaalu	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Barbaadi	ask 5¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Todo Lo Fue	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Sunflower	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Rod Wave - Hustle (Official Music Video)	ask 5¢ (no bids)
petal	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
Meek Mill - Nightmares To Dreams (Official Video)	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Life Goes On	bid 12¢ / ask 22¢
Janice STFU	ask 5¢ (no bids)
It Doesn't Matter	ask 5¢ (no bids)
I See Why	ask 5¢ (no bids)
ICONIC BY MISTAKE	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Golden	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Dead Fresh	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Beat It	ask 5¢ (no bids)

Music Industry: Total USA Pure Album Sales in 2026 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 140M	last 6¢ (book empty)
Above 135M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 130M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 125M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 120M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 117.7M	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 115M	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 111.1M	bid 5¢ / ask 17¢
Above 105M	bid 36¢ / ask 48¢
Above 100M	bid 87¢ / ask 98¢

Music Industry: Total USA Album Equivalent Units in 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:07 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 952.7M	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 877.3M	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1.4B	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above 1.3B	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1.2B	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1.1B	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actor — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Antonio Banderas	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Guy Pearce	—

Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Virginie Efira (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET

#3 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?: Mr. Brightside — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA: petal (ask 6¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET

Who will have a #1 album this year?: Rod Wave (bid 76¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

💹 Financials — 29 events, 626 markets

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 19¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,590	bid 19¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,585	bid 19¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,580	bid 19¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,575	bid 19¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,570	bid 19¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,565	bid 19¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,560	bid 20¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,555	bid 20¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,550	bid 21¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,545	bid 21¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,540	bid 22¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,535	bid 22¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,530	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,525	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,520	bid 24¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,515	bid 24¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,510	bid 25¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,505	bid 25¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,500	bid 26¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,495	bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,490	bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,485	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,480	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,475	bid 29¢ / ask 35¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 19¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,590	bid 19¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,585	bid 20¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,580	bid 20¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,575	bid 21¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,570	bid 21¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,565	bid 21¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,560	bid 22¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,555	bid 22¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,550	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,545	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,540	bid 24¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,535	bid 25¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,530	bid 25¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,525	bid 26¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,520	bid 26¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,515	bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,510	bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,505	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,500	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,495	bid 29¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,490	bid 29¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,485	bid 30¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,480	bid 31¢ / ask 37¢
At least $54,475	bid 31¢ / ask 37¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,590	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,575	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,570	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,565	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,560	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,555	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,550	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,545	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,540	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,535	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,530	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,525	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,520	bid 25¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,515	bid 26¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,510	bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,505	bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,500	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,495	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,490	bid 29¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,485	bid 29¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,480	bid 30¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,475	bid 31¢ / ask 37¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,590	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,560	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,555	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,550	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,545	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,540	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,535	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,530	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,525	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,520	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,515	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,510	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,505	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,500	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,495	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,490	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,485	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,480	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,475	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,590	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,560	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,555	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,550	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,545	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,540	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,535	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,530	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,525	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,520	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,515	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,510	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,505	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,500	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,495	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,490	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,485	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,480	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
At least $54,475	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 18¢ / ask 21¢
At least $54,590	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,580	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,575	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,570	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,560	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,555	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,550	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,545	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,540	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,535	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,530	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,525	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,520	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,515	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,510	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,505	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,500	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,495	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,490	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,485	bid 26¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,480	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,475	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢

+ 35 more

Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 6, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $54,595	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
At least $54,590	bid 18¢ / ask 21¢
At least $54,585	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,580	bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
At least $54,575	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,570	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
At least $54,565	bid 18¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,560	bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
At least $54,555	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,550	bid 18¢ / ask 25¢
At least $54,545	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
At least $54,540	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,535	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least $54,530	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,525	bid 20¢ / ask 28¢
At least $54,520	bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
At least $54,515	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,510	bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
At least $54,505	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
At least $54,500	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
At least $54,495	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,490	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
At least $54,485	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
At least $54,480	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
At least $54,475	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢

+ 35 more

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $43 billion	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above $42.5 billion	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above $42 billion	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above $41.5 billion	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above $41 billion	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
Above $40.5 billion	bid 42¢ / ask 50¢
Above $40 billion	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢
Above $39.5 billion	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above $39 billion	bid 79¢ / ask 87¢
Above $38.5 billion	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above $38 billion	bid 90¢ / ask 98¢
Above $37.5 billion	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above $37 billion	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above $36.5 billion	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above $36 billion	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.34% or above	—
5.32% or above	—
5.3% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
5.28% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.26% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
5.24% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 19¢
5.22% or above	bid 25¢ / ask 30¢
5.2% or above	bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
5.18% or above	bid 51¢ / ask 58¢
5.16% or above	bid 65¢ / ask 71¢
5.14% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 83¢
5.12% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 90¢
5.1% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 95¢
5.08% or above	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
5.06% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.79% or above	—
4.77% or above	—
4.75% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
4.73% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
4.71% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
4.69% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
4.67% or above	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢
4.65% or above	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
4.63% or above	bid 53¢ / ask 57¢
4.61% or above	bid 66¢ / ask 71¢
4.59% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 83¢
4.57% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 90¢
4.55% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 95¢
4.53% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
4.51% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.59% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
4.57% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
4.55% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
4.53% or above	bid 15¢ / ask 20¢
4.51% or above	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
4.49% or above	bid 38¢ / ask 45¢
4.47% or above	bid 50¢ / ask 57¢
4.45% or above	bid 62¢ / ask 68¢
4.43% or above	bid 71¢ / ask 77¢
4.41% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 87¢
4.39% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 93¢
4.37% or above	bid 92¢ / ask 95¢
4.35% or above	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
4.33% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.31% or above	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.49% or above	—
4.47% or above	—
4.45% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
4.43% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
4.41% or above	bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
4.39% or above	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
4.37% or above	bid 30¢ / ask 32¢
4.35% or above	bid 42¢ / ask 46¢
4.33% or above	bid 53¢ / ask 60¢
4.31% or above	bid 65¢ / ask 71¢
4.29% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 81¢
4.27% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 90¢
4.25% or above	bid 89¢ / ask 95¢
4.23% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
4.21% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.34% or above	—
4.32% or above	—
4.3% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
4.28% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
4.26% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 19¢
4.24% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 29¢
4.22% or above	bid 15¢ / ask 38¢
4.2% or above	bid 28¢ / ask 49¢
4.18% or above	bid 46¢ / ask 67¢
4.16% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 82¢
4.14% or above	bid 72¢ / ask 93¢
4.12% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 97¢
4.1% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 99¢
4.08% or above	bid 90¢ (no asks)
4.06% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027 — 13 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 970	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
Above 960	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
Above 950	bid 43¢ / ask 51¢
Above 940	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above 930	bid 73¢ / ask 81¢
Above 920	bid 83¢ / ask 91¢
Above 910	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 900	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 890	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 880	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 870	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 860	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 850	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9900	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 9800	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 9700	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 9600	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10700	bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
Above 10600	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
Above 10500	bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
Above 10400	bid 77¢ / ask 85¢
Above 10300	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 10200	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10100	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10000	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 — 12 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 890	bid 5¢ / ask 13¢
Above 885	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Above 880	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above 875	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
Above 870	bid 37¢ / ask 45¢
Above 865	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Above 860	bid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above 855	bid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above 850	bid 77¢ / ask 85¢
Above 845	bid 84¢ / ask 92¢
Above 840	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
Above 835	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 218	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 216	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 214	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 212	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 210	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
Above 208	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
Above 206	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
Above 204	bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
Above 202	bid 74¢ / ask 82¢
Above 200	bid 84¢ / ask 92¢

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Ulta comparable sales in Q3 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 7%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 6.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 5.5%	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 5%	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢
Above 4.5%	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 4%	bid 40¢ / ask 48¢
Above 3.5%	bid 55¢ / ask 63¢

Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 6.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 5.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Above 5%	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
Above 4.5%	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 4%	bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 3.5%	bid 76¢ / ask 84¢

Starlink active subscribers in Q3 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 15.5 twh	bid 82¢ / ask 90¢
Above 15 twh	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 14.5 twh	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 14 twh	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 13.5 twh	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 13 twh	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.5 twh	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12 twh	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Toast total locations in Q3 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above 7%	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above 5%	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Above 3%	bid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 11%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 81 million	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 78 million	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 75 million	bid 30¢ / ask 38¢
Above 72 million	bid 62¢ / ask 70¢
Above 69 million	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢

Match total payers in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 13.4 million	bid 78¢ / ask 86¢
Above 13.2 million	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
Above 13 million	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.8 million	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 12.6 million	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 78 million	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 74 million	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above 70 million	bid 53¢ / ask 61¢
Above 66 million	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢

CAVA restaurants in Q2: Above 474 (bid 86¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:55 AM ET

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.6980 — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,921 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,310	6	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +3 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	348	44	Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +41 more
🎬 Entertainment	241	7	What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +4 more
📊 Economics	22	3	US gas price up, US gas price up, Daily SOFR

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Diesel Prices, 30Y US Treasury Yield, Dow Jones — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:19 PM ET, Aug 05)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

🏢 Companies — 2 events, 18 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 37 markets

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 8 markets

📊 Economics — 4 events, 56 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 67 markets

💹 Financials — 29 events, 626 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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