📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 09 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 10 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 731 unique markets across 44 new events, plus 4,006 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
DoorDash App Downloads in August: Above 104 bid 56¢ / ask 57¢, Above 108 bid 14¢ / ask 19¢, Above 96 bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Uber Eats App Downloads in August: Above 116 bid 62¢ / ask 63¢, Above 96 bid 94¢ / ask 98¢, Above 112 bid 81¢ / ask 85¢
FanDuel App Downloads in August: Above 80 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, Above 60 bid 64¢ / ask 67¢, Above 100 bid 17¢ / ask 20¢
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September: Hike more than 25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Cut more than 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Cut 1-25bps bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?: Above 250 bid 71¢ / ask 72¢, Above 350 bid 19¢ / ask 21¢, Above 325 bid 26¢ / ask 30¢
Most popular AI this week: OpenAI, Google, Anthropic all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General?: R. Trent McCotter bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, John A. Eisenberg bid 11¢ / ask 13¢, Stanley E. Woodward Jr. bid 19¢ / ask 24¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 10, 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- South Carolina Senate Republican special primary: who will advance?
- Toronto mayoral election winner?
- Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?
- How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026?
- How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?
- Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026
- Who will headline Coachella 2027?
- Best AI this week
- Most popular AI this week
- Top Chinese AI Company week of August 17th
- Top Coding AI this week
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026?
- ChatGPT App Downloads in August
- Claude App Downloads in August
- Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?
- DoorDash App Downloads in August
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- DraftKings App Downloads in August
- EURUSD price on Aug 14 at 5:00 PM EDT
- FanDuel App Downloads in August
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 4, 2026?
- Gemini App Downloads in August
- Grok App Downloads in August 2026
- Instacart App Downloads in August
- Netflix App Downloads in August
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Uber Eats App Downloads in August
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 6 markets
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Sep 1, 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 9:32 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 7.5+ | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 7.6+ | bid 10¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 7.7+ | bid 7¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 7.8+ | bid 6¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 7.9+ | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 8.0+ | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 11 markets
Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30) | bid 8¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40) | bid 39¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Remington Model 700 bolt-action rifle (.30-06) | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| M1 Garand rifle (.30-06) | bid 3¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) | bid 22¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt) | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
South Carolina Senate Republican special primary: who will advance? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:50 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ralph Norman | bid 58¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Russell Fry | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Mark Sanford | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Darline Graham | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Toronto mayoral election winner?: Chris Alexander — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:51 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 16 markets
How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House? — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 400 | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 375 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 350 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 325 | bid 26¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 300 | bid 39¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 275 | bid 51¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Stanley E. Woodward Jr. | bid 19¢ / ask 24¢ |
| R. Trent McCotter | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| John A. Eisenberg | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Harmeet Dhillon | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Colin M. McDonald | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| A. Tysen Duva | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 7 | bid 57¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 9 | bid 22¢ / ask 73¢ |
| At least 11 | bid 4¢ / ask 54¢ |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 41 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.350 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.345 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.340 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.335 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.330 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.325 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.320 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $5.315 | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $5.310 | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above $5.305 | bid 27¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above $5.300 | bid 41¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $5.295 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $5.290 | bid 91¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.285 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.280 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.275 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.270 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.265 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.260 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.255 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.250 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Aug 10, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 09, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1307.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1297.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1287.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1277.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1267.25 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1257.25 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1247.25 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 1237.25 | bid 50¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 1227.25 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1217.25 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1207.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1197.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1187.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1177.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1167.25 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 81¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 8¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 34 markets
Top Chinese AI Company week of August 17th — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Tencent | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Moonshot | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Baidu | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT
Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen
Most popular AI this week — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Xiaomi | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Tencent | bid 17¢ / ask 21¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ | |
| DeepSeek | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Anthropic | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 46 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Waka Waka | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Si Antes Te Hubiera Conocido | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Jaiye Sajana | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | bid 5¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Bairan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Waka Waka | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Si Antes Te Hubiera Conocido | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jaiye Sajana | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Golden | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Bairan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 11, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| You | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| The Verity Band - Be My Friend (official song) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Life Goes On | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Ghetto Love Story | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| FDO | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 86¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Who will headline Coachella 2027?: Tame Impala — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET
💹 Financials — 26 events, 577 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 54¢ / ask 62¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 11, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,045 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,040 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,035 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,030 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,025 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $54,020 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,015 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,010 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,005 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,995 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,990 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,985 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,980 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,975 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,970 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,965 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,960 | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,955 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,950 | bid 50¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,945 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,940 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,935 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,930 | bid 54¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,925 | bid 55¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
EURUSD price on Aug 14 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET
View market strikes (20 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.173 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1.171 | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 1.169 | bid 13¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 1.167 | bid 18¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 1.165 | bid 21¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 1.163 | bid 26¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 1.161 | bid 31¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 1.159 | bid 35¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 1.157 | bid 41¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 1.155 | bid 47¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 1.153 | bid 53¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 1.151 | bid 58¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 1.149 | bid 63¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 1.147 | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 1.145 | bid 77¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 1.143 | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 1.141 | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1.139 | bid 89¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 1.137 | bid 92¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1.135 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.34% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.32% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.3% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 5.28% or above | bid 19¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 5.26% or above | bid 41¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 5.24% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 5.22% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.14% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.12% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.08% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 5.06% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.79% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.77% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.55% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.53% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.51% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.64% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 4.58% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 4.56% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 58¢ |
| 4.54% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 78¢ |
| 4.52% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.48% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.46% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.44% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.42% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.38% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.36% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.49% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.47% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 4.43% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.39% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.29% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.27% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.25% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.23% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.21% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 11, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.34% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.32% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 4.28% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 28¢ |
| 4.26% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.24% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 68¢ |
| 4.22% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.18% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.16% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.14% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.12% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.08% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.06% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
DoorDash App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 96 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 106 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 104 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 102 | bid 66¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 81¢ / ask 88¢ |
Instacart App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 130 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 125 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 120 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 115 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 74¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 105 | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
DraftKings App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 240 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 51¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 180 | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 160 | bid 77¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 140 | bid 84¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 120 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
Uber Eats App Downloads in August — 6 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 96 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 116 | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 112 | bid 81¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 108 | bid 87¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 104 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
Gemini App Downloads in August — 6 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:09 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 260 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 240 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 180 | bid 82¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 160 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
ChatGPT App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 95 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 115 | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 110 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 105 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 78¢ / ask 86¢ |
Claude App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:07 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 2400 | bid 47¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 2200 | bid 63¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 2000 | bid 78¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 1800 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1600 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 4, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 8¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Neutral | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Greed | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Fear | bid 26¢ / ask 28¢ |
Netflix App Downloads in August — 4 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 90 | bid 2¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 80 | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 70 | bid 25¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 60 | bid 49¢ / ask 95¢ |
Grok App Downloads in August 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 60 | bid 42¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 47¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
FanDuel App Downloads in August — 4 brackets — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 60 | bid 64¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 120 | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 17¢ / ask 20¢ |
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?: In 2026 — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7227 — listed Aug 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,006 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,530 | 17 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +14 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 363 | 46 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +43 more |
| 📊 Economics | 57 | 4 | TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, US gas price up, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 51 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.