📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 24 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 25 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 245 unique markets across 48 new events, plus 5,368 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather
2 events
40 markets
📊 Economics
3 events
24 markets
🎬 Entertainment
3 events
37 markets
🏛️ Politics
4 events
6 markets
🗳️ Elections
7 events
21 markets
💹 Financials
29 events
117 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?: Walmart, Visa, UnitedHealth Group all at bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?: San Francisco bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Seattle bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Oklahoma City bid 14¢ / ask 15¢

Where will the maximum temperature be above 85 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?: Denver bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Dallas bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, San Francisco bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Who will attend Michael Rubin's White Party in 2026?: Travis Scott bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Tom Brady bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Timothée Chalamet bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027: Above 440 million bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Above 435 million bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 430 million bid 16¢ / ask 17¢

How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?: Above 7 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 6 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 5 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢

Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in Q1: Above 118 million bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 116 million bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Above 114 million bid 38¢ / ask 39¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather
📊 Economics
🎬 Entertainment
🏛️ Politics
🗳️ Elections
💹 Financials

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 40 markets

View market options (20 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
San Franciscobid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Seattlebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
San Antoniobid 52¢ / ask 99¢
Phoenixbid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Philadelphiabid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Oklahoma Citybid 14¢ / ask 15¢
New York Citybid 1¢ / ask 3¢
New Orleansbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Minneapolisbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Miamibid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Las Vegasbid 58¢ / ask 94¢
Los Angelesbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Houstonbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Denverbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Washington DCbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Dallasbid 51¢ / ask 98¢
Chicagobid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Bostonbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Austinbid 34¢ / ask 99¢
Atlantabid 1¢ / ask 3¢
View market options (20 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
San Franciscobid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Seattlebid 4¢ / ask 6¢
San Antoniobid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Phoenixbid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Philadelphiabid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Oklahoma Citybid 86¢ / ask 99¢
New York Citybid 11¢ / ask 13¢
New Orleansbid 87¢ / ask 99¢
Minneapolisbid 20¢ / ask 95¢
Miamibid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Las Vegasbid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Los Angelesbid 60¢ / ask 78¢
Houstonbid 60¢ / ask 99¢
Denverbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Washington DCbid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Dallasbid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Chicagobid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Bostonbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Austinbid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Atlantabid 88¢ / ask 99¢

📊 Economics — 3 events, 24 markets

US semiconductor production growth in 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 25, 2026 at 6:07 PM ET

SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 4.75%bid 10¢ / ask 16¢
Above 4.50%bid 16¢ / ask 20¢
Above 4.25%bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
Above 4.00%bid 43¢ / ask 53¢
Above 3.75%bid 66¢ / ask 76¢
Above 3.50%bid 84¢ / ask 90¢
Above 3.25%bid 87¢ / ask 90¢
Above 3.00%bid 88¢ / ask 90¢

Bank of Mexico rate decision in August — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 25, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET

Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 50bps, Hike 50bps, Hike 25bps, Cut more than 50bps, Cut 50bps, Cut 25bps

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 37 markets

View market options (17 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Travis Scottbid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Tom Bradybid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Timothée Chalametbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Meek Millbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Leonardo DiCapriobid 4¢ / ask 5¢
LeBron Jamesbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Kylie Jennerbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Kim Kardashianbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Kevin Hartbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Kendall Jennerbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Justin Bieberbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Jay-Zbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Drakebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Beyoncébid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Bad Bunnybid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Alix Earlebid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Aaron Judgebid 28¢ / ask 29¢

Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination — 17 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET

View market options (17 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yasminelast 1¢ (book empty)
Tommybid 99¢ (no asks)
Tinabid 99¢ (no asks)
Simbalast 1¢ (book empty)
Seanlast 1¢ (book empty)
Samrajlast 1¢ (book empty)
Priyalast 1¢ (book empty)
NONElast 1¢ (book empty)
Micalast 1¢ (book empty)
Lorenzolast 1¢ (book empty)
Lolalast 1¢ (book empty)
Kavanlast 1¢ (book empty)
Jasminelast 1¢ (book empty)
Finleylast 1¢ (book empty)
Ellielast 1¢ (book empty)
Angelistalast 1¢ (book empty)
Aidanlast 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zohran Mamdanibid 1¢ / ask 13¢
Jalen Brunsonbid 12¢ / ask 28¢
OG Anunobybid 7¢ / ask 23¢

🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 6 markets

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jun 28, 2026bid 11¢ / ask 18¢
Before Jul 4, 2026bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 225bid 14¢ / ask 21¢
Above 250bid 10¢ / ask 17¢

John Thune announces departure before the midterms?: Yes (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 21 markets

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 7bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 6bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 5bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 4bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Above 3bid 61¢ / ask 62¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 8bid 15¢ / ask 18¢
Above 6bid 25¢ / ask 27¢
Above 4bid 37¢ / ask 41¢
Above 2bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 10bid 9¢ / ask 11¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 95bid 68¢ / ask 85¢
Above 110bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 105bid 35¢ / ask 44¢
Above 100bid 64¢ / ask 79¢

Chicago Mayor winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Liam Stantonbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Matt Brewerbid 12¢ / ask 18¢
Lisa Madiganbid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Sioux Falls mayor winner — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Jamie Smithbid 34¢ / ask 36¢
Christine Ericksonbid 64¢ / ask 66¢

Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?: Yes (bid 48¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET

New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?: Zohran Mamdani (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET

💹 Financials — 29 events, 117 markets

View market options (25 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Walmartbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Visabid 3¢ / ask 4¢
UnitedHealth Groupbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Travelers Cosbid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Sherwin-Williamsbid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Procter & Gamblebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
NVIDIAbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Nikebid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Microsoftbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Merckbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
McDonald'sbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Coca-Colabid 3¢ / ask 4¢
JPMorgan Chasebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Johnson & Johnsonbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
International Business Machines Corpbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Honeywell Internationalbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Home Depotbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Goldman Sachs Groupbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Walt Disneybid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Chevronbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Cisco Systemsbid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Salesforcebid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Caterpillarbid 5¢ / ask 12¢
Boeingbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
American Expressbid 4¢ / ask 12¢

+ 3 more outcomes

Nu Holdings customers in 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 8:46 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 154 millionbid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above 153 millionbid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above 152 millionbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 151 millionbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 150 millionbid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Above 149 millionbid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Above 148 millionbid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Above 147 millionbid 58¢ / ask 59¢
Above 146 millionbid 72¢ / ask 73¢
Above 145 millionbid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Above 144 millionbid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Above 143 millionbid 88¢ / ask 89¢

Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 25, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET

Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in Q1 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 12:34 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 118 millionbid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 116 millionbid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Above 114 millionbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Above 113 millionbid 47¢ / ask 48¢
Above 112 millionbid 60¢ / ask 61¢
Above 111 millionbid 75¢ / ask 76¢
Above 110 millionbid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 108 millionbid 87¢ / ask 89¢
Above 106 millionbid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Nu Holdings customers in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 141 millionbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 140.5 millionbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 140 millionbid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Above 139.5 millionbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Above 139 millionbid 60¢ / ask 61¢
Above 138.5 millionbid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Above 138 millionbid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Above 137.5 millionbid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 137 millionbid 95¢ / ask 96¢

Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 25, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 440 millionbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 435 millionbid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 430 millionbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Above 425 millionbid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Above 420 millionbid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 415 millionbid 68¢ / ask 69¢
Above 410 millionbid 83¢ / ask 84¢
Above 405 millionbid 91¢ / ask 92¢

Boeing Deliveries in Q2 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 25, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $234bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above $237bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above $240bid 4¢ / ask 12¢

United Airlines passengers in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:16 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 49 millionbid 12¢ / ask 19¢
Above 49.5 millionbid 4¢ / ask 11¢
Above 50 millionbid 2¢ / ask 9¢

Spotify headcount in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:44 AM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 7375bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
Above 7400bid 1¢ / ask 8¢

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 59.5 millionbid 32¢ / ask 39¢
Above 60.5 millionbid 4¢ / ask 11¢

Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 205 millionbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 210 millionbid 3¢ / ask 11¢

Ford US total vehicles sales in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 530 thousandbid 59¢ / ask 67¢
Above 550 thousandbid 12¢ / ask 20¢

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?: Before 2028 (bid 60¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 3:08 PM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.7202 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?: Oura (bid 71¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 9:11 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,368 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.