Kalshi Markets: EV Commodities & Budget Balances

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 07 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 08 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 343 unique markets across 32 new events, plus 4,727 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics

1 event

1 market

🗳️ Elections

1 event

9 markets

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

💹 Financials

7 events

100 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

88 markets

📊 Economics

10 events

100 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

EV commodity prices on Sep 8, 2026: Above 1283.16 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1243.16 bid 91¢ / ask 92¢, Above 1233.16 bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

Italy’s government budget balance in 2026: Above -4.5% of GDP bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above -3.5% of GDP bid 89¢ / ask 90¢, Above -2.0% of GDP bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

France’s government budget balance in 2026: Above -6.5% of GDP bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above -5.5% of GDP bid 81¢ / ask 82¢, Above -4.5% of GDP bid 8¢ / ask 9¢

United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026: Above -5.5% of GDP bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, Above -4.5% of GDP bid 80¢ / ask 81¢, Above -3.5% of GDP bid 20¢ / ask 21¢

Japan’s government budget balance in 2026: Above -3.0% of GDP bid 92¢ / ask 93¢, Above -2.5% of GDP bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Above -1.0% of GDP bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Germany’s government budget balance in 2026: Above -5.0% of GDP bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above -4.0% of GDP bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Above -3.5% of GDP bid 23¢ / ask 24¢

China’s government budget balance in 2026: Above -8.0% of GDP bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, Above -7.5% of GDP bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Above -7.0% of GDP bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 8, 2026?

🏛️ Politics

Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?

🎬 Entertainment

💹 Financials

📊 Economics

🔬 Science and Technology

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 1 market

Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?: Yes (bid 12¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 3:06 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 9 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 39.4%	—
40.0%	ask 75¢ (no bids)
39.9%	last 7¢ (book empty)
39.8%	last 14¢ (book empty)
39.7%	last 75¢ (book empty)
39.6%	—
39.5%	—
39.4%	—
Above 40.0%	—

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Yeh Awarapan, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Samjho Na - THE VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Jubin Nautiyal, Tanishk B, Suvarna, Manoj M, Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Barbaadi

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Janice STFU, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

💹 Financials — 7 events, 100 markets

EURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET

View market strikes (20 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1.179	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.177	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.175	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1.173	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Above 1.171	bid 6¢ / ask 12¢
Above 1.169	bid 12¢ / ask 16¢
Above 1.167	bid 13¢ / ask 32¢
Above 1.165	bid 23¢ / ask 47¢
Above 1.163	bid 31¢ / ask 53¢
Above 1.161	bid 35¢ / ask 66¢
Above 1.159	bid 63¢ / ask 81¢
Above 1.157	bid 72¢ / ask 90¢
Above 1.155	bid 78¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1.153	bid 90¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1.151	bid 94¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1.149	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1.147	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.145	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.143	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.141	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Fear & Greed Index on Oct 2, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Extreme Fear	bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Neutral	bid 20¢ / ask 36¢
Greed	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
Fear	bid 26¢ / ask 41¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 88 markets

Google market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 7:53 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Anthropic market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 7:52 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Qwen market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 7:52 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Tencent market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 7:51 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 7:50 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 7:50 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th — 9 outcomes — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
Xiaomi	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tencent	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Moonshot	bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
DeepSeek	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
ByteDance	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Baidu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alibaba	bid 58¢ / ask 72¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 10 events, 100 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $5.950	—
Above $5.945	—
Above $5.940	—
Above $5.935	—
Above $5.930	—
Above $5.925	—
Above $5.920	—
Above $5.915	—
Above $5.910	—
Above $5.905	—
Above $5.900	—
Above $5.895	—
Above $5.890	—
Above $5.885	—
Above $5.880	—
Above $5.875	—
Above $5.870	—
Above $5.865	bid 70¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.860	—
Above $5.855	—
Above $5.850	bid 60¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Sep 8, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1313.16	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1303.16	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1293.16	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1283.16	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1273.16	bid 23¢ / ask 26¢
Above 1263.16	bid 26¢ / ask 44¢
Above 1253.16	bid 58¢ / ask 89¢
Above 1243.16	bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1233.16	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 1223.16	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 1213.16	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1203.16	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1193.16	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1183.16	bid 88¢ (no asks)
Above 1173.16	bid 98¢ (no asks)

US unemployment rate at year-end 2032 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above 9.0%	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Above 8.5%	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Above 8.0%	bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Above 7.5%	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Above 7.0%	bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Above 6.5%	bid 43¢ / ask 44¢
Above 6.0%	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Above 5.5%	bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 5.0%	bid 57¢ / ask 58¢
Above 4.5%	bid 62¢ / ask 63¢
Above 4.0%	bid 65¢ / ask 66¢
Above 3.5%	bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Above 3.0%	bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Above 10.0%	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢

Italy’s government budget balance in 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET