📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 10 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 11 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 285 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 4,435 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Sep 11, 2026: Above 1243.73 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1193.73 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1213.73 bid 61¢ / ask 63¢
US SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026: Above 290M bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 289M bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 280M bid 94¢ / ask 96¢
US existing home · Median sales price in September: Above $415,000 bid 65¢ / ask 66¢, Above $420,000 bid 46¢ / ask 49¢, Above $435,000 bid 8¢ / ask 12¢
US existing home sales for September: Above 4.00M bid 40¢ / ask 41¢, Above 3.90M bid 60¢ / ask 61¢, Above 3.60M bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Diesel prices this week: Above $6.14 bid 89¢ / ask 90¢, Above $6.26 bid 2¢ / ask 10¢, Above $6.24 bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026?: Above 39.8% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Below 39.2% bid 31¢ / ask 38¢, 39.3% bid 31¢ / ask 38¢
Turkey rate decision in October: Hike more than 250bps, Hike 1-250bps, Cut more than 250bps all at bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026?
- Will EPA publish a final interim SGAR decision before July 2027?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 11, 2026
- Turkey rate decision in October
- US existing home sales for September
- US existing home · Median sales price in September
- US SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 4 markets
Qwen market share this week — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 10, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
OpenAI market share this week: Above 24% (bid 75¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 10 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.2% | bid 31¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 39.8% | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| 39.7% | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| 39.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 7¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 31¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 5¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 39.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Will EPA publish a final interim SGAR decision before July 2027?: Yes — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 76 markets
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula, Пешта, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Sebebi Yar (Live), Mutta Kalakki, Mallepoola Pallaki, KALYANI (Remix), Irumudi Kattu, Hootie Frutti, Golden, FALLEN ANGEL, Dai Dai, Barsaat, Animal
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Tera Mera Rishta, &TEAM 'Mark on Me' Official MV, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NEVER ENOUGH - Arian Romal (Official Music Video) INTERNATIONAL DADDY ALBUM, Golden, EVAN (에반) 'Death of Me' Official MV, Dai Dai, CLICK, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Tera Mera Rishta, &TEAM 'Mark on Me' Official MV, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NEVER ENOUGH - Arian Romal (Official Music Video) INTERNATIONAL DADDY ALBUM, Golden, EVAN (에반) 'Death of Me' Official MV, Dai Dai, CLICK, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: What You Need, Sunflower, Smooth Criminal, misery., Life Goes On, Jolene, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, Animal, AH HA, 9 to 5
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Slipknot - Arsenal [OFFICIAL VIDEO], SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Reap What You Sow, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, AH HA
Oscar nominees: Best Picture: Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother (ask 12¢ (no bids)) — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 2:16 PM ET
📊 Economics — 7 events, 80 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.105 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.100 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.095 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.090 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.085 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.080 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.075 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.070 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.065 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.060 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.055 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.050 | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.045 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.040 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.035 | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.030 | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.025 | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.020 | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.015 | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.010 | bid 19¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.005 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
EV commodity prices on Sep 11, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1333.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1323.73 | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1313.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1303.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1293.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1283.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1273.73 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1263.73 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1253.73 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1243.73 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1233.73 | bid 18¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 1223.73 | bid 19¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 1213.73 | bid 61¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 1203.73 | bid 69¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 1193.73 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
US SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 4:42 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 291M | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 290M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 289M | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 288M | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 287M | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 286M | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 285M | bid 24¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 284M | bid 35¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 283M | bid 43¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 282M | bid 51¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 281M | bid 84¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 280M | bid 94¢ / ask 96¢ |
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.12 | bid 16¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $6.14 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $6.16 | bid 26¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above $6.18 | bid 53¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above $6.20 | bid 34¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above $6.22 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above $6.24 | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $6.26 | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $6.28 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.30 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
US existing home · Median sales price in September — 9 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 4:29 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $445,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $440,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $435,000 | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $430,000 | bid 13¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $425,000 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above $420,000 | bid 46¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $415,000 | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above $410,000 | bid 81¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $405,000 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
US existing home sales for September — 8 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.30M | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 4.20M | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 4.10M | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 4.00M | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 3.90M | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 3.80M | bid 85¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 3.70M | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 3.60M | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
Turkey rate decision in October — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Hike more than 250bps | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Hike 1-250bps | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cut more than 250bps | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cut 1-250bps | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
💹 Financials — 9 events, 115 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 10:22 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.51% or above | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| 4.53% or above | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| 4.55% or above | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| 4.57% or above | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| 4.59% or above | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| 4.61% or above | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| 4.63% or above | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| 4.65% or above | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| 4.67% or above | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| 4.69% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 74¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 9:34 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.91% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 4.99% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 5.03% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 5.07% or above | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| 5.09% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 38¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 9:32 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | bid 49¢ / ask 69¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 45¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 4.86% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 4.94% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 9:31 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 66¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,435 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,584 | 16 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +13 more |
| 📊 Economics | 409 | 27 | Massachusetts gas price, Tennessee gas price, Arizona gas price, +24 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 383 | 56 | Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +53 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 39 | 2 | Top 3 AI companies daily, Top AI model daily token usage |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 20 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP NETFLIX MOVIE, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.