📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 02 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 03 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 222 unique markets across 17 new events, plus 3,759 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Aug 3, 2026: Above 1274.55 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1264.55 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1254.55 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Diesel prices this week?: Above $5.56, Above $5.54, Above $5.52 all at bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
How high will the CAC 40 get in August 2026?: At least €8,750, At least €8,700, At least €8,650 all at bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in August 2026?: At least HK$30,000 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, At least HK$29,500 bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, At least HK$29,000 bid 31¢ / ask 34¢
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: exact place (1st Round): Norman, Graham, Fry bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Norman, Fry, Graham bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Graham, Norman, Fry bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026?
- How high will the CAC 40 get in August 2026?
- How high will the Hang Seng Index get in August 2026?
- How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in August 2026?
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 6 markets
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: exact place (1st Round) — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Norman, Graham, Fry | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Norman, Fry, Graham | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Graham, Norman, Fry | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Graham, Fry, Norman | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Fry, Norman, Graham | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Fry, Graham, Norman | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets
Diesel prices this week? — 21 brackets — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.56 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.54 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.52 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.50 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.48 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.46 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.44 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.42 | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above $5.40 | bid 18¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $5.38 | bid 18¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $5.36 | bid 23¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above $5.34 | bid 26¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above $5.32 | bid 31¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above $5.30 | bid 39¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above $5.28 | bid 41¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above $5.26 | bid 45¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above $5.24 | bid 56¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above $5.22 | bid 56¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above $5.20 | bid 57¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $5.18 | bid 57¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above $5.16 | bid 57¢ / ask 88¢ |
EV commodity prices on Aug 3, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1294.55 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1284.55 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1274.55 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1264.55 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1254.55 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1244.55 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 1234.55 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 1224.55 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 1214.55 | bid 77¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 1204.55 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1194.55 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1184.55 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1174.55 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1164.55 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1154.55 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 14 events, 180 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 4, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 03, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in August 2026? — 14 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 02, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in August 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 12:28 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least HK$30,000 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least HK$29,500 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least HK$29,000 | bid 31¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least HK$28,500 | bid 32¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least HK$28,000 | bid 33¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least HK$27,500 | bid 40¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least HK$27,000 | bid 50¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least HK$26,500 | bid 55¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least HK$26,000 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How high will the CAC 40 get in August 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 02, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least €8,850 | bid 48¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least €8,800 | bid 48¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least €8,750 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least €8,700 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least €8,650 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least €8,600 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7284 — listed Aug 03, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,759 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,320 | 6 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +3 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 46 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more |
| 📊 Economics | 69 | 6 | TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, Price of a Burger King 8-piece nuggets this month, +3 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 10 | 1 | Will Trump do anything today? |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.