📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 15 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 16 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 285 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 7,166 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Sep 16, 2026: Above 1228.52 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1158.52 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 1218.52 bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: At least 6 million bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, At least 25 million bid 4¢ / ask 7¢, At least 21 million bid 10¢ / ask 13¢
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?: At least 9 million bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, At least 30 million bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, At least 15 million bid 56¢ / ask 59¢
Number of rate hikes in 2026?: At least 4 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Exactly 3 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Exactly 0 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?: At least 8 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, At least 3 bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, At least 16 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional): Democrats, ≥8% bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Democrats, ≥12% bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Democrats, ≥6% bid 69¢ / ask 71¢
Game Awards: Best Game Direction: Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Control Resonant bid 9¢ / ask 49¢, Marvel's Wolverine bid 4¢ / ask 46¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
- How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
- How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
- How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026?
- Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 16, 2026
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Semifinal Elimination
- Game Awards: Best Game Direction
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 17, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 17, 2026
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 17, 2026
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 15 markets
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Democrats, ≥8% | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Democrats, ≥6% | bid 69¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Democrats, ≥4% | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Democrats, ≥2% | bid 87¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Democrats, ≥16% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Democrats, ≥14% | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Democrats, ≥12% | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Democrats, ≥10% | bid 27¢ / ask 29¢ |
How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 8 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 4 | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 35¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least 16 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least 12 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least 1 | bid 54¢ / ask 56¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 23 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 16, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.7% | bid 4¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 40.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 40.2% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 40.1% | bid 4¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 50¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 22¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 40.3% | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — 8 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 8 | bid 81¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 6 | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 20 | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| At least 18 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least 16 | bid 21¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least 14 | bid 33¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least 12 | bid 52¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least 10 | bid 67¢ / ask 72¢ |
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 15, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET
Tracking: Mark Carney, Sara Al-Saqqa, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — 3 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 11:53 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 45 | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 55 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
📊 Economics — 5 events, 52 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.360 | — |
| Above $6.355 | — |
| Above $6.350 | — |
| Above $6.345 | — |
| Above $6.340 | — |
| Above $6.335 | — |
| Above $6.330 | — |
| Above $6.325 | — |
| Above $6.320 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.315 | — |
| Above $6.310 | — |
| Above $6.305 | — |
| Above $6.300 | — |
| Above $6.295 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.290 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.285 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.280 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.275 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.270 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.265 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.260 | last 99¢ (book empty) |
EV commodity prices on Sep 16, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1258.52 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1248.52 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1238.52 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1228.52 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1218.52 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 1208.52 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 1198.52 | bid 46¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 1188.52 | bid 87¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 1178.52 | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1168.52 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1158.52 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1148.52 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1138.52 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1128.52 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1118.52 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.46 | bid 68¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above $6.48 | bid 68¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above $6.50 | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $6.52 | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $6.54 | bid 64¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above $6.56 | bid 26¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above $6.58 | bid 36¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $6.60 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above $6.62 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above $6.64 | bid 18¢ / ask 27¢ |
Number of rate hikes in 2026? — 5 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 4 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Exactly 3 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Exactly 2 | bid 41¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Exactly 1 | bid 21¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Exactly 0 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027: Above 4.00 pp (bid 16¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 1:53 PM ET
💹 Financials — 7 events, 95 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.86% or above | — |
| 4.88% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 72¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.94% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 72¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 8:52 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.96% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 5.06% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 5.08% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 5.12% or above | ask 20¢ (no bids) |
| 5.14% or above | ask 19¢ (no bids) |
🎬 Entertainment — 8 events, 100 markets
Steam: Weekly Top Seller — 20 outcomes — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Wuthering Waves | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Warframe | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| WARDOGS | bid 73¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Valheim | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| The Blood of Dawnwalker | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Steam Deck | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| STAR WARS Zero Company™ | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Overwatch® | ask 60¢ (no bids) |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| No Man's Sky | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NBA 2K27 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Marvel Rivals | ask 77¢ (no bids) |
| MapleStory | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| How to Fish | ask 76¢ (no bids) |
| HELLDIVERS™ 2 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Halloween: The Game | ask 60¢ (no bids) |
| Counter-Strike 2 | bid 7¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Borderlands 4 | ask 77¢ (no bids) |
| Bodycam | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Apex Legends™ | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 17, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Zid, Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, MALLEPOOLA PALLAKI 8K VIDEO | RAVI TEJA | GV PRAKASH | DAPPU SRINU | IRUMUDI | AYYAPPA SONG, MALLEPOOLA PALLAKI (Song) | Ravi Teja | GV Prakash | Dappu Srinu | Shiva Nirvana | Irumudi, KALYANI (Remix), Jai Jai Ram, Golden, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, Basinga Balaalu
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 17, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Zid, Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, MALLEPOOLA PALLAKI 8K VIDEO | RAVI TEJA | GV PRAKASH | DAPPU SRINU | IRUMUDI | AYYAPPA SONG, MALLEPOOLA PALLAKI (Song) | Ravi Teja | GV Prakash | Dappu Srinu | Shiva Nirvana | Irumudi, KALYANI (Remix), Jai Jai Ram, Golden, Dai Dai, Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P, Basinga Balaalu
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 17, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: YFG Fatso - "Am I Wrong " [Official Music Video], WTF GOIN, Too Stuck, Sunflower, Splash Bros, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song), KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Joseph, Jai Jai Ram, Golden, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, AH HA
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 80¢ / ask 85¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 50 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 40 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 35 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 30 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 25 million | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 10¢ / ask 13¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 32¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 52¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 57¢ / ask 61¢ |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least 50 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 40 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 35 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 30 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 15¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 42¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 55¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 56¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 74¢ / ask 80¢ |
Game Awards: Best Game Direction — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tie | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Saros | bid 7¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Resident Evil Requiem | bid 9¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Pragmata | bid 6¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Mewgenics | bid 5¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Marvel's Wolverine | bid 4¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Grand Theft Auto VI | bid 12¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Crimson Desert | bid 4¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Control Resonant | bid 9¢ / ask 49¢ |
| The Blood of Dawnwalker | bid 4¢ / ask 49¢ |
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Semifinal Elimination — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 15, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Cesar Dias | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Travis Garland | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Young & Strange | bid 63¢ / ask 97¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
7,166 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 6,301 | 15 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +12 more |
| 📊 Economics | 404 | 25 | Minnesota gas price, Oregon gas price, Maryland gas price, +22 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 101 | 12 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, +9 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.