📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 08 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 09 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 224 unique markets across 32 new events, plus 5,459 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Jun 9, 2026: Above 1220.36 bid 93¢ / ask 94¢, Above 1210.36 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1240.36 bid 53¢ / ask 55¢
Calgary home price below $550K in 2026?: Below C$550,000 — bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Vancouver condo price below $650K in 2026?: Below C$650,000 — bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds: 3 bid 40¢ / ask 41¢, 2 bid 46¢ / ask 47¢, 1 bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
US real GDP growth in 2030?: 6.1% or Above bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 5.6% to 6.0% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 5.1% to 5.5% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Carnival Corporation available lower berth days in Q2 2026
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4
- Calgary home price below $550K in 2026?
- EV commodity prices on Jun 9, 2026
- US real GDP growth in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in 2028?
- US real GDP growth in 2029?
- US real GDP growth in 2030?
- Vancouver condo price below $650K in 2026?
- Alaska Senate election: number of rounds
- CA-04 primary advancers?
- Who will advance in the South Carolina Republican Governor primary?
- Who will AOC endorse?
- Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
- Will Michigan approve a constitutional convention?
- Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island UK Season 13: 3rd Place Couple
- Love Island UK Week 2: Elimination
- Love Island UK: Winning Couple
- Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple
- Love Island USA Week 2: Elimination
- Love Island USA: Winning Couple
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
- Who will Trump pardon?
- Will Peru’s JNE annul the presidential election?
- Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 2 events, 6 markets
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4 — 4 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 8:52 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $8,500 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $9,000 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $9,500 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $10,000 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Carnival Corporation available lower berth days in Q2 2026 — 2 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 24.7 million | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 24.8 million | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 19 markets
Who will AOC endorse? — 7 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Nida Allam | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Graham Platner | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | bid 35¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Claire Valdez | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Connie Chan | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Cori Bush | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 35¢ / ask 37¢ |
Who will advance in the South Carolina Republican Governor primary? — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rom Reddy | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Ralph Norman | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Pamela Evette | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Nancy Mace | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Alan Wilson | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 3 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| 2 | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 1 | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
CA-04 primary advancers?: Ray Riehle (bid 33¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 8:32 PM ET
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Gregory Bovino (bid 6¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET
Will Michigan approve a constitutional convention?: Proposal 2026-01, the Michigan constitutional convention question (bid 11¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: James Talarico (bid 6¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 12:34 PM ET
📊 Economics — 7 events, 73 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 9, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1300.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1290.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1280.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1270.36 | bid 1¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 1260.36 | bid 13¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 1250.36 | bid 16¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 1240.36 | bid 53¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 1230.36 | bid 89¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 1220.36 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 1210.36 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1200.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1190.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1180.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1170.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1160.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
US real GDP growth in 2030? — 14 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 3:03 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 6.1% or Above | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 0.0% or Below | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 5.6% to 6.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.1% to 5.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.6% to 5.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.1% to 4.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.6% to 4.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.1% to 3.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 2.6% to 3.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 2.1% to 2.5% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 1.6% to 2.0% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 1.1% to 1.5% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 0.6% to 1.0% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 0.1% to 0.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 14 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 6.1% or Above | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 0.0% or Below | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 5.6% to 6.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.1% to 5.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.6% to 5.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.1% to 4.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.6% to 4.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.1% to 3.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 2.6% to 3.0% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 2.1% to 2.5% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 1.6% to 2.0% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 1.1% to 1.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 0.6% to 1.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 0.1% to 0.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
US real GDP growth in 2028? — 14 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 6.1% or Above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 0.0% or Below | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 5.6% to 6.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.1% to 5.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.6% to 5.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.1% to 4.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.6% to 4.0% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 3.1% to 3.5% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 2.6% to 3.0% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 2.1% to 2.5% | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 1.6% to 2.0% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 1.1% to 1.5% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 0.6% to 1.0% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 0.1% to 0.5% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 14 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 6.1% or Above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 0.0% or Below | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 5.6% to 6.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.1% to 5.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.6% to 5.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.1% to 4.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.6% to 4.0% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 3.1% to 3.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 2.6% to 3.0% | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 2.1% to 2.5% | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 1.6% to 2.0% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 1.1% to 1.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 0.6% to 1.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 0.1% to 0.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Calgary home price below $550K in 2026?: Below C$550,000 (bid 44¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 7:19 PM ET
Vancouver condo price below $650K in 2026?: Below C$650,000 (bid 16¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 6:56 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 8 events, 20 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14) — 10 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 12:49 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 5 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
Who will attend UFC Freedom 250? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 2:49 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Theo Von | bid 20¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Kyle Forgeard | bid 71¢ / ask 95¢ |
Who will Trump pardon? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todd Blanche | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Eric Trump | bid 39¢ / ask 44¢ |
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?: Steven Cheung (bid 34¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
Which bills will become law in 2026?: Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?: Yes (bid 15¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET
Will Peru’s JNE annul the presidential election?: Before Jul 28, 2026 (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 8 events, 106 markets
Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 11:25 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Aniya and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Beatriz and Caleb | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Caleb | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Caleb | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Caleb | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Caleb | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Corbin | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Caleb | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Bryce | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Gabriel | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and KC | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Sincere | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Zach | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Corbin | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Caleb | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
Love Island USA: Winning Couple — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Aniya and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Beatriz and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kenzie and Caleb | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Melanie and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trinity and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kayda and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen and Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen and Gabriel | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen and KC | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen and Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Jen and Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen and Corbin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol and Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol and Gabriel | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol and KC | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol and Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Sol and Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol and Corbin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol and Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple — 19 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Aniya and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Beatriz and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Kenzie and Caleb | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Melanie and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Trinity and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Bryce | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Gabriel | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and KC | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jen and Zach | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Corbin | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Jen and Caleb | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Bryce | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Gabriel | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and KC | — |
| Sol and Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Sol and Zach | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Sol and Corbin | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
Love Island UK Season 13: 3rd Place Couple — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 08, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
Tracking: Namibia and Aidan, Namibia and Ope, Namibia and Sam, Namibia and Sean, Namibia and Samraj, Namibia and Lorenzo, Namibia and Kavan, Victoria and Aidan, Victoria and Ope, Victoria and Sam, Victoria and Sean, Victoria and Samraj, Victoria and Lorenzo, Victoria and Kavan
Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 08, 2026 at 12:02 PM ET
Tracking: Namibia and Aidan, Namibia and Ope, Namibia and Sam, Namibia and Sean, Namibia and Samraj, Namibia and Lorenzo, Namibia and Kavan, Victoria and Aidan, Victoria and Ope, Victoria and Sam, Victoria and Sean, Victoria and Samraj, Victoria and Lorenzo, Victoria and Kavan
Love Island UK: Winning Couple — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 08, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Tracking: Namibia and Aidan, Namibia and Ope, Namibia and Sam, Namibia and Sean, Namibia and Samraj, Namibia and Lorenzo, Namibia and Kavan, Victoria and Aidan, Victoria and Ope, Victoria and Sam, Victoria and Sean, Victoria and Samraj, Victoria and Lorenzo, Victoria and Kavan
Love Island USA Week 2: Elimination — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Caleb | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jen | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sol | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Love Island UK Week 2: Elimination — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 08, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET
Tracking: Namibia, Victoria
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,459 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,027 | 9 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +6 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 241 | 41 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +38 more |
| 📊 Economics | 131 | 11 | US gas price up, Truflation Bitcoin Purchasing Power Index, CoinMarketCap Total Market Cap , +8 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.