📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 04 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 05 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 115 unique markets across 25 new events, plus 5,594 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on Jun 5, 2026: Above 1300.77 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1290.77 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1250.77 bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Love Island UK S13E5: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes — bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?: Yes — bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
2026 Grammy nominations for Best Rap Album?: OCTANE bid 24¢ / ask 25¢, The Fall-Off bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, ICEMAN bid 42¢ / ask 43¢
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?: Susan Collins bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, Rand Paul bid 74¢ / ask 75¢, John Fetterman bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin
- When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 3
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4
- Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
- Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
- Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?
- #1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?
- 2026 Grammy nominations for Best Rap Album?
- Highest price of the Hermès Kelly this year?
- Love Island UK S13: Winners
- Love Island UK S13E5: Will a new Bombshell enter?
- Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island UK Week 1: Elimination
- Love Island UK: Winning Couple
- Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance
- Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?
- Will Garth Brooks' catalog sell for at least $1.5B this year?
- Will Joe Rogan join 60 Minutes as a Correspondent in 2026?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 7 markets
Claude Opus 4.8 debut arena score — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 10:20 PM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 18 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 5, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1340.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1330.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1320.77 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1310.77 | — |
| Above 1300.77 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1290.77 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1280.77 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1270.77 | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 1260.77 | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 1250.77 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1240.77 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1230.77 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1220.77 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1210.77 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1200.77 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027? — 3 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| More than $1.6 trillion | bid 7¢ / ask 50¢ |
| More than $1.8 trillion | bid 5¢ / ask 45¢ |
| More than $2 trillion | bid 5¢ / ask 50¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 17 markets
Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin — 14 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Spencer Pratt, ≥6% | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Spencer Pratt, 5-6% | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Spencer Pratt, 4-5% | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Spencer Pratt, 3-4% | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Spencer Pratt, 2-3% | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Spencer Pratt, 1-2% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 0-1% | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥6% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 5-6% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 4-5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 3-4% | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 2-3% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 1-2% | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 0-1% | bid 18¢ / ask 20¢ |
When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 12 | bid 40¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Before Jun 20 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Hunter Biden (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:39 PM ET
💹 Financials — 3 events, 17 markets
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $5000 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| above $5500 | bid 46¢ / ask 56¢ |
| above $6000 | bid 38¢ / ask 48¢ |
| above $6500 | bid 33¢ / ask 43¢ |
| above $7000 | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| above $7500 | bid 16¢ / ask 26¢ |
| above $8000 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 3 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $5000 | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| above $5500 | — |
| above $6000 | last 36¢ (book empty) |
| above $6500 | — |
| above $7000 | — |
| above $7500 | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| above $8000 | bid 15¢ / ask 91¢ |
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 13 markets
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? — 9 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville | bid 75¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Thom Tillis | bid 63¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Susan Collins | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Rand Paul | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Mitch McConnell | bid 48¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Lisa Murkowski | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| John Fetterman | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| John Cornyn | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Bill Cassidy | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?: Before Jun 10, 2026 (bid 31¢ / ask 86¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 7:36 PM ET
Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?: Yes (bid 45¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:25 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 12 events, 43 markets
Love Island UK: Winning Couple — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Tracking: Mica and Kavan, Angelista and Kavan, Ellie and Kavan, Jasmine and Kavan, Lola and Kavan, Robyn and Kavan, Yasmine and Kavan, Priya and Aidan, Priya and Ope, Priya and Sam, Priya and Sean, Priya and Samraj, Priya and Lorenzo, Priya and Kavan
Highest price of the Hermès Kelly this year? — 12 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900K | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $800K | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $700K | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $600K | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $500K | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $400K | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $300K | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above $250K | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above $200K | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above $150K | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above $1M | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $100K | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
2026 Grammy nominations for Best Rap Album? — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| OCTANE | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| The Fall-Off | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| ICEMAN | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Don't Be Dumb | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Bully | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sunisa Lee | bid 1¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Larry David | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
Love Island UK S13: Winners — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 5:58 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kavan | bid 5¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Priya | bid 5¢ / ask 11¢ |
Love Island UK Week 1: Elimination — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 5:44 PM ET
Tracking: Kavan, Priya
Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?: Selena Gomez (bid 2¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Love Island UK S13E5: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET
Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple: Mica and Kavan (ask 6¢ (no bids)) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:23 PM ET
Will Joe Rogan join 60 Minutes as a Correspondent in 2026?: Joe Rogan as correspondent? (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
#1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?: Savannah Guthrie (bid 22¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
Will Garth Brooks' catalog sell for at least $1.5B this year?: At least $1.5B (bid 28¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,594 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,108 | 10 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +7 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 137 | 12 | Truflation Bitcoin Purchasing Power Index, CoinMarketCap Total Market Cap , Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index, +9 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.