📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 03 at 11:14 AM ET through May 04 at 11:14 AM ET). Our scan picked up 34 unique markets across 7 new events, plus 5,487 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
EV commodity prices on May 4, 2026: Above 1283.90 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1273.90 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1263.90 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Who will attend The Met Gala?: Drake — ask 80¢ (no bids)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 1 market
Who will attend The Met Gala?: Drake (ask 80¢ (no bids)) — listed May 04, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 5 markets
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 04, 2026 at 11:13 AM ET
Tracking: Before May 23, 2026, Before May 20, 2026, Before May 16, 2026, Before Jun 14, 2026, Before Jun 6, 2026
📊 Economics — 1 event, 15 markets
EV commodity prices on May 4, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 03, 2026 at 8:04 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1293.90 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1283.90 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1273.90 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1263.90 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 1253.90 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 1243.90 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 1233.90 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 1223.90 | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 1213.90 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 1203.90 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1193.90 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 1183.90 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1173.90 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1163.90 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1153.90 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 13 markets
FL-06 Republican nominee? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 04, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET
Tracking: Randy Fine, Ernest Audino, Daniel Bilzerian, Charles Gambaro, Alexandra van Cleef, Aaron Baker
Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 04, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET
Tracking: Before May 15, 2026, Before Jun 29, 2026, Before Jun 9, 2026, Before Jul 1, 2026, Before Aug 1, 2026
Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?: Rini Sampath — listed May 04, 2026 at 10:51 AM ET
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?: Spencer Pratt — listed May 04, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,487 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 113 | 7 | US gas price up, TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, +4 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, Daily US Spotify chart, +1 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.