Kalshi Markets: EV Prices, Oscars, Supreme Court

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 24 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 25 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 868 unique markets across 248 new events, plus 4,790 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather

2 events

20 markets

🏢 Companies

4 events

12 markets

📊 Economics

7 events

71 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

8 events

72 markets

🏛️ Politics

10 events

49 markets

🎬 Entertainment

13 events

106 markets

🗳️ Elections

26 events

134 markets

💹 Financials

178 events

404 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

EV commodity prices on Sep 25, 2026: Above 1205.40 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1195.40 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1255.40 bid 3¢ / ask 14¢

Gemini App Downloads in September: Above 130, Above 150, Above 170 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Oscar Winner: Best International Feature Film: Tie bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, The Spiral bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Possible Love bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?: At least 2.8 million bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, At least 2.5 million bid 89¢ / ask 90¢, At least 2.2 million bid 89¢ / ask 95¢

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?: Eric Tung bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Matthew Schwartz last 1¢ (book empty)

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Ted Cruz — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Grok App Downloads in September: Above 58, Above 54, Above 50 all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

🏢 Companies

📊 Economics

🔬 Science and Technology

🏛️ Politics

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 20 markets

How much will it rain in New York City this weekend? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 24, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 44¢
Above 4.5 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Above 4 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 37¢
Above 3.5 inches	bid 4¢ / ask 51¢
Above 3 inches	bid 43¢ / ask 77¢
Above 2.5 inches	bid 47¢ / ask 60¢
Above 2 inches	bid 44¢ / ask 72¢
Above 1.5 inches	bid 36¢ / ask 70¢
Above 1 inch	bid 67¢ / ask 87¢
Above 0.5 inches	bid 58¢ / ask 99¢

How much will it rain in Boston this weekend? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 24, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 33¢
Above 4.5 inches	bid 42¢ / ask 63¢
Above 4 inches	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢
Above 3.5 inches	bid 52¢ / ask 86¢
Above 3 inches	bid 30¢ / ask 75¢
Above 2.5 inches	bid 38¢ / ask 72¢
Above 2 inches	bid 42¢ / ask 80¢
Above 1.5 inches	bid 59¢ / ask 75¢
Above 1 inch	bid 62¢ / ask 86¢
Above 0.5 inches	bid 83¢ / ask 94¢

🏢 Companies — 4 events, 12 markets

Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 24, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above $6.550	—
Above $6.545	—
Above $6.540	—
Above $6.535	—
Above $6.530	—
Above $6.525	—
Above $6.520	—
Above $6.515	—
Above $6.510	—
Above $6.505	—
Above $6.500	bid 6¢ / ask 50¢
Above $6.495	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.490	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.485	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above $6.480	bid 41¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.475	bid 26¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.470	bid 50¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.465	bid 56¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.460	bid 39¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.455	bid 30¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.450	bid 31¢ / ask 98¢

Bracket	Price
Above 1305.40	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 1295.40	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 1285.40	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 1275.40	ask 13¢ (no bids)
Above 1265.40	ask 14¢ (no bids)
Above 1255.40	bid 3¢ / ask 14¢
Above 1245.40	bid 5¢ / ask 35¢
Above 1235.40	bid 12¢ / ask 42¢
Above 1225.40	bid 36¢ / ask 79¢
Above 1215.40	bid 79¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1205.40	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1195.40	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1185.40	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1175.40	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1165.40	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above $420,000	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above $415,000	bid 11¢ / ask 85¢
Above $410,000	bid 17¢ / ask 86¢
Above $405,000	bid 22¢ / ask 88¢
Above $400,000	bid 35¢ / ask 89¢
Above $395,000	bid 42¢ / ask 92¢
Above $390,000	bid 55¢ / ask 92¢
Above $385,000	bid 68¢ / ask 92¢
Above $380,000	bid 78¢ / ask 92¢
Above $375,000	bid 86¢ / ask 93¢
Above $370,000	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above $365,000	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢

Bracket	Price
Above 740,000	bid 3¢ / ask 51¢
Above 720,000	bid 8¢ / ask 65¢
Above 700,000	bid 13¢ / ask 69¢
Above 680,000	bid 19¢ / ask 86¢
Above 660,000	bid 20¢ / ask 70¢
Above 640,000	bid 21¢ / ask 86¢
Above 620,000	bid 20¢ / ask 92¢
Above 600,000	bid 55¢ / ask 96¢

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 60¢ / ask 66¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 21¢ / ask 26¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 16¢ / ask 67¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 9¢ / ask 62¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 22¢ / ask 74¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Bracket	Price
Above 90%	bid 22¢ / ask 54¢
Above 87%	bid 14¢ / ask 83¢
Above 84%	bid 14¢ / ask 84¢
Above 81%	bid 16¢ / ask 83¢
Above 78%	bid 17¢ / ask 90¢
Above 75%	bid 20¢ / ask 88¢
Above 72%	bid 21¢ / ask 89¢
Above 69%	bid 22¢ / ask 91¢
Above 66%	bid 16¢ / ask 92¢

Bracket	Price
Above 8%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 25%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 22%	bid 10¢ / ask 86¢
Above 20%	bid 9¢ / ask 86¢
Above 18%	bid 9¢ / ask 84¢
Above 16%	bid 6¢ / ask 83¢
Above 15%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 13%	bid 14¢ / ask 90¢
Above 11%	bid 7¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 30%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 28%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 26%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 25%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 24%	bid 7¢ / ask 84¢
Above 23%	bid 10¢ / ask 83¢
Above 21%	bid 18¢ / ask 82¢
Above 20%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 18%	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 45%	bid 8¢ / ask 71¢
Above 42%	bid 9¢ / ask 82¢
Above 40%	bid 11¢ / ask 80¢
Above 39%	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Above 37%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 36%	bid 19¢ / ask 96¢
Above 34%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 32%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 30%	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 19%	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 17%	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 16%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 15%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 14%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 13%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 12%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 10%	bid 7¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 27%	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 25%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 23%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 21%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 19%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 17%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 15%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 13%	bid 7¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 8.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 88¢
Above 7.5%	bid 6¢ / ask 86¢
Above 6.5%	bid 6¢ / ask 82¢
Above 5.5%	bid 70¢ / ask 78¢
Above 4.5%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 3.5%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 2.5%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 11%	ask 91¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Above 24%	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above 22%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 21%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 19%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 18%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 17%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 16%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 14%	bid 14¢ (no asks)
Above 12%	bid 15¢ (no asks)

Outcome	Price
Vanessa Nakate	bid 1¢ / ask 40¢
International Space Station / ISS partnership	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Chow Hang-tung	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Parents Circle – Families Forum	ask 8¢ (no bids)
International Association of Judges (IAJ)	ask 8¢ (no bids)
World Trade Organization	ask 8¢ (no bids)
International Peace Research Association (IPRA)	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Matt Meyer	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Svalbard Global Seed Vault	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Yad Vashem	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Reporters Without Borders (RSF)	ask 8¢ (no bids)
International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Concordis International	ask 8¢ (no bids)

Bracket	Price
Below 7.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
8.4%	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
8.3%	bid 29¢ / ask 35¢
8.2%	bid 35¢ / ask 40¢
8.1%	bid 14¢ / ask 19¢
8.0%	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
7.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
7.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 8.4%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Bracket	Price
Below 38.5%	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
39.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
39.0%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
38.9%	bid 13¢ / ask 15¢
38.8%	bid 27¢ / ask 29¢
38.7%	bid 34¢ / ask 36¢
38.6%	bid 12¢ / ask 14¢
38.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 39.1%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Before Oct 22, 2026	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Before Oct 8, 2026	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Before Nov 5, 2026	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Before Dec 3, 2026	bid 8¢ (no asks)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 41¢ / ask 61¢
Before Aug 1, 2027	bid 38¢ / ask 60¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 29¢ / ask 43¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 22¢ / ask 41¢

New Kalshi Markets: EV Commodity Prices, Oscar Winner, Supreme Court Justice — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:20 AM ET, Sep 25)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 20 markets

🏢 Companies — 4 events, 12 markets

📊 Economics — 7 events, 71 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets

🏛️ Politics — 10 events, 49 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 13 events, 106 markets

🗳️ Elections — 26 events, 134 markets

💹 Financials — 178 events, 404 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢

Outcome	Price
Matthew Schwartz	last 1¢ (book empty)
Eric Tung	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Outcome	Price
Taylor Hanson	bid 32¢ / ask 44¢
Tyler Cameron	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Tatyana Ali	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Maura Higgins	bid 24¢ / ask 78¢
Julia Stiles	bid 34¢ / ask 64¢
Jackson Olson	bid 14¢ / ask 37¢
Jenna Dewan	bid 58¢ / ask 84¢
Harry Shum Jr.	bid 67¢ / ask 78¢
Guillermo Rodriguez	bid 16¢ / ask 79¢
Ezra Frech	bid 58¢ / ask 91¢
Connor Wood	bid 33¢ / ask 58¢
Ciara Miller	bid 12¢ / ask 50¢
Amber Glenn	bid 62¢ / ask 78¢

Outcome	Price
Tie	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
The Spiral	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Possible Love	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Minotaur	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
La Bola Negra	bid 66¢ / ask 68¢
Fjord	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Feito Pipa	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Fatherland	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Everytime	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Coward	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
All of a Sudden	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Bracket	Price
Above 46%	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 44%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 42%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 40%	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Above 38%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 36%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 34%	bid 12¢ / ask 91¢
Above 32%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 30%	bid 9¢ / ask 89¢
Above 28%	bid 9¢ / ask 89¢

Bracket	Price
Above 44%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 42%	bid 7¢ / ask 16¢
Above 40%	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
Above 38%	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
Above 36%	bid 25¢ / ask 33¢
Above 34%	bid 31¢ / ask 40¢
Above 32%	bid 47¢ / ask 56¢
Above 30%	bid 64¢ / ask 73¢
Above 28%	bid 80¢ / ask 89¢

Bracket	Price
Above 9%	bid 11¢ / ask 78¢
Above 8%	bid 14¢ / ask 80¢
Above 7%	bid 14¢ / ask 82¢
Above 6%	bid 14¢ / ask 83¢
Above 5%	bid 17¢ / ask 84¢
Above 4%	bid 16¢ / ask 88¢
Above 3%	bid 19¢ / ask 91¢
Above 2%	bid 20¢ / ask 92¢
Above 10%	bid 8¢ / ask 75¢

Outcome	Price
R+4 or more	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
D+6 to D+7.9	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
D+4 to D+5.9	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
R+2 to R+3.9	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
D+2 to D+3.9	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
R+0.1 to R+1.9	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
D+0 to D+1.9	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
D+8 or more	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢

Bracket	Price
At least 2.6 million	bid 17¢ / ask 22¢
At least 2.4 million	bid 28¢ / ask 38¢
At least 2.2 million	bid 40¢ / ask 49¢
At least 2 million	bid 52¢ / ask 62¢
At least 1.8 million	bid 65¢ / ask 75¢
At least 1.6 million	bid 77¢ / ask 87¢
At least 1.4 million	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢

Bracket	Price
At least 4 million	bid 8¢ / ask 22¢
At least 3.7 million	bid 9¢ / ask 29¢
At least 3.4 million	bid 10¢ / ask 34¢
At least 3.1 million	bid 15¢ / ask 54¢
At least 2.8 million	bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
At least 2.5 million	bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
At least 2.2 million	bid 89¢ / ask 95¢