📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 08 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 09 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 356 unique markets across 49 new events, plus 5,529 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026): No Decision bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, Withdrawn by Sponsor bid 19¢ / ask 21¢, Full Approval bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
Benjamin Netanyahu out as Prime Minister of Israel?: Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?: 3 bid 20¢ / ask 21¢, 1 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, 0 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?: Before Jan 1, 2033 — bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 57¢ / ask 58¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 51¢ / ask 52¢, Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 46¢ / ask 48¢
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 5: Above $900 bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, Above $700 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, Above $1800 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?: 5.15% or above bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, 5.1% or above bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, 5% or above bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- CA-04 primary advancers?
- How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Love Island UK: Tuesday Elimination
- Love Island USA: Tuesday elimination
- Calgary home price below $550K in 2026?
- Edmonton home price below $450K in 2026?
- EV commodity prices on Jun 9, 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- US existing home sales for June
- Vancouver condo price below $650K in 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026)
- FDA decision: Gedatolisib by Celcuity Inc. (July 2026)
- FDA decision: Roflumilast (ARQ-151) by Arcutis Biotherapeutics (June 2026)
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 5
- Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2
- Benjamin Netanyahu out as Prime Minister of Israel?
- Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Traffic through the Panama Canal in Jun 2026?
- When will FISA be reauthorized again?
- When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
- When will Joe Biden’s presidential memoir be released?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
- Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
- Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?
- Altria Group Inc. domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
- Boeing Company (The) commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Carnival Corporation available lower berth days in 2026
- Carvana Co. retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
- Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. total restaurant count in 2026
- eBay Inc. gross merchandise volume in 2026
- Ford Motor Company u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Grab Holdings Limited monthly transacting users in 2026
- Meta Platforms Inc. family daily active people in 2026
- Philip Morris International Inc zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026
- Robinhood Markets Inc. funded customers in 2026
- Southwest Airlines Company seats flown in 2026
- Spotify Technology S.A. premium subscribers in 2026
- Spotify Technology S.A. total monthly active users in 2026
- Starbucks Corporation comparable transactions growth in 2026
- Starbucks Corporation total global stores in 2026
- Tesla Inc. total deliveries in 2026
- Tesla Inc. total production in 2026
- United Airlines Holdings Inc. passengers flown in 2026
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 7 markets
Top Math AI this month — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET
Tracking: Qwen, Minimax, Mimo, Kimi, Gemini, Claude, ChatGPT
🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 8 markets
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 5 | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 4 | bid 20¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 3 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 2 | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 1 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 0 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 5 | bid 16¢ / ask 19¢ |
CA-04 primary advancers?: Ray Riehle (bid 48¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 8:32 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 54 markets
Love Island UK: Tuesday Elimination — 17 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Victoria | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sam | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Robyn | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ope | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Namibia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Love Island USA: Tuesday elimination — 15 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 9:53 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trinity | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sincere | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Melanie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kenzie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KC | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kayda | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gabriel | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Corbin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Beatriz | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aniya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 78¢ / ask 94¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 50 million | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 40 million | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 35 million | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| At least 30 million | bid 13¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 2¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 15¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 35¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 28¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 52¢ / ask 57¢ |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 70¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 50 million | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 40 million | bid 2¢ / ask 68¢ |
| At least 35 million | bid 1¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least 30 million | bid 20¢ / ask 73¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 48¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 53¢ / ask 96¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 48¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 54¢ / ask 93¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 36¢ / ask 96¢ |
💹 Financials — 6 events, 33 markets
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 5 — 12 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900 | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above $800 | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $700 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $1800 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $1700 | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $1600 | bid 19¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above $1500 | bid 28¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above $1400 | bid 27¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above $1300 | bid 28¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above $1200 | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $1100 | bid 53¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above $1000 | bid 61¢ / ask 64¢ |
FDA decision: Gedatolisib by Celcuity Inc. (July 2026) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:47 PM ET
Tracking: Withdrawn by Sponsor, No Decision, Full Approval, Denied (CRL Issued), Conditional / Accelerated Approval
FDA decision: Roflumilast (ARQ-151) by Arcutis Biotherapeutics (June 2026) — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Withdrawn by Sponsor | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| No Decision | bid 6¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Full Approval | bid 79¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Denied (CRL Issued) | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Conditional / Accelerated Approval | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026) — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Withdrawn by Sponsor | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| No Decision | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Full Approval | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Denied (CRL Issued) | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Conditional / Accelerated Approval | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? — 4 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.15% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET
📊 Economics — 6 events, 33 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 9, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1300.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1290.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1280.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1270.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1260.36 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1250.36 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1240.36 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 1230.36 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1220.36 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1210.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1200.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1190.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1180.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1170.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1160.36 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
US existing home sales for June — 8 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.50M | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 4.40M | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 4.30M | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 4.20M | bid 28¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 4.10M | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 4.00M | bid 79¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 3.90M | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 3.80M | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.2% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 1.0% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 0.8% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 0.6% | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 0.4% | bid 46¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 0.2% | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 0.0% | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
Edmonton home price below $450K in 2026?: Below C$450,000 (bid 15¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
Calgary home price below $550K in 2026?: Below C$550,000 (bid 59¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 7:19 PM ET
Vancouver condo price below $650K in 2026?: Below C$650,000 (bid 16¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Jun 08, 2026 at 6:56 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 28 markets
Traffic through the Panama Canal in Jun 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 950 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 900 | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 1,200 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 1,150 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 1,100 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 1,050 | bid 62¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 1,000 | bid 76¢ / ask 83¢ |
When will ICE removal operations be funded again? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 3:03 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 12, 2026 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Before Jun 13, 2026 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Before Jun 10, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Before Jun 11, 2026 | bid 70¢ / ask 99¢ |
Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 46¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 21¢ / ask 24¢ |
When will Joe Biden’s presidential memoir be released? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 56¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 83¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 46¢ / ask 48¢ |
When will FISA be reauthorized again? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 6:25 PM ET
Tracking: Before Aug 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027
Benjamin Netanyahu out as Prime Minister of Israel? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
Which bills will become law in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 11:58 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| ADS-B revenue-use restriction | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Insulin cost cap | bid 37¢ / ask 43¢ |
Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI?: Before June 20, 2026 — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 6:23 PM ET
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?: Yes (bid 35¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?: Riley Moore (bid 45¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?: Before Jan 1, 2033 (bid 21¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Jun 09, 2026 at 12:31 PM ET
🏢 Companies — 19 events, 193 markets
eBay Inc. gross merchandise volume in 2026 — 17 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Grab Holdings Limited monthly transacting users in 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Carvana Co. retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 — 14 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Altria Group Inc. domestic cigarette shipments in 2026 — 14 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. total restaurant count in 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Carnival Corporation available lower berth days in 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Robinhood Markets Inc. funded customers in 2026 — 12 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Ford Motor Company u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Tesla Inc. total deliveries in 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Tesla Inc. total production in 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Meta Platforms Inc. family daily active people in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Starbucks Corporation total global stores in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Boeing Company (The) commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Spotify Technology S.A. premium subscribers in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Philip Morris International Inc zyn u.s. shipment volume in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:17 PM ET
Spotify Technology S.A. total monthly active users in 2026 — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
United Airlines Holdings Inc. passengers flown in 2026 — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:17 PM ET
Starbucks Corporation comparable transactions growth in 2026 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
Southwest Airlines Company seats flown in 2026 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 09, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,529 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 241 | 41 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +38 more |
| 📊 Economics | 183 | 11 | Inflation, US gas price up, Truflation Bitcoin Purchasing Power Index, +8 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 80 | 8 | RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, +5 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.