📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 11 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 12 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 805 unique markets across 61 new events, plus 4,131 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?: Ralph Norman bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, No one bid 59¢ / ask 60¢, Darline Graham bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Maryland State Senate District 2 winner?: Paul Corderman bid 85¢ / ask 86¢, Eric Van Buren bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?: Amy Klobuchar bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Ilhan Omar bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Tim Walz bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?: Before Oct 3, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Nov 21, 2026 bid 11¢ / ask 25¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 13¢ / ask 41¢
Trump's approval rating on Aug 13, 2026?: 39.1 bid 62¢ / ask 63¢, Above 39.5 bid 1¢ / ask 7¢, Below 38.9 bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.355 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.380 bid 70¢ / ask 91¢, Above $5.375 bid 70¢ / ask 93¢
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026?: 5.37% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 5.35% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 5.33% or above bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 12, 2026
- US Strategic Petroleum Reserve in August 14, 2026
- How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
- Maryland State Senate District 2 winner?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
- Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
- Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?
- Oscar nominees: Best Actress
- Oscar winner: Best Actress
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 13, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 13, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 13, 2026
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 13, 2026?
- When will government-wide funding become law?
- When will the debt limit be increased?
- When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
- Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount in Aug 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026?
- CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3
- Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026
- Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3
- Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026
- Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026
- Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3
- Grindr average paying users in fiscal 2026
- Grindr average paying users in Q3
- Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026
- Lemonade total customers in Q3
- Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026
- Life360 monthly active users in Q3
- Neptune Insurance policies in force in fiscal 2026
- Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3
- Paymentus transactions processed in fiscal 2026
- Paymentus transactions processed in Q3
- Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026
- Remitly active customers in Q3
- Sezzle gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
- Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3
- SoFi members in fiscal 2026
- SoFi members in Q3
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?
- Workiva customers over $100k ACV in fiscal 2026
- Workiva customers over $100k ACV in Q3
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 6 markets
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 6 markets
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7% | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 6.5% | — |
| Above 6% | — |
| Above 5.5% | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 5% | — |
| Above 4.5% | — |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 49 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.410 | bid 5¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above $5.405 | bid 20¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above $5.400 | bid 30¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $5.395 | bid 36¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above $5.390 | bid 55¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $5.385 | bid 52¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above $5.380 | bid 70¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $5.375 | bid 70¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.370 | bid 63¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.365 | bid 61¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.360 | bid 66¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.355 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.350 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.345 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.340 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.335 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.330 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.325 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.320 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.315 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.310 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Aug 12, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1311.95 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1301.95 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1291.95 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1281.95 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1271.95 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1261.95 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1251.95 | bid 1¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 1241.95 | bid 11¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 1231.95 | bid 66¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 1221.95 | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1211.95 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1201.95 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1191.95 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1181.95 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1171.95 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
US Strategic Petroleum Reserve in August 14, 2026 — 13 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 311M | bid 1¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 310M | bid 15¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 309M | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 308M | bid 15¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 307M | bid 15¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 306M | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 305M | — |
| Above 304M | bid 15¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 303M | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 302M | — |
| Above 301M | bid 15¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 300M | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 299M | — |
🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 22 markets
Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — 12 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tim Walz | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Steve Simon | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| No one | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Melisa López Franzen | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kelly Morrison | bid 3¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Keith Ellison | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Ilhan Omar | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Erin Murphy | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Betty McCollum | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Amy Klobuchar | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Angie Craig | bid 7¢ / ask 49¢ |
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms? — 4 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 4 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least 1 | bid 33¢ / ask 76¢ |
Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ralph Norman | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| No one | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Darline Graham | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
Maryland State Senate District 2 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Paul Corderman | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Eric Van Buren | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?: Unity — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 47 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 13, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | bid 15¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Waka Waka | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | bid 15¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sebebi Yar | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Nano | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Life Goes On | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 18¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Jaiye Sajana | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | bid 16¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Dai Dai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Arz Kiya Hai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 13, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | ask 21¢ (no bids) |
| Waka Waka | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | ask 47¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sebebi Yar | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Nano | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jaiye Sajana | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Arz Kiya Hai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 13, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| The Verity Band - Be My Friend (official song) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | bid 18¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Pooh Shiesty - Still On Timing (feat. BIG30) [Official Audio] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | bid 3¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Golden | bid 15¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Ghetto Love Story | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| FDO | bid 3¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Dai Dai | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 17¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Beat It | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Oscar winner: Best Actress: Olivia Wilde (bid 1¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:58 AM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Olivia Wilde — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:53 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 7 events, 26 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 13, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.5 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 39.5 | bid 2¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 14¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 12¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 39.1 | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 39.0 | bid 3¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 38.9 | bid 4¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Below 38.9 | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Anna Kelly | bid 4¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Natalie Harp | bid 2¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Liz Huston | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Rachel Campos-Duffy | bid 3¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Spencer Pratt | bid 1¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Roma Daravi | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Lara Trump | bid 2¢ / ask 45¢ |
When will the debt limit be increased? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2028
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 11:07 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 13¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Before Oct 3, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Before Nov 21, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 25¢ |
When will government-wide funding become law? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET
Tracking: Before Sep 18, 2026, Before Sep 11, 2026
Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount in Aug 2026?: Yes (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 12:08 AM ET
Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 8¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Aug 11, 2026 at 8:39 PM ET
💹 Financials — 39 events, 649 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,895 | bid 5¢ / ask 76¢ |
| At least $53,890 | bid 5¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $53,885 | bid 5¢ / ask 71¢ |
| At least $53,880 | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least $53,875 | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least $53,870 | bid 5¢ / ask 73¢ |
| At least $53,865 | bid 5¢ / ask 77¢ |
| At least $53,860 | bid 5¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $53,855 | bid 5¢ / ask 73¢ |
| At least $53,850 | bid 5¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least $53,845 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,840 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,835 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,830 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,825 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,820 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,815 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,810 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,805 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,800 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,795 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,790 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,785 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,780 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,775 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,895 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $53,890 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $53,885 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $53,880 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $53,875 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $53,870 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $53,865 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,860 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,855 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,850 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,845 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,895 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $53,890 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $53,885 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $53,880 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $53,875 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $53,870 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $53,865 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $53,860 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,855 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,850 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,845 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 35¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,820 | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,815 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,810 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,805 | bid 40¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,800 | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,795 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,790 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,785 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,780 | bid 44¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,775 | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,895 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,890 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,885 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,880 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,875 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,870 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,865 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,860 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,855 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,850 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,845 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,840 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,835 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,830 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,825 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,820 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,815 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,810 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,805 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,800 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,795 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,790 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,785 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,780 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,775 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,895 | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least $53,890 | bid 5¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $53,885 | bid 5¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $53,880 | bid 5¢ / ask 76¢ |
| At least $53,875 | bid 5¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least $53,870 | bid 5¢ / ask 76¢ |
| At least $53,865 | bid 5¢ / ask 77¢ |
| At least $53,860 | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least $53,855 | bid 5¢ / ask 76¢ |
| At least $53,850 | bid 5¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least $53,845 | bid 5¢ / ask 76¢ |
| At least $53,840 | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least $53,835 | bid 5¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least $53,830 | bid 5¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least $53,825 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,820 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,815 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,810 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,805 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,800 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,795 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,790 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,785 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,780 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,775 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 13, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,895 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,890 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,885 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,880 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,875 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,870 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,865 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,860 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,855 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,850 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,845 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,840 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,835 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,830 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,825 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,820 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,815 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,810 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,805 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,800 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,795 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,790 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,785 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,780 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least $53,775 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
+ 35 more
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.39% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.37% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.35% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.33% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.31% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 5.29% or above | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 5.27% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 5.25% or above | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 5.23% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 5.21% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 5.19% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 5.17% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.13% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.11% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.84% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.82% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.8% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.66% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.64% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.58% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.56% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.69% or above | — |
| 4.67% or above | — |
| 4.65% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.63% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 4.51% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 4.49% or above | bid 78¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 4.47% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.43% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.54% or above | — |
| 4.52% or above | — |
| 4.5% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.48% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.46% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 4.44% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 4.42% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 4.38% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 4.36% or above | bid 70¢ / ask 72¢ |
| 4.34% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.32% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.28% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.26% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 13, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.34% or above | — |
| 4.32% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.28% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.26% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 4.24% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 4.22% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 4.18% or above | bid 70¢ / ask 72¢ |
| 4.16% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.14% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.12% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.08% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.06% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Sezzle gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.65 billion | bid 2¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above $5.6 billion | — |
| Above $5.55 billion | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.5 billion | bid 7¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above $5.45 billion | — |
| Above $5.4 billion | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.35 billion | bid 20¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above $5.3 billion | — |
| Above $5.25 billion | — |
Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 11.5 million | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 11.4 million | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 11.3 million | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 11.2 million | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 11.1 million | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 11 million | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 10.9 million | bid 55¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 10.8 million | bid 70¢ / ask 79¢ |
Life360 monthly active users in Q3 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 108 million | — |
| Above 107.5 million | bid 20¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 107 million | — |
| Above 106.5 million | — |
| Above 106 million | bid 20¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 105.5 million | — |
| Above 105 million | — |
| Above 104.5 million | bid 30¢ / ask 98¢ |
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 5:42 PM ET
Tracking: Before Mar 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Sep 1, 2026, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5160 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 5140 | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 5120 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 5100 | bid 27¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 5080 | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 5060 | bid 65¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 5040 | bid 80¢ / ask 88¢ |
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $9.9 billion | — |
| Above $9.8 billion | — |
| Above $9.7 billion | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above $9.6 billion | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $9.5 billion | — |
| Above $9.4 billion | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above $9.3 billion | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 115 million | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 114 million | — |
| Above 113 million | — |
| Above 112 million | — |
| Above 111 million | — |
| Above 110 million | — |
| Above 109 million | — |
SoFi members in Q3 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 17.3 million | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 17.2 million | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 17.1 million | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 17 million | bid 15¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 16.9 million | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 16.8 million | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 16.7 million | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
Remitly active customers in Q3 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 10.8 million | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 10.7 million | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 10.6 million | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 10.5 million | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 10.4 million | bid 74¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 10.3 million | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 10.2 million | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
SoFi members in fiscal 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 18.6 million | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 18.4 million | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 18.2 million | bid 62¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 18 million | bid 84¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 17.8 million | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 17.6 million | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
Workiva customers over $100k ACV in Q3 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 2860 | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2840 | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 2820 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 2800 | bid 49¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 2780 | bid 78¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 2760 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9% | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8% | bid 16¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 7% | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 6% | bid 21¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 11% | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 10% | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Workiva customers over $100k ACV in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3020 | bid 16¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 2980 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 2940 | bid 73¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 2900 | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 2860 | bid 95¢ / ask 97¢ |
Paymentus transactions processed in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 910 million | — |
| Above 890 million | bid 4¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 870 million | — |
| Above 850 million | — |
| Above 830 million | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
Neptune Insurance policies in force in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 400000 | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| Above 390000 | — |
| Above 380000 | — |
| Above 370000 | — |
| Above 360000 | — |
Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Grindr average paying users in fiscal 2026 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4940 | bid 15¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 4920 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 4900 | bid 61¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 4880 | bid 79¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 4860 | bid 88¢ / ask 96¢ |
Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $1.44 billion | — |
| Above $1.42 billion | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above $1.4 billion | — |
| Above $1.38 billion | — |
| Above $1.36 billion | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 350000 | — |
| Above 345000 | bid 16¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 340000 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 335000 | — |
| Above 330000 | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
Lemonade total customers in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.52 million | bid 16¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 3.5 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.48 million | — |
| Above 3.46 million | — |
| Above 3.44 million | bid 17¢ (no asks) |
Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80 | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 70 | — |
| Above 60 | — |
| Above 50 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 40 | — |
Grindr average paying users in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.54 million | — |
| Above 1.52 million | — |
| Above 1.5 million | — |
| Above 1.48 million | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1.46 million | — |
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $2.7 billion | — |
| Above $2.6 billion | — |
| Above $2.5 billion | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above $2.4 billion | — |
| Above $2.3 billion | — |
Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.75 million | — |
| Above 3.7 million | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3.65 million | — |
| Above 3.6 million | — |
Paymentus transactions processed in Q3 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 227.5 million | bid 20¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 225 million | — |
| Above 222.5 million | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 220 million | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.7808 — listed Aug 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,131 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,373 | 18 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +15 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 46 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 348 | 8 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +5 more |
| 📊 Economics | 50 | 6 | US gas price up, Iran crude oil production in [month], WEF tweets, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.