📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 25 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 26 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 23 unique markets across 8 new events, plus 5,485 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/26-7/3)?: Above 5.7% — bid 35¢ / ask 40¢
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/26-7/3)?: Above 39.4% — bid 50¢ / ask 55¢
AI capability growth this year?: At least 1530 score bid 65¢ / ask 72¢, At least 1540 score bid 43¢ / ask 50¢, At least 1520 score bid 76¢ / ask 84¢
NBA 2K27 cover athlete: Caitlin Clark — bid 1¢ / ask 15¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 1 market
NBA 2K27 cover athlete: Caitlin Clark (bid 1¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Jun 26, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/26-7/3)?: Above 5.7% (bid 35¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Jun 26, 2026 at 10:11 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 3 markets
AI capability growth this year? — 3 brackets — listed Jun 26, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 1540 score | bid 43¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 1530 score | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least 1520 score | bid 76¢ / ask 84¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 18 markets
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/28-7/4) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 26, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
Trump late night post this week? (6/28-7/4) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 26, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/29-7/5) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 26, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/28 - 7/4): Above 0 — listed Jun 26, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/26-7/3)?: Above 39.4% (bid 50¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Jun 26, 2026 at 10:08 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,485 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 109 | 11 | Weekly US Spotify album chart, Weekly US Spotify artist chart, Weekly US Spotify chart, +8 more |
| 📊 Economics | 29 | 2 | US gas price up, US gas price up |
| 🏛️ Politics | 28 | 4 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 5 | RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.