Kalshi's Top Markets: Graham vs Donalds, OpenAI, Google

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 23 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 24 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 284 unique markets across 152 new events, plus 1,390 recurring bracket markets.

🎬 Entertainment

1 event

15 markets

🗳️ Elections

4 events

32 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

12 events

102 markets

💹 Financials

135 events

135 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?: Darline Graham bid 53¢ / ask 56¢, Byron Donalds bid 44¢ / ask 49¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 14.6% bid 41¢ / ask 65¢, Above 14.2% bid 37¢ / ask 67¢, Above 15.7% bid 32¢ / ask 63¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 6.6% bid 41¢ / ask 67¢, Above 7.5% bid 33¢ / ask 61¢, Above 9.7% bid 29¢ / ask 59¢

Google share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 12.3% bid 32¢ / ask 60¢, Above 11.9% bid 32¢ / ask 65¢, Above 12.8% bid 28¢ / ask 62¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 20.6% bid 33¢ / ask 62¢, Above 19.9% bid 33¢ / ask 73¢, Above 18.8% bid 36¢ / ask 77¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 13.1% bid 29¢ / ask 58¢, Above 12.6% bid 31¢ / ask 61¢, Above 11.9% bid 39¢ / ask 69¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 7.4% bid 31¢ / ask 63¢, Above 7.5% bid 30¢ / ask 65¢, Above 6.9% bid 38¢ / ask 76¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🎬 Entertainment

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 25, 2026

🗳️ Elections

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 15 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 25, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 95¢ (no bids)
The Aura Farmer	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tate McRae - 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show Performance	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Straight Tequila Night (Official Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Nicole Kidman	ask 95¢ (no bids)
❌Ángel Caído (R.I.P. Santa Fe Klan)❌ 🐀	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Housewife (Official Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 8: hLOheGDwD_0]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
AH HA	ask 95¢ (no bids)

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 32 markets

Which local officials will be recalled? — 14 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET

View market options (14 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Susan Ptaszenski	bid 14¢ / ask 86¢
Sheila Coats	bid 14¢ / ask 86¢
Laurie DeShano	bid 43¢ / ask 91¢
James Vetter	bid 14¢ / ask 86¢
Jerry Cain	bid 15¢ / ask 84¢
Harry Thomas	bid 14¢ / ask 85¢
Evan Hickman	bid 14¢ / ask 86¢
Elaine Ferris	bid 14¢ / ask 85¢
Christina Price	bid 15¢ / ask 84¢
Brian Pillmore	bid 15¢ / ask 85¢
Brett Kemble	bid 14¢ / ask 85¢
Bill Bean	bid 15¢ / ask 85¢
Amanda Kimbel-Sparks	bid 15¢ / ask 85¢
Andrew Greenberg	bid 15¢ / ask 85¢

Which data center ballot measures will pass? — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 9:35 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Trenton, Ohio Issue 17	bid 14¢ / ask 87¢
Piqua, Ohio Section 138 amendment	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum	bid 14¢ / ask 85¢
Joliet Township, Illinois advisory question	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Grove City, Ohio Issue 28	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Emporia, Kansas Question 2	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Boulder City, Nevada Question 1	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Ashville, Ohio EdgeConneX referendum	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Alhambra, California Measure DB	bid 14¢ / ask 88¢

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Ra'am win? — 6 brackets — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 11:31 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8	bid 3¢ / ask 83¢
Above 7	bid 8¢ / ask 83¢
Above 6	bid 16¢ / ask 83¢
Above 5	bid 17¢ / ask 83¢
Above 4	bid 17¢ / ask 84¢
Above 3	bid 17¢ / ask 92¢

Larger margin: Graham or Donalds? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Byron Donalds	bid 44¢ / ask 49¢
Darline Graham	bid 53¢ / ask 56¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 12 events, 102 markets

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 73.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Above 71.4%	bid 22¢ / ask 78¢
Above 69.4%	bid 21¢ / ask 82¢
Above 66.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 81¢
Above 62.0%	—
Above 59.0%	—
Above 57.1%	—
Above 55.6%	bid 12¢ (no asks)
Above 52.6%	bid 19¢ / ask 99¢

Google share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Z.AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	bid 29¢ / ask 59¢
Above 8.7%	bid 29¢ / ask 66¢
Above 7.8%	bid 33¢ / ask 63¢
Above 7.5%	bid 33¢ / ask 61¢
Above 6.6%	bid 41¢ / ask 67¢
Above 4.9%	bid 30¢ / ask 79¢
Above 4.1%	bid 39¢ / ask 83¢
Above 14.7%	bid 9¢ / ask 58¢
Above 11.6%	bid 8¢ / ask 57¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 19.7%	bid 4¢ / ask 63¢
Above 18.0%	bid 14¢ / ask 61¢
Above 17.2%	bid 8¢ / ask 61¢
Above 16.2%	bid 27¢ / ask 61¢
Above 15.7%	bid 32¢ / ask 63¢
Above 14.6%	bid 41¢ / ask 65¢
Above 14.2%	bid 37¢ / ask 67¢
Above 13.4%	bid 32¢ / ask 75¢
Above 12.9%	bid 39¢ / ask 76¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 43.6%	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above 42.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 76¢
Above 39.3%	bid 7¢ / ask 76¢
Above 38.7%	bid 11¢ / ask 72¢
Above 36.5%	bid 13¢ / ask 69¢
Above 35.9%	bid 12¢ / ask 70¢
Above 34.3%	bid 15¢ / ask 72¢
Above 32.9%	bid 24¢ / ask 75¢
Above 31.0%	bid 22¢ / ask 78¢

Z.AI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Google share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 16.2%	bid 1¢ / ask 62¢
Above 15.4%	bid 1¢ / ask 64¢
Above 14.2%	bid 2¢ / ask 62¢
Above 12.8%	bid 28¢ / ask 62¢
Above 12.3%	bid 32¢ / ask 60¢
Above 11.9%	bid 32¢ / ask 65¢
Above 11.4%	bid 34¢ / ask 69¢
Above 11.1%	bid 36¢ / ask 74¢
Above 10.5%	bid 28¢ / ask 86¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 25.3%	bid 1¢ / ask 64¢
Above 24.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 60¢
Above 23.6%	bid 2¢ / ask 73¢
Above 23.3%	bid 6¢ / ask 65¢
Above 22.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 65¢
Above 22.0%	bid 8¢ / ask 61¢
Above 20.6%	bid 33¢ / ask 62¢
Above 19.9%	bid 33¢ / ask 73¢
Above 18.8%	bid 36¢ / ask 77¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8.7%	bid 11¢ / ask 59¢
Above 8.1%	bid 17¢ / ask 70¢
Above 7.7%	bid 26¢ / ask 67¢
Above 7.5%	bid 30¢ / ask 65¢
Above 7.4%	bid 31¢ / ask 63¢
Above 7.2%	bid 36¢ / ask 76¢
Above 6.9%	bid 38¢ / ask 76¢
Above 6.0%	bid 39¢ / ask 85¢
Above 5.2%	bid 37¢ / ask 84¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 16.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 55¢
Above 14.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 55¢
Above 13.6%	bid 8¢ / ask 63¢
Above 13.1%	bid 29¢ / ask 58¢
Above 12.6%	bid 31¢ / ask 61¢
Above 11.9%	bid 39¢ / ask 69¢
Above 11.6%	bid 41¢ / ask 72¢
Above 11.2%	bid 33¢ / ask 76¢
Above 10.1%	bid 31¢ / ask 92¢

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 24, 2026 at 2:07 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Italy	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Thailand	bid 9¢ (no asks)
United Arab Emirates	bid 9¢ (no asks)

💹 Financials — 135 events, 135 markets

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

1,390 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
📊 Economics	932	54	Wisconsin gas price, Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, +51 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	373	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
💹 Financials	43	3	10Y how low weekly, 10Y how high weekly, Fast food credit card spend array
🏛️ Politics	27	4	VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +1 more
🎬 Entertainment	15	1	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Graham vs Donalds, OpenAI Spend, Google Requests — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:42 PM ET, Oct 24)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 15 markets

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 32 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 12 events, 102 markets

💹 Financials — 135 events, 135 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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