Kalshi Markets: Hawaii Arrivals, Israel Rate, FDA Approval

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 20 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 21 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 412 unique markets across 155 new events, plus 6,230 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections

1 event

5 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

2 events

8 markets

📊 Economics

5 events

25 markets

🎬 Entertainment

6 events

68 markets

🏛️ Politics

11 events

21 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

13 events

89 markets

💹 Financials

117 events

196 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027: Above 10.2 million bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 9.4 million bid 84¢ / ask 86¢, Above 9.6 million bid 64¢ / ask 70¢

"Tom and Jerry" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026): Rank 7 to 10, Rank 5 to 6, Rank 3 to 4 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Bank of Israel rate decision in November: Maintain current rate bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Will DeepSeek be removed from the US App Store in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 11¢ / ask 12¢

Will France use Article 49.3 on its 2027 state budget in 2026?: Yes — bid 61¢ / ask 62¢

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2028?: any psychedelic substance for medical use — bid 69¢ / ask 70¢

When will Mammoth Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?: Before Nov 29, 2026 bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, Before Dec 6, 2026 bid 94¢ / ask 96¢, Before Nov 22, 2026 bid 53¢ / ask 83¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections

Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

🔬 Science and Technology

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

🌤️ Climate and Weather

💹 Financials

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 5 markets

Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 21, 2026 at 4:36 PM ET

Tracking: United States, Switzerland, Belgium, Greece, Venezuela

🔗 View on Kalshi →

🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 8 markets

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25 — 7 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 176T tokens	bid 17¢ (no asks)
Above 178T tokens	bid 23¢ / ask 98¢
Above 180T tokens	bid 22¢ / ask 96¢
Above 182T tokens	bid 22¢ / ask 97¢
Above 184T tokens	bid 14¢ (no asks)
Above 186T tokens	bid 18¢ / ask 94¢
Above 188T tokens	bid 22¢ / ask 89¢

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2028?: any psychedelic substance for medical use (bid 69¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET

📊 Economics — 5 events, 25 markets

Turkey rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:11 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Hike more than 250bps	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Hike 1-250bps	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 250bps	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Cut 1-250bps	ask 91¢ (no bids)

Philippines rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Hike more than 25bps	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Hike 1-25bps	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 25bps	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Cut 1-25bps	ask 89¢ (no bids)

Bank of Korea rate decision in November — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 2:58 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Hike more than 25bps	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Hike 1-25bps	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Cut more than 25bps	bid 4¢ / ask 83¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 3¢ / ask 83¢

Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027 — 5 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.8 million	bid 37¢ / ask 44¢
Above 9.6 million	bid 64¢ / ask 70¢
Above 9.4 million	bid 84¢ / ask 86¢
Above 10.2 million	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 10.0 million	bid 13¢ / ask 19¢

Bank of Israel rate decision in November — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 69¢ / ask 70¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 27¢ / ask 28¢

🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 68 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 22, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	—
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 1¢ / ask 20¢
ยิ้มอันตราย	—
Parvati	last 1¢ (book empty)
NEON	—
Looks Can Kill	—
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 13: z5y8Clp_TdE]	—
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 3: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 1¢ / ask 20¢
KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA \| THE KIDD	—
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	—
expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	—
Dai Dai	bid 16¢ / ask 84¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 19¢ / ask 89¢
Basinga Balaalu	last 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaat	last 1¢ (book empty)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 22, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	—
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	—
ยิ้มอันตราย	—
Parvati	—
NEON	—
Looks Can Kill	—
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 13: z5y8Clp_TdE]	—
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 3: xvT1jH8B9AM]	—
KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA \| THE KIDD	—
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	—
expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Dai	bid 19¢ / ask 70¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 12¢ / ask 60¢
Basinga Balaalu	last 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaat	last 1¢ (book empty)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 22, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	—
Todo Lo Fue	—
The Aura Farmer	—
Tate McRae - 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show Performance	—
Nicole Kidman	—
Looks Can Kill	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Janice STFU	—
If I Get High (Official Video)	—
Housewife (Official Video)	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Going On A Date	—
expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 9: hLOheGDwD_0]	last 1¢ (book empty)
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 4: nUsrYVxrDwI]	ask 50¢ (no bids)
BbY WOW	last 1¢ (book empty)

"Tom and Jerry" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026) — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 1:52 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Rank 7 to 10	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 75 to 100	bid 8¢ / ask 28¢
Rank 5 to 6	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 51 to 74	bid 5¢ / ask 19¢
Rank 41 to 50	bid 4¢ / ask 8¢
Rank 3 to 4	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 31 to 40	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Rank 21 to 30	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 1 to 2	last 1¢ (book empty)
Rank 16 to 20	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rank 11 to 15	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 8 Elimination — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:10 AM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tyler Cameron	bid 55¢ / ask 58¢
Tatyana Ali	bid 38¢ / ask 39¢
None	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Maura Higgins	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Julia Stiles	bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Jackson Olson	bid 60¢ / ask 61¢
Jenna Dewan	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Harry Shum Jr.	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Ezra Frech	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Connor Wood	bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Amber Glenn	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

GTA 6 released on time?: By Nov 19, 2026 (bid 91¢ / ask 92¢) — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 6:51 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 21 markets

When will CISA announce the addition of CVE-2026-109618 to the KEV catalog? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 21, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET

Tracking: Before Apr 1, 2027, Before Oct 26, 2026, Before Oct 23, 2026, Before Nov 15, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 3:47 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before May 1, 2027	bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 22¢ / ask 29¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 93¢ / ask 96¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 16¢ / ask 23¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 8¢ / ask 14¢

Will Chile and Bolivia restore ambassador-level relations? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before 2028	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Before 2027	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢

Will the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 40¢ / ask 50¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢

Will CISA issue an Emergency Directive covering the PHP flaws?: Yes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET

Will the Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act of 2015 be extended?: Yes (bid 5¢ (no asks)) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 3:47 PM ET

Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?: Before Jan 2027 (bid 8¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 3:47 PM ET

Will DeepSeek be removed from the US App Store in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET

Will France enact its 2027 budget in 2026?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET

Will France use Article 49.3 on its 2027 state budget in 2026?: Yes (bid 61¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET

Will Trump sit for a deposition in his BBC lawsuit?: Before 2027 (bid 9¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 13 events, 89 markets

Mammoth Mountain snowfall total by December 24th — 9 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 95 inches	bid 9¢ / ask 88¢
Above 80 inches	bid 9¢ / ask 88¢
Above 65 inches	bid 8¢ / ask 88¢
Above 50 inches	bid 9¢ / ask 88¢
Above 35 inches	bid 21¢ / ask 96¢
Above 165 inches	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 140 inches	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 125 inches	bid 8¢ / ask 88¢
Above 110 inches	bid 9¢ / ask 88¢

Stowe Mountain Resort snowfall total by December 24th — 9 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 95 inches	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 85 inches	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 75 inches	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 65 inches	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 55 inches	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 45 inches	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 125 inches	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 115 inches	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 105 inches	bid 6¢ (no asks)

Park City Mountain snowfall total by December 24th — 9 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90 inches	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 80 inches	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 70 inches	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 60 inches	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 50 inches	bid 7¢ / ask 86¢
Above 40 inches	bid 23¢ / ask 84¢
Above 30 inches	bid 23¢ / ask 89¢
Above 130 inches	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Above 100 inches	bid 5¢ (no asks)

Northstar California Resort snowfall total by December 24th — 9 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 75 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 60 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 45 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 30 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 20 inches	bid 21¢ / ask 90¢
Above 135 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 120 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 105 inches	ask 90¢ (no bids)

Beaver Creek Resort snowfall total by December 24th — 9 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 69¢
Above 80 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 74¢
Above 70 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 73¢
Above 60 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 72¢
Above 50 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 71¢
Above 40 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 70¢
Above 30 inches	bid 17¢ / ask 69¢
Above 115 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 69¢
Above 100 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 69¢

Keystone Resort snowfall total by December 24th — 9 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 85 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 80 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 75 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 70 inches	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 65 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 60 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 55 inches	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 105 inches	ask 92¢ (no bids)

When will Steamboat open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 31¢ / ask 89¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 21¢ / ask 88¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 6¢ / ask 47¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 93¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 88¢ / ask 97¢

When will Winter Park open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 25, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 82¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 89¢ / ask 92¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 80¢
Before Nov 8, 2026	bid 29¢ / ask 81¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢

When will Stratton open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 14¢ / ask 93¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 3¢ / ask 82¢
Before Dec 20, 2026	bid 92¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 86¢

When will Sugarbush open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 18¢ / ask 84¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 9¢ / ask 82¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 94¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 89¢ / ask 93¢

When will Big Bear Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 15¢ / ask 95¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 15¢ / ask 90¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 14¢ / ask 71¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 26¢ / ask 97¢

When will Mammoth Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 53¢ / ask 83¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 12¢ / ask 90¢
Before Nov 8, 2026	bid 8¢ / ask 86¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 94¢ / ask 96¢

When will Deer Valley open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 11:10 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 75¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 12¢ / ask 85¢
Before Dec 20, 2026	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 93¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 28¢ / ask 92¢

💹 Financials — 117 events, 196 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.54% or above	—
5.52% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
5.5% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.48% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
5.46% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 24¢
5.44% or above	bid 18¢ / ask 37¢
5.42% or above	bid 40¢ / ask 51¢
5.4% or above	bid 47¢ / ask 67¢
5.38% or above	bid 63¢ / ask 81¢
5.36% or above	bid 75¢ / ask 92¢
5.34% or above	bid 82¢ / ask 94¢
5.32% or above	bid 87¢ / ask 99¢
5.3% or above	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
5.28% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
5.26% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.24% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
5.22% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
5.2% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
5.18% or above	bid 13¢ / ask 17¢
5.16% or above	bid 23¢ / ask 32¢
5.14% or above	bid 40¢ / ask 49¢
5.12% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 62¢
5.1% or above	bid 73¢ / ask 75¢
5.08% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
5.06% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢
5.04% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
5.02% or above	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
5% or above	bid 98¢ (no asks)
4.98% or above	bid 98¢ (no asks)
4.96% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.14% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.12% or above	ask 14¢ (no bids)
5.1% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 22¢
5.08% or above	bid 19¢ / ask 32¢
5.06% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 34¢
5.04% or above	bid 46¢ / ask 51¢
5.02% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 71¢
5% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 82¢
4.98% or above	bid 79¢ / ask 90¢
4.96% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 94¢
4.94% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
4.92% or above	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
4.9% or above	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
4.88% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)
4.86% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.09% or above	ask 6¢ (no bids)
5.07% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)
5.05% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.03% or above	ask 18¢ (no bids)
5.01% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 26¢
4.99% or above	bid 20¢ / ask 37¢
4.97% or above	bid 33¢ / ask 49¢
4.95% or above	bid 46¢ / ask 58¢
4.93% or above	bid 61¢ / ask 76¢
4.91% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 85¢
4.89% or above	bid 78¢ / ask 93¢
4.87% or above	bid 84¢ / ask 99¢
4.85% or above	bid 89¢ / ask 99¢
4.83% or above	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
4.81% or above	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 21, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.94% or above	ask 5¢ (no bids)
4.92% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
4.9% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
4.88% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
4.86% or above	bid 16¢ / ask 27¢
4.84% or above	bid 29¢ / ask 40¢
4.82% or above	bid 42¢ / ask 54¢
4.8% or above	bid 55¢ / ask 67¢
4.78% or above	bid 66¢ / ask 79¢
4.76% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 88¢
4.74% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 94¢
4.72% or above	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
4.7% or above	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
4.68% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
4.66% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

How high will USD/MXN get before 2027? — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 21, 2026 at 5:19 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.40482 (bid 55¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.70231 (bid 31¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.142 (bid 73¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12308 (bid 44¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.33914 (bid 49¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 20, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

6,230 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	4,603	17	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +14 more
📊 Economics	1,106	66	Michigan gas price, Wisconsin gas price, Ohio gas price, +63 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	373	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	115	14	Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE , +11 more
🏛️ Politics	33	5	VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +2 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Hawaii Visitor Arrivals, Bank of Israel, FDA Psychedelics — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:35 PM ET, Oct 21)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 5 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 8 markets

📊 Economics — 5 events, 25 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 68 markets

🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 21 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 13 events, 89 markets

💹 Financials — 117 events, 196 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network