📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 14 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 15 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 166 unique markets across 33 new events, plus 5,428 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Mamdani primary endorsements combo: Valdez wins, Lander loses, Chevalier wins, Valdez wins, Lander loses, Chevalier loses, Valdez loses, Lander loses, Chevalier wins all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?: Warren Buffett bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Sergey Brin bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Steve Ballmer bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?: Yes — bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 52¢ / ask 53¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 53¢ / ask 54¢
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026): At least 80 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, At least 60 bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, At least 40 bid 41¢ / ask 42¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?
- Edmonton home price below C$440K in 2026?
- Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?
- Ottawa home price below C$700K in 2026?
- Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
- Love Island UK S13: Monday Elimination
- Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Monday elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Winners
- Price of Creed Aventus in 2026?
- Price of Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Elixir in 2026?
- Price of Versace Eros in 2026?
- Price of YSL Y in 2026?
- Taylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
- When will Manon leave Katseye?
- Who will be featured on 'The Real Me' by Future?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/15 - 6/21)
- Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
- Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?
- Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?
- Will SCOTUS strike down limits on coordinated party spending?
- Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?
- Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?
- Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
- Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?
- Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 10 markets
Mamdani primary endorsements combo — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Valdez wins, Lander wins, Chevalier wins | bid 39¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Valdez wins, Lander wins, Chevalier loses | bid 27¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Valdez wins, Lander loses, Chevalier wins | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Valdez wins, Lander loses, Chevalier loses | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander wins, Chevalier wins | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander wins, Chevalier loses | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander loses, Chevalier wins | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander loses, Chevalier loses | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Axel Kicillof | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
📊 Economics — 5 events, 16 markets
Who will be the world's second trillionaire? — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:33 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Warren Buffett | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sergey Brin | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Steve Ballmer | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Sam Altman | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Michael Dell | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Larry Page | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Larry Ellison | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Jensen Huang | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jeff Bezos | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Changpeng Zhao | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Bernard Arnault & family | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Ottawa home price below C$700K in 2026?: Below C$700,000 — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?: Below C$625,000 — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:58 PM ET
Edmonton home price below C$440K in 2026?: Below C$440,000 (bid 31¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?: Exactly -0.3% (bid 4¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 110 markets
Who will be featured on 'The Real Me' by Future? — 24 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 4:04 PM ET
View market options (24 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Young Thug | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Yeat | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kanye West / Ye | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| The Weeknd | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ty Dolla $ign | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Travis Scott | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SZA | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sexyy Red | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Playboi Carti | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Nav | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Metro Boomin | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Meek Mill | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lil Baby | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Latto | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kodak Black | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| J. Cole | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Gunna | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Drake | bid 12¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Don Toliver | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Doechii | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| A$AP Rocky | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 21 Savage | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination — 16 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 10:46 AM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Tommy | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Simba | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Sean | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Samraj | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Sam | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Priya | bid 40¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Namibia | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Mica | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Lola | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kavan | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Ellie | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Angelista | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Aidan | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Love Island UK S13: Monday Elimination — 16 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sam | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Namibia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Love Island USA S8: Monday elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trinity | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sincere | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Melanie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kenzie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KC | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kayda | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gabriel | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Corbin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Caleb | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aniya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Taylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:12 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 weeks | bid 15¢ / ask 77¢ |
| At least 8 weeks | bid 12¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 7 weeks | bid 12¢ / ask 63¢ |
| At least 6 weeks | bid 12¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least 12 weeks | bid 1¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least 11 weeks | bid 73¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least 10 weeks | bid 36¢ / ask 80¢ |
Price of Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Elixir in 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Price of Versace Eros in 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 6:11 PM ET
Price of YSL Y in 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 5:56 PM ET
Price of Creed Aventus in 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
When will Manon leave Katseye? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
Tracking: Before July, Before August, Before September, Before October, Before November, Before December
Love Island USA S8: Winners — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 6:27 PM ET
Tracking: Sol, Caleb, Jen
🏛️ Politics — 15 events, 30 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/15 - 6/21) — 10 brackets — listed Jun 14, 2026 at 9:36 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 5 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 55¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 70¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 81¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026) — 4 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:28 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 80 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 60 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least 40 | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least 20 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Jennifer Siebel Newsom | bid 10¢ / ask 17¢ |
Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 53¢ / ask 54¢ |
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?: Before 2026 (bid 32¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
Will SCOTUS strike down limits on coordinated party spending?: Before 2026 (bid 79¢ / ask 82¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?: Before 2026 (bid 85¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET
Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?: Before 2026 (bid 81¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?: Yes (bid 84¢ / ask 86¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET
Which bills will become law in 2026?: JAWBONE Act (bid 36¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?: Yes (bid 26¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Charlie Javice (bid 23¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?: Before Jul 15, 2026 (bid 37¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,428 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
| 📊 Economics | 53 | 4 | TSA check-ins this week, US gas price up, US gas price up, +1 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 1 | 1 | Who will Trump meet? |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.