📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 20 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 21 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 43 unique markets across 7 new events, plus 375 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Best AI this week (June 29): ChatGPT bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Gemini bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Claude bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Fed median dot plot in September 2026: Above 3.4% bid 96¢ / ask 99¢, Above 3.3% bid 96¢ / ask 99¢, Above 3.5% bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Top Coding AI this week (June 29): ChatGPT bid 5¢ / ask 8¢, Claude bid 89¢ / ask 95¢
Keir Starmer departure announced?: Before Jul 23, 2026 bid 90¢ / ask 94¢, Before Jul 24, 2026 bid 88¢ / ask 97¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 2 markets
Keir Starmer departure announced? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 23, 2026 | bid 90¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before Jul 24, 2026 | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Top Coding AI this week (June 29) — 9 outcomes — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 10:54 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | — |
| MiniMax | — |
| Kimi | — |
| Grok | — |
| GLM | — |
| Gemini | — |
| Dola | — |
| Claude | bid 89¢ / ask 95¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
Best AI this week (June 29) — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 10:40 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ChatGPT | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Muse | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Amazon Nova | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
📊 Economics — 4 events, 24 markets
Fed median dot plot in September 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.4% | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.3% | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 4.1% | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 4.0% | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 3.9% | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 3.8% | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 3.7% | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 3.6% | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 3.4% | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 3.3% | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 20, 2026 at 5:42 PM ET
Will the July 2026 FOMC statement include forward guidance?: In July 2026 — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 5:42 PM ET
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in September 2026?: In September 2026 — listed Jun 20, 2026 at 5:42 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
375 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
| 📊 Economics | 16 | 2 | US flight cancellations this week, Hass avocado prices this week |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 10 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.