📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 17 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 18 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 208 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 410 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026?: At least €8,450 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, At least €8,700 bid 21¢ / ask 37¢, At least €8,650 bid 22¢ / ask 38¢
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in June 2026?: At least $2,980 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, At least $3,200 bid 27¢ / ask 30¢, At least $3,100 bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
Bank of England rate decision in July: Hike more than 25bps bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Maintain current rate bid 73¢ / ask 75¢
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?: By Dec 31, 2039 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, By Dec 31, 2034 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, By Dec 31, 2031 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
When will the Supreme Court finish its 2025 Term?: Before Jun 29, 2026 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Before Jun 26, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Jul 4, 2026 bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in June 2026?: At least HK$24,100 bid 66¢ / ask 68¢, At least HK$24,000 bid 79¢ / ask 81¢, At least HK$24,400 bid 27¢ / ask 37¢
Love Island UK S13: Winning couple: Lola and Finley, Lola and Chidi, Jasmine and Finley all at bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- When will the Supreme Court finish its 2025 Term?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Will the United Kingdom join the EU?
- Airbnb bookings in Q2
- How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026?
- How high will the Hang Seng Index get in June 2026?
- How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026?
- How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in June 2026?
- McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2
- Will the CAC 40 finish positive in June 2026?
- Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?
- Will the Russell 2000 Index finish positive in June 2026?
- #2 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
- #3 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
- Love Island UK S13: 2nd place couple
- Love Island UK S13: 3rd place couple
- Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples
- Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination
- Love Island UK S13: Winners
- Love Island UK S13: Winning couple
- Love Island UK: THURSDAY Elimination
- Top Song on Spotify U.S in 2026?
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 1 market
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?: Before Jun 27, 2026 (bid 46¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 13 markets
Prime Day 2026 U.S. online spend — 8 brackets — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $34 billion | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least $32 billion | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $30 billion | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $28 billion | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $26 billion | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $24 billion | bid 51¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $22 billion | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| At least $20 billion | bid 62¢ / ask 69¢ |
Bank of England rate decision in July — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 73¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 8 markets
When will the Supreme Court finish its 2025 Term? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 29, 2026 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Jun 26, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Before Jul 4, 2026 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 55¢ / ask 65¢ |
Will the United Kingdom join the EU? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:46 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| By Dec 31, 2039 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| By Dec 31, 2034 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| By Dec 31, 2031 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Which bills will become law in 2026?: NO FAKES Act (bid 18¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
💹 Financials — 9 events, 39 markets
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in June 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $3,500 | bid 22¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $3,400 | bid 22¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $3,300 | bid 22¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $3,200 | bid 27¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $3,100 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $3,000 | bid 27¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $2,990 | bid 56¢ / ask 78¢ |
| At least $2,980 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least $2,970 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least $2,960 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least €8,800 | bid 21¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least €8,750 | bid 21¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least €8,700 | bid 21¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least €8,650 | bid 22¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least €8,600 | bid 24¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least €8,550 | bid 24¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least €8,500 | bid 27¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least €8,450 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in June 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least HK$24,500 | bid 24¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least HK$24,400 | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least HK$24,300 | bid 25¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least HK$24,200 | bid 27¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least HK$24,100 | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| At least HK$24,000 | bid 79¢ / ask 81¢ |
How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET
Tracking: At least ₩9,100, At least ₩9,200, At least ₩9,300, At least ₩9,400, At least ₩9,500
Airbnb bookings in Q2 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?: Positive return in June 2026 (bid 29¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET
Will the CAC 40 finish positive in June 2026?: Positive return in June 2026 (bid 18¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET
Will the Russell 2000 Index finish positive in June 2026?: Positive return in June 2026 (bid 49¢ / ask 61¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 147 markets
Love Island UK S13: 3rd place couple — 36 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mica and Chidi | — |
| Mica and Finley | — |
| Angelista and Chidi | — |
| Angelista and Finley | — |
| Ellie and Chidi | — |
| Ellie and Finley | — |
| Jasmine and Chidi | — |
| Jasmine and Finley | — |
| Lola and Chidi | — |
| Lola and Finley | — |
| Yasmine and Chidi | — |
| Yasmine and Finley | — |
| Priya and Chidi | — |
| Priya and Finley | — |
| Namibia and Chidi | — |
| Namibia and Finley | — |
| Halle and Aidan | — |
| Halle and Sam | — |
| Halle and Sean | — |
| Halle and Samraj | — |
| Halle and Lorenzo | — |
| Halle and Kavan | — |
| Halle and Tommy | — |
| Halle and Simba | — |
| Halle and Chidi | — |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island UK S13: 2nd place couple — 36 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
Tracking: Mica and Chidi, Mica and Finley, Angelista and Chidi, Angelista and Finley, Ellie and Chidi, Ellie and Finley, Jasmine and Chidi, Jasmine and Finley, Lola and Chidi, Lola and Finley, Yasmine and Chidi, Yasmine and Finley, Priya and Chidi, Priya and Finley, Namibia and Chidi, Namibia and Finley, Halle and Aidan, Halle and Sam, Halle and Sean, Halle and Samraj, Halle and Lorenzo, Halle and Kavan, Halle and Tommy, Halle and Simba, Halle and Chidi, +11 more
Love Island UK S13: Winning couple — 36 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mica and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Mica and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Angelista and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Angelista and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ellie and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ellie and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Jasmine and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Jasmine and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lola and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lola and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Yasmine and Chidi | — |
| Yasmine and Finley | — |
| Priya and Chidi | — |
| Priya and Finley | — |
| Namibia and Chidi | — |
| Namibia and Finley | — |
| Halle and Aidan | — |
| Halle and Sam | — |
| Halle and Sean | — |
| Halle and Samraj | — |
| Halle and Lorenzo | — |
| Halle and Kavan | — |
| Halle and Tommy | — |
| Halle and Simba | — |
| Halle and Chidi | — |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island UK: THURSDAY Elimination — 21 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET
View market options (21 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tina | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sam | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NONE | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Namibia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Halle | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Finley | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Chidi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mica and Chidi | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Finley | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Angelista and Chidi | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Angelista and Finley | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Ellie and Chidi | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
Love Island UK S13: Winners — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Halle | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Tina | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Namibia | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Chidi | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Finley | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Halle | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Tina | bid 46¢ / ask 54¢ |
Will SHREK 5 be delayed?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 26¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Jun 17, 2026 at 7:54 PM ET
#2 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?: Earrings (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Jun 17, 2026 at 6:52 PM ET
#3 Song on Spotify U.S. in 2026?: Earrings (bid 1¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Jun 17, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET
Top Song on Spotify U.S in 2026?: Earrings (bid 1¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Jun 17, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
410 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 74 | 12 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +9 more |
| 📊 Economics | 47 | 5 | US gas price up, US Gulf Coast jet fuel price weekly, Weekly initial jobless claims, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.