📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 15 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 16 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 159 unique markets across 45 new events, plus 5,409 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will endorse Susan Collins?: Olympia Snowe bid 23¢ / ask 24¢, Jared Golden bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, John Fetterman bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?: Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Before Aug 1, 2027 bid 73¢ / ask 74¢, Before Apr 1, 2027 bid 60¢ / ask 61¢
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?: Before Jul 31, 2026 bid 87¢ / ask 88¢, Before Jul 24, 2026 bid 86¢ / ask 87¢, Before Jul 17, 2026 bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?: Before Jun 20, 2026 bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, Before Jun 19, 2026 bid 33¢ / ask 34¢, Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Love Island USA S8: Winners: Jen bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Sol bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Caleb bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Price of Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Elixir in 2026?: Above $150 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Above $140 bid 23¢ / ask 24¢, Above $130 bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Price of Versace Eros in 2026?: Above $90 bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, Above $80 bid 51¢ / ask 52¢, Above $70 bid 86¢ / ask 87¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Mamdani primary endorsements combo
- VA-01 Democratic nominee?
- Who will endorse Susan Collins?
- Who will win the next Argentine presidential election?
- CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?
- Edmonton home price below C$440K in 2026?
- Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?
- Ottawa home price below C$700K in 2026?
- Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Television Movie
- Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Winners
- Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting
- Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay
- Price of Creed Aventus in 2026?
- Price of Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Elixir in 2026?
- Price of Versace Eros in 2026?
- Price of YSL Y in 2026?
- Taylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
- When will Manon leave Katseye?
- Who will be featured on 'The Real Me' by Future?
- Keir Starmer departure announced?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026)
- Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?
- When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?
- When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?
- When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
- Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?
- Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?
- Will SCOTUS strike down limits on coordinated party spending?
- Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?
- Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?
- Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
- Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?
- Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 17 markets
Mamdani primary endorsements combo — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Valdez wins, Lander wins, Chevalier wins | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Valdez wins, Lander wins, Chevalier loses | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Valdez wins, Lander loses, Chevalier wins | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Valdez wins, Lander loses, Chevalier loses | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander wins, Chevalier wins | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander wins, Chevalier loses | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander loses, Chevalier wins | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Valdez loses, Lander loses, Chevalier loses | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Who will endorse Susan Collins? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 9:25 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Olympia Snowe | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Jared Golden | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| John Fetterman | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Jake Auchincloss | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Greg Elder | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Angus King | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Axel Kicillof | bid 37¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
VA-01 Democratic nominee?: Salaam Bhatti (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET
📊 Economics — 5 events, 16 markets
Who will be the world's second trillionaire? — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:33 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Warren Buffett | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Sergey Brin | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Steve Ballmer | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Sam Altman | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Michael Dell | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Larry Page | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Larry Ellison | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jensen Huang | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Jeff Bezos | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Changpeng Zhao | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Bernard Arnault & family | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
Ottawa home price below C$700K in 2026?: Below C$700,000 (bid 88¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?: Below C$625,000 (bid 78¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:58 PM ET
Edmonton home price below C$440K in 2026?: Below C$440,000 (bid 27¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?: Exactly -0.3% (bid 5¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 18 events, 34 markets
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 10, 2026 | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Before Jul 17, 2026 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before Jul 24, 2026 | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Before Jul 31, 2026 | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 20, 2026 | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Before Jun 19, 2026 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Before Jun 17, 2026 | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026) — 4 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:28 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 80 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least 60 | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least 40 | bid 50¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least 20 | bid 73¢ / ask 81¢ |
When will the UK's social media ban take effect? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:43 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
Keir Starmer departure announced? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 15, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
Tracking: Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Jennifer Siebel Newsom | bid 11¢ / ask 16¢ |
Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
Will SCOTUS rule geofence warrants violated the Fourth Amendment?: Before 2026 (bid 38¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
Will SCOTUS strike down limits on coordinated party spending?: Before 2026 (bid 85¢ / ask 86¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?: Before 2026 (bid 88¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET
Will the Supreme Court let Trump terminate Haiti TPS?: Before 2026 (bid 83¢ / ask 84¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?: Yes (bid 85¢ / ask 86¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET
Which bills will become law in 2026?: JAWBONE Act (bid 31¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?: Yes (bid 52¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Charlie Javice (bid 23¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?: Before Jul 15, 2026 (bid 28¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 18 events, 92 markets
Who will be featured on 'The Real Me' by Future? — 24 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 4:04 PM ET
View market options (24 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Young Thug | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Yeat | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Kanye West / Ye | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| The Weeknd | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Ty Dolla $ign | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Travis Scott | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| SZA | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Sexyy Red | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Playboi Carti | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Nav | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Metro Boomin | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Meek Mill | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Lil Baby | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Latto | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Kodak Black | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| J. Cole | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Gunna | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Drake | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Don Toliver | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Doechii | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| A$AP Rocky | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 21 Savage | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination — 16 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 10:46 AM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Tommy | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Simba | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Sean | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Samraj | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Sam | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Priya | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Namibia | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Mica | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Lola | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kavan | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ellie | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Angelista | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Aidan | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Taylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:12 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 weeks | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least 8 weeks | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| At least 7 weeks | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least 6 weeks | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| At least 12 weeks | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 11 weeks | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least 10 weeks | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
Price of Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Elixir in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $150 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $140 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $130 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above $120 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above $110 | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above $100 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
Price of Versace Eros in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:11 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $90 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above $80 | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above $70 | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $120 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $110 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $100 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
Price of YSL Y in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:56 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $150 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $140 | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $130 | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above $120 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $110 | bid 53¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above $100 | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
Price of Creed Aventus in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $350 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $340 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $330 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $320 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $310 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $300 | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
When will Manon leave Katseye? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before July | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before August | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Before September | bid 2¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before October | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Before November | — |
| Before December | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Love Island USA S8: Winners — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:27 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sol | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Caleb | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jen | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:54 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Stephen Root | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Jeff Hiller | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Television Movie — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:57 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Miss You, Love You | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:43 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Shawn Hatosy | bid 72¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Kit Harington | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: Matthew Rhys (bid 64¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:29 PM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Comedy Series: Widow's Bay (bid 57¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:28 PM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie: Jason Bateman (bid 67¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series: Sepideh Moafi (bid 61¢ / ask 98¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:42 PM ET
Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting: Obsession (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay: Obsession (bid 2¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,409 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,027 | 9 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +6 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 64 | 8 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +5 more |
| 📊 Economics | 28 | 3 | US gas price up, US flight cancellations this week, Hass avocado prices this week |
| 🏛️ Politics | 1 | 1 | Who will Trump meet? |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.