Kalshi Markets: Gemini, EV Commodities, Colombia Rates

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 27 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 28 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 498 unique markets across 214 new events, plus 4,383 recurring bracket markets.

🏛️ Politics

3 events

19 markets

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

📊 Economics

5 events

83 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

9 events

81 markets

💹 Financials

194 events

270 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Gemini App Downloads in September: Above 10 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 30 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 50 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

EV commodity prices on Sep 28, 2026: Above 1260.70 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1240.70 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1230.70 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Colombia rate decision in October: Cut more than 25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Cut 1-25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 15¢ / ask 30¢

Open Source market share on Sep 30th: Above 90% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 84% bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Above 66% bid 64¢ / ask 88¢

Open Source market share on Sep 28th: Above 80% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 77.5% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 67.5% bid 18¢ / ask 23¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 6% bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above 18% bid 6¢ / ask 71¢, Above 16% bid 16¢ / ask 81¢

OpenAI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel): Above 27% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above 29% bid 1¢ / ask 12¢, Above 18% bid 70¢ / ask 94¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

📊 Economics

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 19 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 28, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.4%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
39.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.8%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
38.7%	bid 75¢ / ask 78¢
38.6%	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
38.5%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
38.4%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 39.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 28, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 7.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 26¢
8.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
8.4%	bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
8.3%	bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
8.2%	bid 59¢ / ask 79¢
8.1%	bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
8.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 27¢
7.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 26¢
Above 8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 27¢

When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?: Before Sep 1, 2027 (bid 30¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 1:04 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, Parvati, KALYANI (Remix), Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video, BTS (방탄소년단) ‘Merry Go Round’ Official MV, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1, Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”), Aaya Sher

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Lyric Video), Taylor Swift - Cleveland! (Official Lyric Video), Sunflower, Natanael Cano x Tito Double P x Victor Mendivil x Ovi - OLIVIA LA FLAKA [Oficial Video], Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song), Kirk Franklin (ft. GloRilla) - This Time | From The Block Performance 🎙, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW), DRAKE - QUEBEC, DDG - ROUND & ROUND ft. 42 Dugg, PLUTO, Bankroll Ni, SMJ (Official Music Video), Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas

🔗 View on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 5 events, 83 markets

Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.66	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above $6.64	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above $6.62	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Above $6.60	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
Above $6.58	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
Above $6.56	bid 14¢ / ask 24¢
Above $6.54	bid 20¢ / ask 30¢
Above $6.52	bid 28¢ / ask 38¢
Above $6.50	bid 37¢ / ask 47¢
Above $6.48	bid 47¢ / ask 57¢
Above $6.46	bid 57¢ / ask 65¢
Above $6.44	bid 66¢ / ask 74¢
Above $6.42	bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
Above $6.40	bid 80¢ / ask 88¢
Above $6.38	bid 84¢ / ask 94¢
Above $6.36	bid 89¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.34	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.32	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.30	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.28	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.26	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.505	last 99¢ (book empty)
Above $6.500	—
Above $6.495	—
Above $6.490	—
Above $6.485	—
Above $6.480	—
Above $6.475	—
Above $6.470	—
Above $6.465	—
Above $6.460	—
Above $6.455	—
Above $6.450	—
Above $6.445	—
Above $6.440	—
Above $6.435	—
Above $6.430	—
Above $6.425	—
Above $6.420	—
Above $6.415	—
Above $6.410	—
Above $6.405	—

Diesel prices in Oct 2026 — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

EV commodity prices on Sep 28, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1300.70	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1290.70	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1280.70	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1270.70	ask 12¢ (no bids)
Above 1260.70	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1250.70	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Above 1240.70	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1230.70	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1220.70	bid 3¢ / ask 49¢
Above 1210.70	bid 32¢ / ask 68¢
Above 1200.70	bid 80¢ / ask 87¢
Above 1190.70	bid 80¢ / ask 93¢
Above 1180.70	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1170.70	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1160.70	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Colombia rate decision in October — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 43¢ / ask 66¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 15¢ / ask 32¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 15¢ / ask 30¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 9 events, 81 markets

Open Source market share on Sep 30th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 90%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 87%	last 2¢ (book empty)
Above 84%	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 81%	bid 6¢ / ask 77¢
Above 78%	bid 8¢ / ask 79¢
Above 75%	bid 10¢ / ask 81¢
Above 72%	bid 13¢ / ask 83¢
Above 69%	bid 46¢ / ask 81¢
Above 66%	bid 64¢ / ask 88¢

Open Source market share on Sep 28th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 87.5%	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 85%	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 82.5%	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 80%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 77.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 75%	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 72.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 22¢
Above 70%	bid 7¢ / ask 23¢
Above 67.5%	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8%	bid 19¢ / ask 96¢
Above 6%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 21%	bid 3¢ / ask 73¢
Above 18%	bid 6¢ / ask 71¢
Above 16%	bid 16¢ / ask 81¢
Above 15%	bid 9¢ / ask 87¢
Above 13%	bid 9¢ / ask 89¢
Above 12%	bid 12¢ / ask 90¢
Above 10%	bid 9¢ (no asks)

OpenAI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 29%	bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
Above 27%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 26%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 24.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 23.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 22.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 21.5%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20%	bid 13¢ / ask 87¢
Above 18%	bid 70¢ / ask 94¢

Anthropic share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 42%	ask 87¢ (no bids)
Above 40%	bid 11¢ / ask 87¢
Above 38%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 37%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 35%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 34%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 32%	bid 27¢ / ask 96¢
Above 31%	bid 24¢ / ask 96¢
Above 28%	bid 59¢ / ask 96¢

Google share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8%	bid 61¢ / ask 99¢
Above 17%	bid 3¢ / ask 49¢
Above 16%	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
Above 15%	—
Above 14%	—
Above 13%	—
Above 12%	—
Above 11%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10%	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

OpenAI share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 25%	bid 3¢ / ask 64¢
Above 23%	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 21%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 20%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 19%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 18%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 16%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 15%	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 13%	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Anthropic share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 8%	—
Above 7%	—
Above 6%	bid 20¢ / ask 97¢
Above 5%	—
Above 4.5%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 3.5%	bid 24¢ / ask 99¢
Above 2.5%	bid 18¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1.5%	bid 90¢ (no asks)

DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 27%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 25%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 24%	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 22%	ask 85¢ (no bids)
Above 21%	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above 20%	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above 19%	—
Above 18%	—
Above 16%	bid 5¢ (no asks)

💹 Financials — 194 events, 270 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Airbnb bookings in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Gemini App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 50	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 30	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 10	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.081 (bid 55¢ / ask 57¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.13740 (bid 43¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32600 (bid 45¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,383 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,429	7	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +4 more
📊 Economics	499	29	TSA check-ins this week, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, Nevada gas price, +26 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	440	66	Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +63 more
🎬 Entertainment	15	1	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Gemini App Downloads, EV Commodity Prices, Colombia Rate — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:19 AM ET, Sep 28)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 19 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

📊 Economics — 5 events, 83 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 9 events, 81 markets

💹 Financials — 194 events, 270 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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