📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 12 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 13 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 58 unique markets across 13 new events, plus 544 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: David Corenswet — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Grammy winner: Album of the Year: you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love bid 32¢ / ask 33¢, Tie bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, The Romantics bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers: before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Game 5 Attendance: New York vs. San Antonio: Tracy Morgan bid 91¢ / ask 92¢, Spike Lee bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, Mariska Hargitay bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/12-6/19)?: Above 5.8% — bid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/12-6/19)?: Above 39.9% — bid 74¢ / ask 75¢
Will Trump’s name be removed from the Kennedy Center?: Before Jun 14, 2026 — bid 20¢ / ask 99¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Game 5 Attendance: New York vs. San Antonio
- Grammy winner: Album of the Year
- MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/15-6/21)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/14-6/20)
- Trump late night post this week? (6/14-6/20)
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/14 - 6/20)
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/12-6/19)?
- Will Trump’s name be removed from the Kennedy Center?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (6/12-6/19)?: Above 5.8% (bid 31¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 2 markets
Higher 2025 GDP: India vs. Japan — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 12, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
Tracking: Japan, India
💹 Financials — 1 event, 4 markets
Robinhood funded customers in Q2 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 12, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 32 markets
Game 5 Attendance: New York vs. San Antonio — 19 outcomes — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tracy Morgan | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Tina Fey | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | bid 60¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Spike Lee | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Pete Davidson | bid 63¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Patrick Ewing | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Mariska Hargitay | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Larry David | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Kylie Jenner | bid 21¢ / ask 48¢ |
| John McEnroe | bid 19¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Jimmy Fallon | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Jay-Z | bid 15¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Jason Bateman | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Fat Joe | bid 28¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Chris Rock | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Carmelo Anthony | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Ben Stiller | bid 83¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Adam Sandler | bid 32¢ / ask 34¢ |
Grammy winner: Album of the Year — 11 outcomes — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 3:08 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Tie | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| The Romantics | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Lux | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| The Life of a Showgirl | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| ICEMAN | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| The Great Divide | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dandelion | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| The Art of Loving | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Arirang | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: David Corenswet (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers: before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 19 markets
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/14-6/20) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 12, 2026 at 11:13 AM ET
Trump late night post this week? (6/14-6/20) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 12, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/15-6/21) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 12, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4
Will Trump’s name be removed from the Kennedy Center?: Before Jun 14, 2026 (bid 20¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Jun 13, 2026 at 3:02 AM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/14 - 6/20): Above 0 — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/12-6/19)?: Above 39.9% (bid 74¢ / ask 75¢) — listed Jun 12, 2026 at 10:16 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
544 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 241 | 41 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +38 more |
| 💹 Financials | 140 | 5 | B200 Weekly, Weekly H200, RTX 5090 Weekly, +2 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 120 | 11 | Weekly US Spotify album chart, Weekly US Spotify artist chart, Weekly US Spotify chart, +8 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 28 | 4 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 📊 Economics | 10 | 2 | Argentina inflation MoM in [month], US gas price up |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 5 | RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.