📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 03 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 04 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 34 unique markets across 7 new events, plus 386 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Tesla deliveries in Q3: Above 440000 bid 58¢ / ask 59¢, Above 430000 bid 60¢ / ask 61¢, Above 360000 bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?: Above 5.6% — bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?: Above 40.2% — bid 55¢ / ask 56¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?: Above 5.6% (bid 73¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Jul 03, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
💹 Financials — 1 event, 15 markets
Tesla deliveries in Q3 — 15 brackets — listed Jul 03, 2026 at 11:26 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 480000.0 | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 470000 | bid 45¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 460000 | bid 43¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 450000 | bid 48¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 440000 | bid 58¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 430000 | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 420000 | bid 77¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 410000 | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 400000 | bid 90¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 390000 | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 380000 | bid 92¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 370000 | bid 93¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 360000 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 350000 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 340000 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 18 markets
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 03, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
Trump late night post this week? (7/5-7/11) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 03, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (7/6-7/12) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 03, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/5 - 7/11): Above 0 — listed Jul 03, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?: Above 40.2% (bid 55¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Jul 03, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
386 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 28 | 3 | US gas price up, FAO Food Price Index in [month]?, Fish meal price average price |
| 🏛️ Politics | 28 | 4 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 💹 Financials | 22 | 3 | Nasdaq above/below, INXDUD, NASDAQDUD |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 14 | 3 | How many streams will artist have this week?, Will this album have more streams this week?, Will artist have more streams this week? |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 5 | 5 | RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, A100 Weekly Price, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.