📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 04 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 05 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 837 unique markets across 54 new events, plus 3,847 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: At least 9 million bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, At least 25 million bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, At least 21 million bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?: At least 40 million bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, At least 35 million bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, At least 30 million bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT: At least $54,265 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, At least $54,110 bid 49¢ / ask 52¢, At least $54,105 bid 49¢ / ask 52¢
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global: Dai Dai bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Y Que Fue? last 1¢ (book empty), Waka Waka (This Time for Africa) (feat. Freshlyground) last 1¢ (book empty)
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026: Waka Waka bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Todo Lo Fue bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Sunflower bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026: petal bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, MOON bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Dai Dai bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA: Life Goes On bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Dai Dai bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, Choosin' Texas bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
- Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year?
- Bank of Mexico rate decision in September
- Diesel prices tomorrow?
- EV commodity prices on Aug 5, 2026
- US SPR level for the week ending August 7, 2026
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- When will AP call the Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
- Who will drop out of their election?
- Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026?
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026
- Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Grammy nominees: Album of the Year
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Oscar nominees: Best Actor
- Oscar nominees: Best Actress
- Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
- Oscar nominees: Best Director
- Oscar nominees: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay
- Oscar Winner: Best Animated Feature Film
- Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography
- Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film
- Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)
- Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 10 markets
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 7:31 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 3 markets
Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year?: Yes (bid 68¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 7 markets
When will AP call the Michigan Democratic Senate primary? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 1:06 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Aug 6 | bid 65¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before 9AM Aug 5 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Before 5PM Aug 5 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Before 12PM Aug 5 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Shawn Fain (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:53 PM ET
Who will drop out of their election?: Chuck Edwards (bid 99¢ (no asks)) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:38 PM ET
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Shawn Fain (bid 35¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 10:23 AM ET
📊 Economics — 4 events, 53 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow? — 21 brackets — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.410 | — |
| Above $5.405 | — |
| Above $5.400 | — |
| Above $5.395 | — |
| Above $5.390 | — |
| Above $5.385 | — |
| Above $5.380 | — |
| Above $5.375 | — |
| Above $5.370 | — |
| Above $5.365 | — |
| Above $5.360 | — |
| Above $5.355 | — |
| Above $5.350 | — |
| Above $5.345 | — |
| Above $5.340 | — |
| Above $5.335 | — |
| Above $5.330 | — |
| Above $5.325 | — |
| Above $5.320 | — |
| Above $5.315 | — |
| Above $5.310 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
EV commodity prices on Aug 5, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1296.05 | ask 54¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1286.05 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1276.05 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1266.05 | — |
| Above 1256.05 | last 90¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1246.05 | — |
| Above 1236.05 | — |
| Above 1226.05 | bid 41¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1216.05 | bid 51¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1206.05 | bid 52¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1196.05 | bid 51¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1186.05 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1176.05 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1166.05 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1156.05 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
US SPR level for the week ending August 7, 2026 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 8:48 AM ET
Bank of Mexico rate decision in September — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 9:42 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Hike more than 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Hike 50bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cut 50bps | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
💹 Financials — 15 events, 513 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 10am EDT — 70 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 23¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 19¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 20¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 20¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 21¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 22¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 22¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 23¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 24¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 25¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 26¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 26¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 28¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 28¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 34¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 34¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 31¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 31¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 32¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 33¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 34¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 35¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 36¢ / ask 74¢ |
+ 45 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 39¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 31¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 32¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 32¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 33¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 33¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 38¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 36¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 36¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 35¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 36¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 37¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 37¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 38¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 38¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 39¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 39¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 40¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 41¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 41¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 42¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 42¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 43¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 44¢ / ask 56¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 23¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 23¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 28¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 31¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 32¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 32¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 33¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 22¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 23¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 27¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 27¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 28¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 30¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 30¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 31¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 32¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 33¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 33¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 19¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 22¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 23¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 23¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 27¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 30¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 31¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 32¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 33¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 33¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 34¢ / ask 43¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 18¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 18¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 18¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 18¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 18¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 18¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 18¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 18¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 18¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 18¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 20¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 21¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 21¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 22¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 23¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 23¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 24¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 25¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 24¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 26¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 27¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 27¢ / ask 41¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 5, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $54,270 | bid 12¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,265 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,260 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,255 | bid 12¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,250 | bid 12¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,245 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,240 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,235 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,230 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,225 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,220 | bid 16¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,215 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,210 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,205 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,200 | bid 16¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,195 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,190 | bid 16¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,185 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,180 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,175 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,170 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,165 | bid 16¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,160 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,155 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least $54,150 | bid 18¢ / ask 74¢ |
+ 35 more
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 6, 2026? — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 63 TWh | last 30¢ (book empty) |
| Above 64 TWh | last 22¢ (book empty) |
| Above 65 TWh | — |
| Above 66 TWh | — |
Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 99.6980 — listed Aug 05, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 28 events, 251 markets
Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay — 18 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET
Tracking: Wild Horse Nine, Tie, Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma, A Place in Hell, The Odyssey, Obsession, Josephine, The Invite, Forgotten Island, Fjord, Fatherland, Elsinore, The Drama, Digger, The Debut, Club Kid, The Black Ball, The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, petal, Nano, MOON, Life Goes On, Jaiye Sajana, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Waka Waka, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Shararat, Sebebi Yar, petal, Nano, MOON, Life Goes On, Jaiye Sajana, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Rod Wave - Hustle (Official Music Video), petal, Meek Mill - Nightmares To Dreams (Official Video), Life Goes On, Janice STFU, It Doesn't Matter, I See Why, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Beat It
Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
Tracking: Wildwood, The Whisper Man, Toy Story 5, The Social Reckoning, Saturn Return, Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, The Invite, Ink, Dune: Part Three, Cry to Heaven, Clarissa, The Black Ball, All of a Sudden, The Adventures of Cliff Booth
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Y Que Fue? | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Waka Waka (This Time for Africa) (feat. Freshlyground) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| The One That Got Away | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Less than a Lover | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| It's Me | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gehra Hua | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Billie Jean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbadi Hoi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Animal | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Waka Waka | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Todo Lo Fue | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sunflower | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Shararat | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sebebi Yar | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| petal | bid 6¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Nano | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| MOON | bid 55¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Life Goes On | bid 5¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Jaiye Sajana | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Golden | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Barbaadi | bid 4¢ / ask 27¢ |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Waka Waka | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sebebi Yar | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| petal | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Nano | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MOON | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jaiye Sajana | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| What You Need | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Quiet on the Creek | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| misery. | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ghetto Love Story | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Billie Jean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Animal | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 5, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todo Lo Fue | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Rod Wave - Hustle (Official Music Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| petal | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Meek Mill - Nightmares To Dreams (Official Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Life Goes On | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| It Doesn't Matter | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| I See Why (Official Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Golden | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
Tracking: Wicker, Werwulf, UNABOMBER, Tie, The Social Reckoning, Rose, The Odyssey, Michael, Madden, I Love Boosters, Dune: Part Three, Digger, Cry to Heaven, Clayface
Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score) — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 3:13 PM ET
Tracking: Wild Horse Nine, Whalefall, Tie, The Social Reckoning, Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, The Mandalorian and Grogu, Dune: Part Three, The Drama, Disclosure Day, Cry to Heaven, The Black Ball, The Adventures of Cliff Booth
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least 50 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 40 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 35 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 30 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 25 million | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 40¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least 6 million | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least 50 million | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| At least 40 million | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least 35 million | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 30 million | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 56¢ / ask 68¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
Tracking: The Whisper Man, Werwulf, Tie, Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, Obsession, Josephine, Fatherland, Dune: Part Three, Digger, The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Oscar Winner: Best Animated Feature Film — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET
Tracking: Wildwood, Toy Story 5, Tie, Tangles, Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom, Ray Gunn, Minions & Monsters, Hoppers, Forgotten Island
Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Tracking: Tutu, Tie, Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party, One in a Million, Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, Musk, American Doctor
Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 04, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET
Tracking: Tie, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, Narnia, Godzilla Minus Zero, Dune: Part Three, Avengers: Doomsday
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robert Pattinson | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Guy Pearce | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Debut | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Elsinore | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tony | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Clarissa | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay: Ink (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Robert Pattison (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Wicker (bid 61¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Sophie Okonedo (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress: Olivia Colman (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Director: Beth de Araujo (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
Grammy nominees: Album of the Year: petal (bid 56¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Aug 04, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
3,847 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,392 | 10 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +7 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 348 | 44 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +41 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 88 | 13 | RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, +10 more |
| 📊 Economics | 18 | 2 | US gas price up, Tech layoffs up |
| 🏛️ Politics | 1 | 1 | Who will Trump meet? |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.