📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 15 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 16 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 208 unique markets across 37 new events, plus 5,453 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: At least 9 million bid 65¢ / ask 66¢, At least 21 million bid 48¢ / ask 50¢, At least 18 million bid 48¢ / ask 50¢
How high will the Nifty 50 Index get in 2026?: At least ₹29,000 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, At least ₹27,000 bid 50¢ / ask 51¢, At least ₹28,000 bid 37¢ / ask 39¢
How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026?: At least ₩8,875 bid 23¢ / ask 24¢, At least ₩8,900 bid 15¢ / ask 17¢, At least ₩8,850 bid 27¢ / ask 29¢
How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?: At least R$174,500 bid 29¢ / ask 30¢, At least R$174,000 bid 49¢ / ask 51¢, At least R$173,500 bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
How high will the FTSE 100 get in 2026?: At least £11,200 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, At least £11,000 bid 10¢ / ask 12¢, At least £10,800 bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026?: At least $60,000 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, At least $56,000 bid 56¢ / ask 57¢, At least $54,000 bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Bank of Japan rate decision in July: Hike more than 25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 25bps all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Bank of Japan rate decision in July
- CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in August
- US housing starts for June
- Keir Starmer departure announced?
- When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?
- When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?
- When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- FL-11 Democratic nominee?
- UT-01 Democratic nominee?
- VA-01 Democratic nominee?
- Who will endorse Susan Collins?
- How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026?
- How high will the FTSE 100 get in 2026?
- How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?
- How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026?
- How high will the Nifty 50 Index get in 2026?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Jun 27, 2026)
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
- Emmy nominees: Outstanding Television Movie
- Grammy nominees: Best New Artist
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Love Island UK S13: Tuesday elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Tuesday elimination
- Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting
- Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Soccer World Cup Halftime Show: First Song
- Will Watch It Burn by Katy Perry debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 14 markets
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 10, 2026 | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Before Jul 17, 2026 | bid 73¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Jul 24, 2026 | bid 76¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Before Jul 31, 2026 | bid 84¢ / ask 87¢ |
When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 20, 2026 | bid 77¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Before Jun 19, 2026 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Before Jun 17, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
When will the UK's social media ban take effect? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:43 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
Keir Starmer departure announced? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 58¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 62¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 66¢ / ask 84¢ |
📊 Economics — 4 events, 19 markets
US housing starts for June — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 16, 2026 at 5:23 PM ET
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in August — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 4:34 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 26¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
Bank of Japan rate decision in July — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 77¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hike 25bps | bid 17¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?: Exactly -0.3% — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 10 markets
Who will endorse Susan Collins? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 9:25 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Olympia Snowe | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Jared Golden | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| John Fetterman | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Jake Auchincloss | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Greg Elder | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Angus King | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
UT-01 Democratic nominee?: Liban Mohamed — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 5:36 PM ET
FL-11 Democratic nominee?: James Pericola (bid 54¢ / ask 61¢) — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Ro Khanna (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
VA-01 Democratic nominee?: Salaam Bhatti (bid 2¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET
💹 Financials — 6 events, 49 markets
How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026? — 11 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 3:58 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least ¥80,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥79,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥78,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥77,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥76,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥75,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥74,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥73,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥72,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥71,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ¥70,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 3:41 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least R$175,000 | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least R$174,500 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least R$174,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$173,500 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$173,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$172,500 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$172,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$171,500 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$171,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least R$170,500 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
How high will the FTSE 100 get in 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 3:29 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least £11,200 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least £11,100 | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least £11,000 | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least £10,900 | bid 12¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least £10,800 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least £10,700 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least £10,600 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least £10,500 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026? — 8 brackets — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $60,000 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least $59,000 | bid 14¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least $58,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least $57,000 | bid 23¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least $56,000 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $55,000 | bid 22¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least $54,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
How high will the Nifty 50 Index get in 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 3:53 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least ₹29,000 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| At least ₹28,000 | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least ₹27,000 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least ₹26,000 | bid 84¢ / ask 86¢ |
| At least ₹25,000 | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| At least ₹24,000 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 3:46 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least ₩8,900 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least ₩8,875 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least ₩8,850 | bid 27¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least ₩8,825 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least ₩8,800 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least ₩8,750 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 18 events, 116 markets
Soccer World Cup Halftime Show: First Song — 37 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 16, 2026 at 6:11 PM ET
Tracking: Zoo, Whenever, Wherever, Waka Waka (This Time for Africa), Vogue, TQG, they don't know 'bout us, SWIM, Popular, NORMAL, Material Girl, Love Sensation, Like a Virgin, Like a Prayer, Like Animals, Life Goes On, La Tortura, La Isla Bonita, Into the Groove, Into the Sun, I feel So Free, Hung Up, Hooligan, Hips Don't Lie, GIRL LIKE ME, FYA, +12 more
Love Island UK S13: Tuesday elimination — 16 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 10:23 AM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tommy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Simba | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sam | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Namibia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Love Island USA S8: Tuesday elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trinity | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sol | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Melanie | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kenzie | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| KC | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kayda | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jen | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Gabriel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Corbin | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Caleb | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Bryce | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aniya | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 78¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 50 million | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| At least 40 million | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| At least 35 million | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| At least 30 million | bid 3¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 12¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 78¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 6 million | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 50 million | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least 40 million | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least 35 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 30 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 25 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 21 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 18 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 15 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least 12 million | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Jun 27, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 10:47 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 9 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 8 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 7 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 6 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 5 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 4 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 3 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 2 songs | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Exactly 10 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 1 song | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Exactly 0 songs | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Grammy nominees: Best New Artist — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 5:43 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Adéla | bid 23¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Mitski | bid 3¢ / ask 18¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:54 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Stephen Root | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Jeff Hiller | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Television Movie — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:57 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Miss You, Love You | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:43 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Shawn Hatosy | bid 72¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Kit Harington | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Picture: Rose — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
Will Watch It Burn by Katy Perry debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?: Watch It Burn by Katy Perry (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Jun 16, 2026 at 11:46 AM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: Matthew Rhys (bid 64¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:29 PM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Comedy Series: Widow's Bay (bid 61¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 8:28 PM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie: Jason Bateman (bid 67¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series: Sepideh Moafi (bid 61¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:42 PM ET
Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting: Obsession (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET
Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay: Obsession (bid 10¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Jun 15, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,453 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,025 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 84 | 12 | RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX SHOW GLOBAL, +9 more |
| 📊 Economics | 55 | 7 | US gas price up, US gas price up, US flight cancellations this week, +4 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.