📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 07 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 08 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 469 unique markets across 57 new events, plus 4,642 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: At least 6 million bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, At least 30 million bid 1¢ / ask 75¢, At least 25 million ask 85¢ (no bids)
Steam: Weekly Top Seller : NBA 2K27, How to Fish, Call of Duty®: Black Ops III all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Most popular AI this week: Xiaomi bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Z.ai bid 3¢ / ask 9¢, DeepSeek bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 9, 2026?: 40.0% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 40.0% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Below 39.4% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Tencent market share this week: Above 6.8% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 3.1% bid 87¢ / ask 98¢, Above 3.7% bid 85¢ / ask 98¢
OpenAI market share this week: Above 19.8% bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 20.4% bid 93¢ / ask 97¢, Above 21.8% bid 72¢ / ask 81¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.945 bid 24¢ / ask 25¢, Above $5.905 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.925 bid 87¢ / ask 90¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4?
- Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 9, 2026?
- When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
- When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?
- When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?
- Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?
- Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?
- Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
- Will the UK raise taxes in the October Budget?
- Bank Indonesia rate decision in September
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 8, 2026
- Norway rate decision in September
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026
- Sweden rate decision in September
- Swiss National Bank rate decision in September
- Turkey rate decision in September
- US student loan debt at end of 2026
- Anthropic market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Google market share this week
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- OpenAI market share this week
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
- Qwen market share this week
- Tencent market share this week
- Chicago Mayor winner?
- Göttingen mayoral election winner?
- Kamloops mayoral election winner?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: Grüne vote share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: Linke vote share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: SPD vote share?
- Missouri State Senate District 30 winner?
- Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner?
- Prague mayoral election winner?
- Prešov mayoral election winner?
- Prince George mayoral election winner?
- Saanich mayoral election winner?
- Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
- Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner?
All New Events
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 2 markets
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone? — 2 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $2400 | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
| At least $2600 | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 87 markets
Steam: Weekly Top Seller — 20 outcomes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Warframe | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| WARDOGS | bid 40¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| The Blood of Dawnwalker | bid 8¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Steam Deck | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| STAR WARS Zero Company™ | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Palworld | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Once Human | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NBA 2K27 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Marvel Rivals | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| How to Fish | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| HELLDIVERS™ 2 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Halloween: The Game | bid 6¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Crimson Moon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Crimson Desert Enhanced | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Counter-Strike 2 | bid 4¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Call of Duty®: Black Ops III | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Bodycam | bid 1¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Apex Legends™ | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 1¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Yeh Awarapan | bid 10¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 7¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 3¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Samjho Na - THE VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Jubin Nautiyal, Tanishk B, Suvarna, Manoj M | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro | bid 1¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 14¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Yeh Awarapan | bid 1¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Samjho Na - THE VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Jubin Nautiyal, Tanishk B, Suvarna, Manoj M | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dil | Coke Studio Nu.WAV | Afusic x Zoha Waseem x Ali Soomro | bid 1¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 19¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | bid 7¢ / ask 14¢ |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | bid 2¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 12¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| BbY WOW | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| AH HA | last 1¢ (book empty) |
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least 6 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 50 million | — |
| At least 40 million | — |
| At least 35 million | — |
| At least 30 million | bid 1¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least 25 million | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| At least 21 million | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| At least 18 million | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| At least 15 million | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| At least 12 million | — |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | bid 60¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 6 million | — |
| At least 50 million | — |
| At least 40 million | — |
| At least 35 million | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| At least 30 million | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| At least 25 million | — |
| At least 21 million | — |
| At least 18 million | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| At least 15 million | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| At least 12 million | bid 16¢ / ask 96¢ |
💹 Financials — 7 events, 124 markets
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? — 35 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
Tracking: Zoom, Venture Global, Twilio, Tradeweb Markets, TPG, Toast, Talen Energy, Atlassian, SpaceX, SoFi, Snowflake, Southern Copper, Rocket Companies, Roblox, Okta, Natera, Cloudflare, Strategy (MicroStrategy), Medline, MongoDB, LPL Financial, Cheniere Energy, HEICO, Guidewire Software, Duolingo, +10 more
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.39% or above | — |
| 5.37% or above | — |
| 5.35% or above | — |
| 5.33% or above | — |
| 5.31% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 5.29% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 5.27% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 5.25% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 52¢ |
| 5.23% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 5.21% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 5.19% or above | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| 5.17% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| 5.15% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.13% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.11% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.94% or above | — |
| 4.92% or above | — |
| 4.9% or above | — |
| 4.88% or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 4.86% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| 4.7% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.68% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.66% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.79% or above | — |
| 4.77% or above | — |
| 4.75% or above | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| 4.73% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 19¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 35¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 51¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 4.57% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 4.55% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.53% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.51% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.69% or above | — |
| 4.67% or above | — |
| 4.65% or above | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| 4.63% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 4.59% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 4.51% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.49% or above | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| 4.47% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| 4.45% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.43% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.41% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.49% or above | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| 4.47% or above | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| 4.45% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.43% or above | bid 28¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 42¢ |
| 4.39% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 67¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 78¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.29% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.27% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.25% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.23% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.21% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET
Tracking: Skyworks Solutions, Solventum, Paramount Skydance, Norwegian Cruise Line, LyondellBasell Industries, Kenvue, Hormel Foods, Hasbro, Dow, Deckers Outdoor, Brown-Forman, Alexandria Real Estate, A. O. Smith, AES
🏛️ Politics — 8 events, 24 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 9, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 18¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 28¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 3¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 40.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
When will Canada raise tariffs on the US? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:45 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:44 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | bid 23¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 13¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?: Yes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?: Yes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
Will the UK raise taxes in the October Budget?: Yes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 5:46 PM ET
Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?: Yes (bid 23¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 9 events, 71 markets
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13 — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 9:49 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 142T tokens | bid 11¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 138T tokens | bid 21¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 134T tokens | bid 23¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 130T tokens | bid 21¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 126T tokens | bid 27¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 122T tokens | bid 75¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 118T tokens | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 114T tokens | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 110T tokens | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 7:53 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 21.1% | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 20.4% | bid 15¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 19.9% | bid 28¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 19.6% | bid 38¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 19.35% | bid 46¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 19.1% | bid 55¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 18.8% | bid 66¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 18.4% | bid 78¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 17.6% | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Anthropic market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 7:52 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.45% | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 3.25% | bid 10¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 3.1% | bid 15¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 2.95% | bid 20¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 2.85% | bid 46¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 2.75% | bid 50¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 2.6% | bid 52¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 2.45% | bid 56¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 2.25% | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
Qwen market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 7:52 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.1% | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 5.95% | bid 26¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 5.85% | bid 19¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 5.75% | bid 15¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 5.7% | bid 19¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 5.65% | bid 18¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 5.55% | bid 11¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 5.45% | bid 15¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 5.3% | bid 11¢ / ask 90¢ |
Tencent market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 7:51 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 5.9% | bid 10¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 5.3% | bid 10¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 4.9% | bid 15¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 4.5% | bid 44¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 4.1% | bid 33¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 3.7% | bid 85¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 3.1% | bid 87¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 2.2% | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 7:50 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 25.8% | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 24.7% | bid 2¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 24% | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 23.6% | bid 13¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 23.3% | bid 14¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 23% | bid 32¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 22.6% | bid 26¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 21.9% | bid 18¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 20.8% | bid 65¢ / ask 91¢ |
OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 7:50 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 23.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 22.4% | bid 10¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 21.8% | bid 72¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 21.4% | bid 19¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 21.1% | bid 46¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 20.8% | bid 71¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 20.4% | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 19.8% | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 18.7% | bid 61¢ (no asks) |
Most popular AI this week — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tencent | bid 37¢ / ask 79¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 8¢ / ask 27¢ |
| last 1¢ (book empty) | |
| DeepSeek | bid 8¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Anthropic | last 1¢ (book empty) |
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 145 (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET
📊 Economics — 9 events, 73 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.950 | bid 13¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above $5.945 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above $5.940 | bid 39¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $5.935 | bid 43¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above $5.930 | bid 90¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $5.925 | bid 87¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $5.920 | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.915 | bid 86¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above $5.910 | bid 88¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $5.905 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.900 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.895 | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.890 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.885 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.880 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.875 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.870 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.865 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.860 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.855 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.850 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Sep 8, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1313.16 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1303.16 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1293.16 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1283.16 | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1273.16 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1263.16 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 1253.16 | bid 42¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1243.16 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1233.16 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1223.16 | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1213.16 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1203.16 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1193.16 | bid 88¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1183.16 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1173.16 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.2% | bid 2¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 1.0% | bid 3¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 0.8% | bid 6¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 0.6% | bid 16¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 0.4% | bid 30¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above -0.4% | bid 75¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 0.2% | bid 45¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above -0.2% | bid 68¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 0.0% | bid 58¢ / ask 91¢ |
Bank Indonesia rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
Norway rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
Sweden rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
Turkey rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 250bps, Hike 1-250bps, Cut more than 250bps, Cut 1-250bps
Swiss National Bank rate decision in September — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 1:25 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
US student loan debt at end of 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 9:04 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $1.82 trillion | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.96 trillion | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $1.98 trillion | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 17 events, 88 markets
Prague mayoral election winner? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
Tracking: Václav Láska, Tomáš Portlík, Tereza Nislerová, Petr Hlaváček, Milan Urban, Klára Sovová, Jana Komrsková, Jan Hušbauer, Adam Scheinherr
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: Linke vote share? — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:24 PM ET
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: Grüne vote share? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:23 PM ET
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Prince George mayoral election winner? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Tracking: Zachariah Olson, Simon Yu, Roy Stewart, Marc Carrier, Kyle Sampson, Garth Frizzell, Ernesto Caranto
Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:28 PM ET
Tracking: Victorian Socialists, One Nation, Nationals, Liberal, Greens, Labor
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: SPD vote share? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:26 PM ET
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:24 PM ET
Prešov mayoral election winner? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET
Tracking: Svetlana Pavlovičová, Rastislav Mochnacký, Pavel Hagyari, Martin Eštočák, František Oľha, Artúr Benes
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET
Kamloops mayoral election winner? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Tracking: Reid Hamer-Jackson, Ray Dhaliwal, Nelly Dever, Mike O'Reilly
Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
Tracking: Michael Johnstone, Leanne Raw, Dillon Roberts, Chloe Foster
Göttingen mayoral election winner? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
Tracking: Thomas Eilt Goes, Onyekachi Oshionwu, Florian Dinger, Ehsan Kangarani
Saanich mayoral election winner? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Tracking: Zac de Vries, Rishi Sharma, Karen Harper
Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET
Tracking: Vaughn Goettler, Erwin Wiens, Andrea Kaiser
Missouri State Senate District 30 winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 08, 2026 at 5:51 PM ET
Tracking: Melanie Stinnett, Betsy Fogle
Chicago Mayor winner?: Toni Brooks (bid 1¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Sep 08, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,642 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,787 | 12 | Nasdaq above/below, DJI Hourly, S&P 500 above/below, +9 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 430 | 56 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +53 more |
| 📊 Economics | 315 | 14 | Ohio gas price, Florida gas price, US gas price up, +11 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 102 | 14 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, +11 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 8 | 2 | Trump tariffs on Canada: increase, Trump tariffs on Canada: reduction |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.