Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what's new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, "Who will win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?" Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like "Will Anora win Best Picture?" at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (e.g. "Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?"), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Apr 15 at 9:48 AM ET through Apr 16 at 9:48 AM ET). Our scan picked up 229 unique markets across 36 new events, plus 5,631 recurring bracket markets.
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 29 events, 188 markets
🎵 Billboard 200 Chart Positions — 14 albums tracked
Each entry has 10 outcome markets for chart position. Click any to see full pricing on Kalshi.
Title | Artist | Markets |
|---|---|---|
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS | Bad Bunny | 10 |
THE ROMANTIC | Bruno Mars | 10 |
OCTANE | DON TOLIVER | 10 |
KPop Demon Hunters | HUNTR/X, Saja Boys, Kpop Demon Hunters Cast | 10 |
KISS ALL THE TIME. DISCO, OCCASIONALLY. | Harry Styles | 10 |
The Way I Am | Luke Combs | 10 |
I'm The Problem | Morgan Wallen | 10 |
One Thing At A Time | Morgan Wallen | 10 |
Stick Season | Noah Kahan | 10 |
The Art Of Loving | Olivia Dean | 10 |
THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE. | RAYE | 10 |
SOS | SZA | 10 |
The Life of a Showgirl | Taylor Swift | 10 |
BULLY | Ye | 10 |
Who will host Vogue’s ‘Live at the Met Gala’ in 2026? — 13 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 1:05:57 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Quenlin Blackwell | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Kendall Jenner | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Keke Palmer | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Jake Shane | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Harry Daniels | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Emma Chamberlain | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Emily Ratajkowski | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Clavicular | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Chloe Fineman | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Cara Delevingne | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Amelia Dimoldenberg | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Alix Earle | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Alex Cooper | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Which performances will happen during Coachella 2026 (Weekend 2)? — 11 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 8:00:40 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Young Thug | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
The Strokes | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Sombr | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Sexyy Red | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Sabrina Carpenter | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
PinkPantheress | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
KATSEYE | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Karol G | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Justin Bieber | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Foster the People | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Central Cee | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
How many weeks will Dandelion by Ella Langley spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 1:05:28 PM ET
Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
at least 6 weeks | bid 27¢ / ask 39¢ |
at least 5 weeks | bid 36¢ / ask 48¢ |
at least 4 weeks | bid 48¢ / ask 58¢ |
at least 3 weeks | bid 58¢ / ask 72¢ |
at least 2 weeks | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
at least 1 week | bid 98¢ / ask 100¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actor? — 3 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:19:51 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Paul Giamatti | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
Sam Rockwell | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
Jeremy Strong | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
Where will Kanye West / Ye perform this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:46:07 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Stade Velodrome | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
Silesian Stadium | bid 72¢ / ask 80¢ |
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:34:56 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Dario Amodei | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Sam Altman | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Oscar nominations for Achievement in Casting? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:24:53 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Wild Horse Nine | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
Michael | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Cinematography? — 2 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:19:05 AM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
1949 / Fatherland | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
Project Hail Mary | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
Who will have a #1 album this year?: Olivia Rodrigo (bid 79¢ / ask 85¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:07:01 AM ET
Emmy Award for Comedy Series : Rooster (bid 1¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:02:08 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?: Jeremy Strong (bid 32¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:01:24 AM ET
Oscar for Best Picture?: 1949 / Fatherland (bid 2¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:28:21 AM ET
Who will headline Coachella 2027?: Olivia Rodrigo (bid 26¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:26:22 AM ET
Who will be on the cover of the 2026 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?: Hilary Duff (bid 12¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:25:28 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Director?: Paweł Pawlikowski (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:21:30 AM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 30 markets
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Apr 16, 2026 at 8:03:38 AM ET
Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
Above 6.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 6.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 5.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 5.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 5.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 5.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 5.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 4.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 4.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 4.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 4.2% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 4.0% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 3.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 3.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Above 3.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 99¢ |
Truflation EV Commodity Index for April 16, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 8:01:07 PM ET
Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
Above 1365.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1345.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1325.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1305.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1285.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1265.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1245.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1225.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1205.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1185.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1165.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1145.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1125.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1105.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
Above 1085.91 | bid 0¢ / ask 100¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 5 markets
When will DHS be funded again? — 3 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 5:14:56 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Before May 8, 2026 | bid 35¢ / ask 40¢ |
Before May 15, 2026 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
Before May 22, 2026 | bid 54¢ / ask 62¢ |
Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?: In 2026 (bid 0¢ / ask 0¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 6:20:34 PM ET
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?: Before Jun 1, 2026 (bid 27¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 10:06:50 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 5 markets
Will Newsom endorse in the California Governor's race? — 5 outcomes — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 6:02:23 PM ET
Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
Xavier Becerra | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Tom Steyer | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
No one | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Matt Mahan | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
Katie Porter | bid 0¢ / ask 0¢ |
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 1 market
Zyn US shipment volume in Q1 2026: above 195 million (bid 47¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Apr 15, 2026 at 11:18:12 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,631 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
💹 Financials | 4950 | 4 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +1 more |
🌤️ Climate and Weather | 271 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Lowest Temperature SATX, Low Temperature Atlanta, +39 more |
🎬 Entertainment | 227 | 20 | Billboard Hot 100 #1, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE , +17 more |
📊 Economics | 183 | 12 | US gas price up, Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel, Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash, +9 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask prices at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.