Someone just bet $14,761 against "Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?" on Kalshi's KXALIENS-27 market. The trader purchased 17,164 NO contracts at 86¢ each, totaling $14,761. With no resting orders and zero reported liquidity, the book shows no measurable slippage or price movement from this fill. The YES side currently sits at 14¢, implying roughly a 14% probability of confirmation before January 1, 2027.
📊 Last 171 trades: 171 trades over 10.3 hours (4:10 AM to 2:28 PM ET), NO volume leads $42,551 to $1,062, price holding near 14¢. One $14,761 NO trade (17,164 contracts) accounts for 34% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.