📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 24 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 25 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 219 unique markets across 30 new events, plus 5,734 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Nu Holdings customers in 2026: Above 154 million bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Above 153 million bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 152 million bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Nu Holdings customers in Q2: Above 141 million bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Above 140.5 million bid 31¢ / ask 32¢, Above 140 million bid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination: Yasmine bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Tommy bid 86¢ / ask 87¢, Tina bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?: At least 3.0°C bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Below 1.5°C bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 2.5°C to 2.9°C bid 33¢ / ask 34¢
Spotify headcount in Q2: Above 7350 bid 16¢ / ask 17¢, Above 7300 bid 42¢ / ask 43¢, Above 7250 bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
Spotify headcount in 2026: Above 7450 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 7400 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Above 7350 bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
- Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
- Where will the minimum temperature be below 50 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
- When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
- Will Congress override Trump's veto?
- Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
- Artist(s) with a #1 Song on Spotify Global: July
- Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Thursday elimination
- Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026
- Rick Ross SET IN STONE: Features
- Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in June?
- Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?
- Google headcount in Q2
- Intel headcount in 2026
- Intel headcount in Q2
- Nu Holdings customers in 2026
- Nu Holdings customers in Q2
- Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027
- Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2
- Spotify headcount in Q2
- Tesla deliveries in Q2
- Tesla production in Q2
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?: Zohran Mamdani (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 4 markets
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 5:24 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 4,900 | bid 55¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 5,000 | bid 42¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 5,100 | bid 25¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least 5,200 | bid 14¢ / ask 21¢ |
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 8 markets
Spotify headcount in 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7450 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 7400 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 7350 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 7300 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 7250 | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 7200 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 7150 | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 7100 | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
📊 Economics — 1 event, 8 markets
US new home sales for June — 8 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 660,000 | bid 28¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 640,000 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 620,000 | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 600,000 | bid 61¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 580,000 | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 560,000 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 540,000 | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 520,000 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 3 events, 45 markets
Where will the minimum temperature be below 50 degrees on Jul 4, 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| San Francisco | bid 10¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Seattle | bid 13¢ / ask 44¢ |
| San Antonio | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Phoenix | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Philadelphia | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Oklahoma City | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| New York City | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| New Orleans | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Minneapolis | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Miami | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Las Vegas | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Los Angeles | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Houston | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Denver | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Washington DC | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dallas | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Chicago | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Boston | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Austin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Atlanta | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Where will the maximum temperature be above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026? — 20 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| San Francisco | bid 2¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Seattle | bid 57¢ / ask 60¢ |
| San Antonio | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Phoenix | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Philadelphia | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Oklahoma City | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| New York City | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| New Orleans | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Minneapolis | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Miami | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Las Vegas | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Los Angeles | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Houston | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Denver | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Washington DC | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Dallas | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Chicago | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Boston | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Austin | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Atlanta | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 3.0°C | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Below 1.5°C | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 2.5°C to 2.9°C | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 2.0°C to 2.4°C | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 1.5°C to 1.9°C | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 15 markets
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 14¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 17¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:41 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 7, 2026 | bid 45¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Before Jul 16, 2026 | bid 62¢ / ask 64¢ |
Will Congress override Trump's veto?: Before Aug 1, 2026 (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 63 markets
Love Island USA S8: Thursday elimination — 23 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 10:18 AM ET
View market options (23 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Trinity | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tierra | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sydney | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Ronnie | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Parmida | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Melanie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kenzie | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KC | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kayda | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jen | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jaiden | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Gal | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dylan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Corey | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Corbin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Chay | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Carl | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Caleb | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Bryce | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Aniya | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Amora | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination — 17 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tommy | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Tina | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Simba | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Sean | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Samraj | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Priya | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| NONE | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mica | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Lola | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kavan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Ellie | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Angelista | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Aidan | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
Rick Ross SET IN STONE: Features — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Nas | bid 56¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Meek Mill | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Lil Wayne | bid 5¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | bid 5¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Kanye West | bid 44¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Jeezy | bid 4¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Jay-Z | bid 9¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Future | bid 7¢ / ask 58¢ |
| French Montana | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Drake | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| DJ Khaled | bid 6¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 21 Savage | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026 — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders | bid 70¢ / ask 74¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders | bid 74¢ / ask 81¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 25 million preorders | bid 43¢ / ask 73¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 20 million preorders | bid 10¢ / ask 76¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 17.5 million preorders | bid 46¢ / ask 65¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 15 million preorders | bid 28¢ / ask 95¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 12.5 million preorders | bid 8¢ / ask 55¢ |
| GTA 6 has surpassed 10 million preorders | bid 74¢ / ask 76¢ |
Will Ariana Madix Host Love Island USA Season 9?: Ariana Madix as the official host? (bid 77¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
Artist(s) with a #1 Song on Spotify Global: July: Burna Boy — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:18 PM ET
Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in June?: Burna Boy (bid 2¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:17 PM ET
💹 Financials — 12 events, 75 markets
Nu Holdings customers in 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 8:46 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 154 million | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 153 million | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 152 million | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 151 million | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 150 million | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 149 million | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 148 million | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 147 million | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 146 million | bid 46¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 145 million | bid 52¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 144 million | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 143 million | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
Nu Holdings customers in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 141 million | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 140.5 million | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 140 million | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 139.5 million | bid 77¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 139 million | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 138.5 million | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 138 million | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 137.5 million | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 137 million | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Spotify headcount in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7350 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 7325 | bid 23¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 7300 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 7275 | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 7250 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 7225 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 7200 | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 7175 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 7150 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Intel headcount in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 84000 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 83500 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 83000 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 82500 | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 82000 | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 81500 | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 81000 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 80500 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 80000 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 160000 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 155000 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 150000 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 145000 | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 140000 | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 135000 | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 130000 | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 125000 | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 — 8 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 12:41 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3250 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 3200 | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 3150 | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 3100 | bid 83¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 3050 | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 3000 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 2950 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 2900 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
Intel headcount in 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 88000 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 86000 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 84000 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 82000 | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 80000 | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 78000 | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
Tesla production in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 410000 | bid 77¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 430000 | bid 50¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 450000 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 470000 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 480000 | bid 5¢ / ask 14¢ |
Tesla deliveries in Q2 — 4 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 470000 | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 480000 | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 490000 | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 500000 | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
Google headcount in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 195750 | bid 72¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 196250 | bid 52¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 196750 | bid 30¢ / ask 37¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.7202 — listed Jun 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?: Oura — listed Jun 24, 2026 at 9:11 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,734 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,978 | 7 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, B200 Monthly, +4 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 419 | 11 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 48 | 6 | US gas price up, US gas price, Price of a Chipotle chicken burrito this month, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.