📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 31 at 8:30 AM ET through Aug 01 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 654 unique markets across 40 new events, plus 1,457 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37): Above $0.60, Above $0.50, Above $0.40 all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37): Above $1.25 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $1.00 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $2.75 bid 47¢ / ask 50¢
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE): DeepSeek bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Gemini bid 5¢ / ask 7¢, Claude bid 13¢ / ask 54¢
Top Math AI this month: Kimi bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Gemini bid 7¢ / ask 11¢, Claude bid 79¢ / ask 83¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026?: Sherrod Brown bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Haley Stevens bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Mary Peltola bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 4 elimination: Yash Patel bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Taylor Brown bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Lyric Medeiros bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/31-8/7)?: Above 6.3% — bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
- Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
- Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
- Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
- Top Math AI this month
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in August 2027
- NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37)
- NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in August 2027
- NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37)
- NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in August 2027
- Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/2-8/8)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/1-8/7)
- How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026?
- How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026?
- How many Truths will Trump delete in Aug 2026?
- Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026?
- Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/2 - 8/8)
- Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?
All New Events
📊 Economics — 1 event, 1 market
Major protest in Aug 2026?: Yes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/31-8/7)?: Above 6.3% (bid 45¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 21 markets
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 4 elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Rick Devens | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Melody Morris | bid 34¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Drew Campbell | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Dee Valladares | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Angela Murray | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Price of Creed Aventus in August 2026? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 01, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 5 events, 63 markets
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Aug 31, 2026? — 20 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Aug 31, 2026? — 19 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — 9 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:23 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 5¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Kimi | bid 4¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Grok | bid 4¢ / ask 70¢ |
| GLM | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Gemini | bid 3¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Dola | bid 3¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Claude | bid 13¢ / ask 74¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 6¢ / ask 46¢ |
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE) — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| MiMo | bid 12¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Kimi | bid 12¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Grok | bid 6¢ / ask 62¢ |
| GLM | bid 5¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Gemini | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Claude | bid 13¢ / ask 54¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 13¢ / ask 56¢ |
Top Math AI this month — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:19 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Minimax | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Mimo | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Kimi | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Gemini | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Claude | bid 79¢ / ask 83¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
💹 Financials — 13 events, 479 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 9¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 9¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 14¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 12¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 14¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 15¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 16¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 17¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 18¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 18¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 21¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 23¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 24¢ / ask 35¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 19¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 25¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 26¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 28¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 31¢ / ask 37¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 10¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 15¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 17¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 19¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 19¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 22¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 9¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 10¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 10¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 13¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 13¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 14¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 19¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
+ 35 more
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in August 2027 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in August 2027 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37) — 12 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $4.00 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $3.75 | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $3.50 | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $3.25 | bid 15¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above $3.00 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above $2.75 | bid 47¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above $2.50 | bid 64¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $2.25 | bid 82¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above $2.00 | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in August 2027 — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37) — 10 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $2.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.50 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 58¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above $0.75 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.60 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.50 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.40 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.30 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?: Leopold Aschenbrenner (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:39 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 18 events, 89 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9) — 14 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 75 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 70 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 65 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 60 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 55 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 58¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 67¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 70¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 75¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 22¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 18¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Haley Stevens | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 22¢ / ask 27¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9) — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| August 9 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| August 8 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 7 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 6 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 5 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 4 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 3 | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/1-8/7) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9) — 6 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 88¢ / ask 95¢ |
How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/3 - 8/9) — 5 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9) — 5 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 17¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 84¢ / ask 88¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/3 - 8/9) — 5 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 59¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 72¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many Truths will Trump delete in Aug 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET
Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/2-8/8) — 4 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:54 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 5 | bid 29¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 45¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 61¢ / ask 67¢ |
| At least 10 | bid 13¢ / ask 20¢ |
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET
Tracking: 4, 3, 2, 1
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 4:48 PM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/2 - 8/8): Above 0 — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?: Yes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?: Above 38.1% (bid 46¢ / ask 47¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:38 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,457 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 895 | 11 | Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600, DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 363 | 47 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +44 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 69 | 12 | Who will Trump meet?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +9 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 65 | 8 | B200 Monthly Price, H200 Monthly Price, H100 Monthly Price, +5 more |
| 📊 Economics | 60 | 5 | US gas price up, Elon Musk net worth on [date], Hass avocado prices this week, +2 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 5 | 3 | Netflix TV ranking, WHICH SONG WILL BE NUMBER THIS MONTH, Netflix TV ranking |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.