📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 30 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 31 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 666 unique markets across 41 new events, plus 4,035 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37): Above $1.00 bid 61¢ / ask 62¢, Above $0.60 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $0.50 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37): Above $1.25 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $1.00 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $2.25 bid 82¢ / ask 84¢
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/2-8/8): At least 3 bid 45¢ / ask 46¢, At least 5 bid 29¢ / ask 36¢, At least 2 bid 61¢ / ask 68¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026?: Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, Haley Stevens all at bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 4 elimination: Yash Patel bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Mallory Aurichio bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Lyric Medeiros bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?: 5.14% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 5.12% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 5.16% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?: 4.84% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 4.72% or above bid 59¢ / ask 60¢, 4.62% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026?
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37)
- NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37)
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
- Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/2-8/8)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/1-8/7)
- How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026?
- How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026?
- How many Truths will Trump delete in Aug 2026?
- Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)
- Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026?
- Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/2 - 8/8)
- Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/31-8/7)?: Above 6.3% (bid 60¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 14 markets
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 4 elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:55 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 26¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Rick Devens | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Melody Morris | bid 24¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Mallory Aurichio | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lyric Medeiros | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| LaTrice Verrett | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kamu Kirk | bid 12¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Haley Thogmartin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Dee Valladares | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Chuk Anyanwu | bid 5¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Angela Murray | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 16 markets
EV commodity prices on Jul 31, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jul 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1278.74 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1268.74 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1258.74 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1248.74 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1238.74 | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 1228.74 | bid 66¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 1218.74 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1208.74 | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1198.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1188.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1178.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1168.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1158.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1148.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1138.74 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Major protest in Aug 2026?: Yes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 24 markets
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 3:23 PM ET
Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE) — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET
Tracking: MiMo, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, DeepSeek, Claude, ChatGPT
Top Math AI this month — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 3:19 PM ET
Tracking: Qwen, Minimax, Mimo, Kimi, Gemini, Claude, ChatGPT
💹 Financials — 16 events, 522 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 9¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 9¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 14¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 19¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 26¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 29¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 30¢ / ask 37¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 31¢ / ask 37¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 31¢ / ask 37¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average price on Aug 3, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $52,720 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,715 | bid 13¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least $52,710 | bid 14¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,705 | bid 14¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least $52,700 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,695 | bid 15¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least $52,690 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,685 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $52,680 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,675 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $52,670 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least $52,665 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,660 | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least $52,655 | bid 20¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $52,650 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,645 | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $52,640 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| At least $52,635 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,630 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least $52,625 | bid 24¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $52,620 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,615 | bid 25¢ / ask 31¢ |
| At least $52,610 | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least $52,605 | bid 27¢ / ask 33¢ |
| At least $52,600 | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
+ 35 more
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.34% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 5.32% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 5.3% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 5.28% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 5.26% or above | bid 56¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 5.24% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 72¢ |
| 5.22% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.14% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.12% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 5.08% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 5.06% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.84% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.74% or above | bid 48¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 59¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 79¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.66% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.64% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.58% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.56% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.64% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 31¢ / ask 35¢ |
| 4.58% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 4.56% or above | bid 44¢ / ask 48¢ |
| 4.54% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 4.52% or above | bid 67¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 77¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.48% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 4.46% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.44% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.42% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.38% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.36% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.54% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.52% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 4.48% or above | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 4.46% or above | bid 48¢ / ask 54¢ |
| 4.44% or above | bid 58¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 4.42% or above | bid 67¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 4.4% or above | bid 68¢ / ask 77¢ |
| 4.38% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.36% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.34% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.32% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.3% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.28% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.26% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.39% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 17¢ / ask 28¢ |
| 4.29% or above | bid 37¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.27% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 4.23% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 4.21% or above | bid 71¢ / ask 81¢ |
| 4.19% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.17% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.13% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.11% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37) — 12 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $4.00 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $3.75 | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $3.50 | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $3.25 | bid 16¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above $3.00 | bid 29¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above $2.75 | bid 47¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above $2.50 | bid 66¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above $2.25 | bid 82¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $2.00 | bid 91¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Sep 11 (Week 37) — 10 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $2.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.50 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above $0.75 | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.60 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.50 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.40 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.30 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Jul 30, 2026 at 6:42 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 62000 | bid 60¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 64000 | bid 47¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 66000 | bid 34¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 68000 | bid 20¢ / ask 25¢ |
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?: Leopold Aschenbrenner (bid 5¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:39 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 18 events, 89 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9) — 14 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 75 | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 70 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 65 | bid 33¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 60 | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 55 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 58¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 67¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 70¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 75¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 89¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 21¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 26¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Haley Stevens | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 22¢ / ask 27¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9) — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| August 9 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| August 8 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 7 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 6 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 5 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 4 | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| August 3 | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/1-8/7) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9) — 6 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 93¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 56¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 88¢ / ask 94¢ |
How many states will Trump visit in Aug 2026? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/3 - 8/9) — 5 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 7¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 18¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 53¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9) — 5 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 17¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 84¢ / ask 91¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/3 - 8/9) — 5 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 20¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 39¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 59¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 72¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
How many Truths will Trump delete in Aug 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET
Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/2-8/8) — 4 brackets — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:54 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 5 | bid 29¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least 3 | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least 2 | bid 61¢ / ask 68¢ |
| At least 10 | bid 13¢ / ask 20¢ |
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 31, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET
Tracking: 4, 3, 2, 1
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 4:48 PM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/2 - 8/8): Above 0 — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?: Yes — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?: Above 38.1% (bid 48¢ / ask 71¢) — listed Jul 31, 2026 at 12:38 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,035 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,526 | 16 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +13 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 360 | 46 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 69 | 12 | Who will Trump meet?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +9 more |
| 📊 Economics | 60 | 5 | US gas price up, Elon Musk net worth on [date], Hass avocado prices this week, +2 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 15 | 6 | H200 Monthly Price, RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, +3 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 5 | 3 | Netflix TV ranking, WHICH SONG WILL BE NUMBER THIS MONTH, Netflix TV ranking |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.