In Short
Tyler Reddick passed Chase Briscoe with nine laps left to win Segment 2 of the NASCAR All-Star Race at Dover on May 17.
Kalshi's All-Star Race winner market has Denny Hamlin as the favorite at around 48 cents, with Reddick trailing at around 21 cents.
The final segment will determine the overall winner.
What Happened
Tyler Reddick made a late move past Chase Briscoe with nine laps remaining to win Segment 2 of the 2026 NASCAR All-Star Race at Dover on May 17. Briscoe held second, followed by Denny Hamlin, Carson Hocevar, and Connor Zilisch. Bubba Wallace had won a wreck-filled Segment 1. Because the All-Star Race uses a multi-segment format, Segment 2 results do not crown the overall winner. The decisive final segment was still to come.
The Market
KXNASCARRACE-NASA26-DEHA, the contract on Denny Hamlin winning the All-Star Race, was trading around 48 cents despite Hamlin finishing third in Segment 2. KXNASCARRACE-NASA26-TYRE, the Tyler Reddick contract, sat around 21 cents even after his Segment 2 victory. Both contracts carried six-figure 24-hour volumes. The gap reflects a clear market consensus: bettors believe Hamlin has the equipment and late-race savvy to take the final segment regardless of earlier results.
What To Watch
The final segment at Dover decides everything. The overall winner market closes May 31, but the on-track action is what matters now. If Reddick converts his Segment 2 momentum into a strong restart position and takes early control of the final segment, his contract could spike quickly toward 40 cents or higher. If Hamlin gets clean air up front, the 48-cent favorite price could jump past 70 cents in short order. Track position off the final restart is the single biggest catalyst for both contracts.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.