📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 16 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 17 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 363 unique markets across 37 new events, plus 4,374 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Anthony Ippolito — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?: Yes — bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?: Volt bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, FDP bid 5¢ / ask 18¢, BSW bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features: PinkPantheress bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Oasis bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Beyoncé bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
Dancing with the Stars · Episode 3 Elimination: Maura Higgins bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Jenna Dewan bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Harry Shum Jr. bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 18, 2026?: Below 39.4% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 40.0% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 39.4% bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 22¢ / ask 23¢, Before Apr 1, 2027 bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Closest Governor race in 2026?
- Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?
- Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?
- Open Source market share on Sep 18th
- Open Source market share on Sep 24th
- OpenAI market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Dancing with the Stars · Episode 3 Elimination
- Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features
- Latin Grammy Awards: Album of the Year
- Oscar nominees: Best Actor
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 18, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 18, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 18, 2026
- Toronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 18, 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order in Sep 2026?
- Will China announce additional U.S. agricultural purchases in Sep 2026?
- Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. in Sep 2026?
- Will Newsom call a California special session?
- Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- Will the Kennedy Center Board vote to demolish the Kennedy Center in 2026?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
- CPI month-over-month in Dec 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- Czech National Bank rate decision in November
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 17, 2026
- US building permits for September
- US housing starts for September
- Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?
- Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 1 event, 5 markets
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 10¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 17¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 26¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2027 | bid 27¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 24¢ / ask 93¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 5 markets
Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Volt | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| FDP | bid 5¢ / ask 18¢ |
| BSW | bid 4¢ / ask 49¢ |
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?: Yes (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET
Closest Governor race in 2026?: Texas (bid 1¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 5 events, 26 markets
Open Source market share on Sep 24th — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 17, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET
Open Source market share on Sep 18th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 85% | bid 1¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 82.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 80% | — |
| Above 77.5% | — |
| Above 75% | — |
| Above 72.5% | — |
| Above 70% | — |
| Above 67.5% | — |
| Above 65% | bid 68¢ / ask 98¢ |
Qwen market share this week — 3 brackets — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 9:33 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7.25% | bid 27¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 7.45% | bid 10¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 7.65% | ask 45¢ (no bids) |
OpenAI market share this week — 3 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:39 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 19% | bid 17¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 18.5% | bid 35¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 18% | bid 55¢ / ask 73¢ |
SpaceX Starship 14th launch? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 23, 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Before Sep 29, 2026 | bid 39¢ / ask 80¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 9 events, 24 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 18, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 40.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 18¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 40.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 9:52 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 65¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 59¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 53¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 43¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
Will the Kennedy Center Board vote to demolish the Kennedy Center in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET
Will Newsom call a California special session?: Yes (bid 56¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 16¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Leon Black (bid 30¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET
Will China announce additional U.S. agricultural purchases in Sep 2026?: Yes (bid 63¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order in Sep 2026?: Yes (bid 70¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. in Sep 2026?: Yes (bid 16¢ / ask 83¢) — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 197 markets
Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features — 130 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach Bryan | bid 4¢ / ask 77¢ |
| YoungBoy Never Broke Again | bid 3¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Lil Yachty | bid 3¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Charli xcx | bid 7¢ / ask 81¢ |
| The Weeknd | bid 3¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Lil Wayne | bid 6¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | bid 3¢ / ask 71¢ |
| USHER | bid 3¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Tyla | bid 3¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Tyler, The Creator | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Tyga | bid 3¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Trippie Redd | bid 3¢ / ask 78¢ |
| T-Pain | bid 3¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Justin Timberlake | bid 3¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Young Thug | bid 3¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Taylor Swift | bid 4¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Tate McRae | bid 7¢ / ask 75¢ |
| SZA | bid 15¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Swae Lee | bid 6¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Stray Kids | bid 4¢ / ask 38¢ |
| sombr | bid 3¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Sia | bid 3¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Shawn Mendes | bid 4¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Shaboozey | bid 3¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Sexyy Red | bid 7¢ / ask 80¢ |
+ 105 more outcomes
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 18, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zid | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 7¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 7¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 時空超えてユニバース - Toki Koete Universe | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 7¢ / ask 79¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Joseph | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Jai Jai Ram | ask 66¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 20¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 8¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 18, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zid | — |
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | — |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | — |
| Training Season (Live) | — |
| 時空超えてユニバース - Toki Koete Universe | — |
| Shararat | — |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| Parvati | bid 6¢ / ask 70¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Joseph | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jai Jai Ram | bid 23¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Golden | — |
| Dai Dai | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | — |
| Barsaat | — |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 18, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| YFG Fatso - "Am I Wrong " [Official Music Video] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Triple 3 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Joseph | bid 7¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Janice STFU | ask 76¢ (no bids) |
| in the future | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Dancing with the Stars · Episode 3 Elimination — 14 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Taylor Hanson | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Tyler Cameron | bid 4¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Tatyana Ali | bid 41¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Maura Higgins | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Julia Stiles | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Jackson Olson | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Jenna Dewan | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Harry Shum Jr. | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Guillermo Rodriguez | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Giada De Laurentiis | bid 12¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Ezra Frech | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Connor Wood | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Ciara Miller | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Amber Glenn | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
Latin Grammy Awards: Album of the Year — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| EQUILIBRIVM | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| FREE SPIRITS | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Vendrán Suaves Lluvias | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| MUDA | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| ¿Dónde Es El After? | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Anthony Ippolito (bid 5¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:42 PM ET
Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Anthony Ippolito (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:41 PM ET
Toronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award: The Assassin(s) (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET
📊 Economics — 10 events, 106 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.445 | bid 52¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $6.440 | bid 63¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $6.435 | bid 57¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.430 | bid 85¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.425 | bid 85¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.420 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.415 | bid 61¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.410 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.405 | bid 63¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.400 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.395 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.390 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.385 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.380 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.375 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.370 | bid 83¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.365 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.360 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.355 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.350 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.345 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.450 | — |
| Above $6.455 | — |
| Above $6.460 | — |
| Above $6.465 | — |
+ 6 more
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 17, 2026 at 6:03 PM ET
EV commodity prices on Sep 17, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1262.20 | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1252.20 | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1242.20 | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1232.20 | bid 1¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 1222.20 | bid 5¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 1212.20 | bid 72¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 1202.20 | bid 91¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1192.20 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1182.20 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1172.20 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1162.20 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1152.20 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1142.20 | bid 89¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1132.20 | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1122.20 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
CPI month-over-month in Dec 2026 — 12 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 17, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET
US housing starts for September — 8 brackets — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.450M | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1.400M | bid 14¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1.350M | bid 25¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1.300M | bid 38¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1.250M | bid 55¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 1.200M | bid 70¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.150M | bid 82¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.100M | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
US building permits for September — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 17, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET
Czech National Bank rate decision in November — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 17, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 17, 2026 at 3:50 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?: United Kingdom higher? — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?: Canada higher? — listed Sep 17, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,374 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,411 | 10 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +7 more |
| 📊 Economics | 581 | 30 | Michigan gas price, Illinois gas price, TX gas price, +27 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 365 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 16 | 2 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Billboard Top 200 #1 |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 1 | 1 | Z.ai market share |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.