📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 10 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 11 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 425 unique markets across 51 new events, plus 4,467 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20): Above 275 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 225 bid 18¢ / ask 47¢, Above 175 bid 60¢ / ask 91¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026?: Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, Angie Nixon all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)?: Above 5.8% — bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 10 elimination: Yash Patel bid 18¢ / ask 19¢, Taylor Brown bid 26¢ / ask 27¢, Dee Valladares bid 24¢ / ask 28¢
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026?: Below 39.1% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 39.1% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 39.6% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?: 5.23% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 5.21% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 5.41% or above bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Bank of Russia rate decision in October
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 11, 2026
- Berlin state election: AfD vote share?
- Berlin state election: BSW vote share?
- Berlin state election: CDU vote share?
- Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share?
- Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
- Berlin state election: SPD vote share?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 10 elimination
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026?
- Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3
- When will the S&P 500 Index be above $7,750?
- Open Source market share on Sep 12th
- Open Source market share on Sep 16th
- Tencent market share this week
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/13-9/19)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/12-9/18)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026?
- Will data center power-cost standards become law?
- Will EPA publish a final interim SGAR decision before July 2027?
- Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19)
- Will the House pass data center power-cost standards?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/11-9/18)
All New Events
📊 Economics — 6 events, 68 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.105 | bid 89¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $6.100 | bid 69¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.095 | bid 75¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.090 | bid 82¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.085 | bid 84¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.080 | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.075 | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.070 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.065 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.060 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.055 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.050 | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.045 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.040 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.035 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.030 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.025 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.020 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.015 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.010 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.005 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.110 | bid 8¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above $6.115 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.120 | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.125 | — |
+ 6 more
EV commodity prices on Sep 11, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1333.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1323.73 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1313.73 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1303.73 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1293.73 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1283.73 | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1273.73 | ask 13¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1263.73 | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1253.73 | last 5¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1243.73 | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1233.73 | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1223.73 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 1213.73 | bid 53¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 1203.73 | bid 62¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 1193.73 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.32 | ask 59¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.34 | ask 56¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.36 | ask 52¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.38 | ask 49¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.40 | ask 44¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.42 | ask 39¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.44 | ask 33¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.46 | ask 25¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.48 | ask 16¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.50 | ask 16¢ (no bids) |
Bank of Russia rate decision in October — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
Tracking: Maintain current rate, Hike more than 25bps, Hike 1-25bps, Cut more than 25bps, Cut 1-25bps
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 3.6% | bid 14¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Exactly 3.7% | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 3.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Exactly 3.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 0.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Exactly 0.8% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Exactly 0.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 37 markets
Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 26% | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least 24% | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least 22% | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 20% | bid 72¢ / ask 82¢ |
| At least 18% | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
| At least 16% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
Berlin state election: CDU vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 25% | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| At least 23% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 21% | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least 19% | bid 47¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least 17% | bid 73¢ / ask 83¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
Berlin state election: SPD vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9% | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 7% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 5% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least 13% | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| At least 11% | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
Berlin state election: Grüne vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 20% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least 18% | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least 16% | bid 38¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 14% | bid 69¢ / ask 79¢ |
| At least 12% | bid 82¢ / ask 90¢ |
| At least 10% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
Berlin state election: AfD vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 21% | bid 17¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least 19% | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least 17% | bid 55¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least 15% | bid 78¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 13% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 11% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Berlin state election: BSW vote share? — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 6% | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
| At least 5% | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least 4% | bid 28¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least 3% | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 2% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 1% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)?: Above 5.8% (bid 91¢ / ask 92¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 7 events, 70 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: VUI Labs, StepFun, SpeechifyAI, SpaceXAI, Smallest.ai, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Inworld, Google, Fish Audio, ElevenLabs, Cartesia, Async, Amazon, Alibaba
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Xiaomi, Thinking Machines, OpenAI, Nvidia, Mistral, MiniMax, Meta, Kimi, Google, GLM, DeepSeek, Cohere, Alibaba
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: SpaceXAI, Reve, Recraft, OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft, Krea, HiDream, Google, Bytedance, Black Forest Labs
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Tracking: Vidu, SpaceXAI, Skywork AI, PixVerse, MiniMax, Lightricks, KlingAI, Google, ByteDance, Alibaba
Open Source market share on Sep 12th — 9 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75% | — |
| Above 72.5% | — |
| Above 70% | — |
| Above 67.5% | — |
| Above 65% | — |
| Above 62.5% | — |
| Above 60% | — |
| Above 57.5% | — |
| Above 55% | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
Open Source market share on Sep 16th — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET
Tencent market share this week: Above 7% (bid 22¢ / ask 85¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 4:50 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 83 markets
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula, Пешта, Tera Mera Rishta, Sunflower, Sebebi Yar (Live), Mutta Kalakki, Mallepoola Pallaki, KALYANI (Remix), Irumudi Kattu, Hootie Frutti, Golden, FALLEN ANGEL, Dai Dai, Barsaat, Animal
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Tera Mera Rishta, &TEAM 'Mark on Me' Official MV, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NEVER ENOUGH - Arian Romal (Official Music Video) INTERNATIONAL DADDY ALBUM, Golden, EVAN (에반) 'Death of Me' Official MV, Dai Dai, CLICK, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu), Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Tera Mera Rishta, &TEAM 'Mark on Me' Official MV, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NEVER ENOUGH - Arian Romal (Official Music Video) INTERNATIONAL DADDY ALBUM, Golden, EVAN (에반) 'Death of Me' Official MV, Dai Dai, CLICK, Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: What You Need, Sunflower, Smooth Criminal, misery., Life Goes On, Jolene, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Hootie Frutti, Golden, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, Animal, AH HA, 9 to 5
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Slipknot - Arsenal [OFFICIAL VIDEO], SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Reap What You Sow, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, BbY WOW, AH HA
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 10 elimination — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Rick Devens | bid 19¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 22¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 51¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 24¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | bid 47¢ / ask 51¢ |
Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Primetime (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
💹 Financials — 7 events, 90 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.49% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.47% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.45% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.43% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.41% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 5.39% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 5.37% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 5.35% or above | bid 59¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 5.33% or above | bid 71¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 5.31% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 5.29% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.27% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.25% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.23% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.21% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.09% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.07% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.05% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 5.03% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 4.99% or above | bid 33¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 48¢ / ask 52¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 77¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.91% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 4.89% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.87% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 4.83% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.81% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.99% or above | ask 16¢ (no bids) |
| 4.97% or above | ask 20¢ (no bids) |
| 4.95% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 4.91% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.89% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 4.87% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 56¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 4.83% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.81% or above | bid 72¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.79% or above | bid 81¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.77% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.89% or above | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 4.87% or above | last 4¢ (book empty) |
| 4.85% or above | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| 4.83% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 4.81% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 4.79% or above | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| 4.77% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 14, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.69% or above | — |
| 4.67% or above | — |
| 4.65% or above | — |
| 4.63% or above | — |
| 4.61% or above | — |
| 4.59% or above | — |
| 4.57% or above | last 89¢ (book empty) |
| 4.55% or above | — |
| 4.53% or above | last 97¢ (book empty) |
| 4.51% or above | — |
| 4.49% or above | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| 4.47% or above | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| 4.45% or above | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| 4.43% or above | last 99¢ (book empty) |
| 4.41% or above | bid 75¢ / ask 99¢ |
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 4:24 PM ET
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $7,750? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
Tracking: Before Mar 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
🏛️ Politics — 17 events, 77 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 2¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 5¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 8¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 17¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 29¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 59¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 86¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 95¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 12, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.1% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.7% | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 39.6% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 39.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 39.4% | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 39.3% | bid 61¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 39.2% | bid 15¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 39.1% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 39.7% | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 18, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 25¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 4¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 3¢ / ask 70¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20) — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 20 | bid 10¢ / ask 37¢ |
| September 19 | bid 11¢ / ask 37¢ |
| September 18 | bid 10¢ / ask 37¢ |
| September 17 | bid 10¢ / ask 37¢ |
| September 16 | bid 13¢ / ask 37¢ |
| September 15 | bid 13¢ / ask 37¢ |
| September 14 | bid 13¢ / ask 37¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/12-9/18) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 45¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 3¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 6¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 8¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 12¢ / ask 80¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 275 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 5¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 18¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 26¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 60¢ / ask 91¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 23¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 9¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 18¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 15¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 24¢ / ask 86¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 3¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 14¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 17¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 19¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 21¢ / ask 88¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/13-9/19) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 11, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
Will the House pass data center power-cost standards?: Yes (bid 80¢ / ask 90¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET
Will data center power-cost standards become law?: Yes (bid 30¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?: Yes — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19): Above 0 — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/11-9/18): Above 38.6% (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Sep 11, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
Will EPA publish a final interim SGAR decision before July 2027?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Sep 10, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,467 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,666 | 17 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +14 more |
| 📊 Economics | 391 | 23 | Massachusetts gas price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, CPI-U index in [month], +20 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 361 | 55 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +52 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 32 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 17 | 3 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Netflix movie ranking, RUNNER UP NETFLIX MOVIE |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.