📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 31 at 6:30 PM ET through Nov 01 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 315 unique markets across 38 new events, plus 1,681 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Haley Stevens — bid 60¢ / ask 61¢
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027: Above 5% bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Above 4.5% bid 15¢ / ask 18¢, Above -1% bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
DoorDash total orders in Q1 2027: Above 980 million bid 94¢ / ask 98¢, Above 990 million bid 93¢ / ask 98¢, Above 1000 million bid 92¢ (no asks)
Will Republicans win 5+ of AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX Senate?: At least 5 — bid 28¢ / ask 33¢
2027 Governor Combo: which states will Republicans win?: Kentucky only, Louisiana only, Mississippi only all at bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Lowe's customer transactions in fiscal 2026: Above 775 million bid 1¢ / ask 9¢, Above 770 million bid 9¢ / ask 17¢, Above 765 million bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
Will Hillary Scholten endorse Mike Rogers?: Yes — bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Where will Haley Stevens work next?
- Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
- Will Haley Stevens lose a committee assignment or her ranking post?
- Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 8, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026
- 2027 Governor Combo: which states will Republicans win?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?
- Who will James Fishback endorse before Nov 3, 2026?
- Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?
- Will Hillary Scholten endorse Mike Rogers?
- Will Republicans win 5+ of AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX Senate?
- Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Affirm Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Afterpay Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027
- Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- DoorDash total orders in Q1 2027
- Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Klarna Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Lowe's customer transactions in fiscal 2026
- Lowe's Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q3 2026
- Lululemon Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q1 2027
- Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Temu Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Urban Outfitters Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
- Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 3 markets
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8 inches | bid 7¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 9 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 10 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 15¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 9 markets
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 5, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 10 markets
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Hike more than 25bps | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Hike 1-25bps | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Cut more than 25bps | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Cut 1-25bps | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in December — 5 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Hike more than 25bps | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Hike 1-25bps | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Cut more than 25bps | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Cut 1-25bps | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 9 markets
Where will Haley Stevens work next? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:58 PM ET
Tracking: Stellantis, NewsNation, General Motors, Fox News, Ford, CNN, CBS News / The Free Press
Will Haley Stevens lose a committee assignment or her ranking post?: Before Jan 3, 2027 (bid 37¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?: Haley Stevens (bid 60¢ / ask 61¢) — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 12:57 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 60 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yedhayya Saami | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ramayana: Judi Jodi (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir K, Sai P | AR Rahman, Shreya G, Kumar V | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Pós (Ao Vivo) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Guzarish | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dame Tu Cosita | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Daddy Yankee and Diljit Dosanjh - POKITO (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| ADDICTED | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yedhayya Saami | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ramayana: Judi Jodi (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir K, Sai P | AR Rahman, Shreya G, Kumar V | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Pós (Ao Vivo) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Guzarish | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dame Tu Cosita | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Daddy Yankee and Diljit Dosanjh - POKITO (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| ADDICTED | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Nov 2, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Thriller [YouTube video 5: 4V90AmXnguw] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Thriller [YouTube video 3: sOnqjkJTMaA] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Prelude to the End (An Animated Short Film) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Foogiano - Halfway In [Official Music Video] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Daddy Yankee and Diljit Dosanjh - POKITO (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Before AC/DC Were the Headliners, This Is How They Opened the Show | “Live Wire” 1979 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Alma Rota | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| ADDICTED | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 8, 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 42 markets
Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028? — 20 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Thomas Massie | — |
| Tim Burchett | bid 33¢ (no asks) |
| Spencer Pratt | — |
| Ritchie Torres | — |
| Rich McCormick | — |
| Pat Grassley | — |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | — |
| Mike Dunleavy | — |
| Lara Trump | — |
| Letitia James | — |
| Kari Lake | — |
| Joe Lombardo | — |
| Jeff Jackson | — |
| Doug Ducey | — |
| Don Davis | — |
| Dan Bongino | — |
| Chris Sununu | — |
| Ben Wikler | bid 28¢ (no asks) |
| Bryan Steil | — |
| Brian Kemp | — |
2027 Governor Combo: which states will Republicans win? — 8 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 3:25 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Republican sweep | bid 58¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Kentucky, Louisiana | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Kentucky, Mississippi | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Kentucky only | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Louisiana, Mississippi | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Louisiana only | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Mississippi only | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| None | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle? — 7 brackets — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 12.5 billion dollars | bid 6¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 12.25 billion dollars | bid 18¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 12 billion dollars | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 11.75 billion dollars | bid 41¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 11.5 billion dollars | bid 52¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 11.25 billion dollars | bid 64¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 11 billion dollars | bid 75¢ / ask 85¢ |
Who will James Fishback endorse before Nov 3, 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| David Jolly | bid 66¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Byron Donalds | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Ashley Moody | bid 4¢ / ask 14¢ |
Will Hillary Scholten endorse Mike Rogers?: Yes (bid 3¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Adam Hamilton (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET
Will Republicans win 5+ of AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX Senate?: At least 5 (bid 28¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET
💹 Financials — 20 events, 182 markets
Temu Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 14 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 13 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Lowe's customer transactions in fiscal 2026 — 11 brackets — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 790 million | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 785 million | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Above 780 million | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above 775 million | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 770 million | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 765 million | bid 38¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 760 million | bid 72¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 755 million | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 750 million | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 745 million | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| Above 740 million | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Klarna Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Afterpay Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Affirm Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Urban Outfitters Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Lowe's Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Lululemon Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026 — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027 — 6 brackets — listed Oct 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | bid 15¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 5% | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 5.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above -0.5% | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above -1% | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above -1.5% | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Nov 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Tracking: Above -15%, Above -14%, Above -13%
DoorDash total orders in Q1 2027 — 3 brackets — listed Nov 01, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1000 million | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| Above 990 million | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 980 million | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,681 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 1,061 | 69 | New Jersey gas price this week, US gas price up, Daily Diesel Price, +66 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 376 | 55 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +52 more |
| 💹 Financials | 157 | 11 | Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT, Monthly DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600, Fast food credit card spend array, +8 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 44 | 6 | Maximum daily count of ships through the Strait of Hormuz?, Trump approval rating, VoteHub GCB, +3 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 43 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.