📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 04 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 05 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 401 unique markets across 64 new events, plus 730 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Pernambuco Governor winner?: Victor Assis, Renan, Professora Camila all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?: Troy Jackson, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 9 elimination: Yash Patel bid 26¢ / ask 27¢, Taylor Brown bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Rick Devens bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Top Text to Speech AI this week: SpaceXAI bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, VUI Labs bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, StepFun bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13): Above 40 bid 7¢ / ask 9¢, Above 45 bid 6¢ / ask 9¢, Above 10 bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Top Open Source AI this week: Alibaba bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Thinking Machines bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, OpenAI bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
California Attorney General winner?: Michael E. Gates bid 13¢ / ask 16¢, Rob Bonta bid 87¢ / ask 97¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Big Brother Season 28 · Week 9 elimination
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Diesel price at year-end 2026
- Diesel price on Election Day
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
- How low will US diesel prices get in 2026?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/7-9/13)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/6-9/12)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/5-9/11)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/6 - 9/12)
- Will the US create a national AI regulator?
- Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
- Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?
- Alabama Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
- Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo
- Arizona Corporation Commission party breakdown?
- Bexar County District Attorney winner?
- Brazil Federal District Governor winner?
- California Attorney General winner?
- California Insurance Commissioner winner?
- Croat member of the Presidency winner?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11)
- Hamilton mayoral election winner?
- Hennepin County Attorney winner?
- Iowa State Auditor winner?
- Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
- Mississauga mayoral election winner?
- Montana Supreme Court winner?
- Pernambuco Governor winner?
- Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?
- Serb member of the Presidency winner?
- Taichung mayoral election winner?
- Taipei mayoral election winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?
- Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026?
- Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner?
- Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?
- Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
- Will Eric Rosen be retained on the Kansas Supreme Court?
- Will Missouri Proposition A pass?
- Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
- Will Robert Jarosh be retained on the Wyoming Supreme Court?
All New Events
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 3 markets
Rain in Miami in Sep 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Sep 05, 2026 at 7:40 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 14 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 15 inches | bid 2¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 16 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 15¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| StepFun | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SpeechifyAI | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Smallest.ai | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Nvidia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Inworld | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| ElevenLabs | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cartesia | bid 80¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Async | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Amazon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Alibaba | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Thinking Machines | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Meta | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Kimi | bid 75¢ / ask 83¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ | |
| GLM | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cohere | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Reve | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Recraft | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| OpenAI | bid 89¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Nvidia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Microsoft | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Krea | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| HiDream | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ | |
| Bytedance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ | |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 55¢ / ask 64¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 53 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, Still, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NAA PUSHDE (Teaser) - Neha Kakkar | Akanksha Chaudhary & Yogesh Rawat | Harsh Nussi | Anshul Garg, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat Mein Aaya (Official Video) - Mr Dutt | Tanu Rawat | New Haryanvi Songs 2026, Barbaadi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, Still, Shararat, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Parvati, NAA PUSHDE (Teaser) - Neha Kakkar | Akanksha Chaudhary & Yogesh Rawat | Harsh Nussi | Anshul Garg, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, Dai Dai, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat Mein Aaya (Official Video) - Mr Dutt | Tanu Rawat | New Haryanvi Songs 2026, Barbaadi
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 6, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
Tracking: Sunflower, Still, SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video), Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, Janice STFU, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, Belly Gang Kushington - WTF GOIN (Official Music Video) ft. 21 Savage, BbY WOW, AH HA, 9 To 5 (Official Video)
Big Brother Season 28 · Week 9 elimination — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yash Patel | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Taylor Brown | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Rick Devens | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Melody Morris | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Drew Campbell | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dee Valladares | bid 33¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angela Murray | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
📊 Economics — 5 events, 79 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
Diesel price at year-end 2026 — 19 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
View market strikes (19 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $7.60 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $7.40 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $7.20 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $7.00 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Diesel price on Election Day — 15 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $7.20 | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| Above $7.00 | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $4.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
How low will US diesel prices get in 2026? — 12 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below $5.70 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $5.50 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $5.30 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $5.10 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $4.90 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $4.70 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $4.50 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $4.30 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Below $4.10 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Below $3.90 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Below $3.70 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Below $3.50 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? — 12 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $8.20 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $8.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $7.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $7.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $7.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $7.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $7.00 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.80 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.60 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.40 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.20 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.00 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
🏛️ Politics — 18 events, 86 markets
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Benny Johnson | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Matt Walsh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ben Shapiro | — |
| Jack Posobiec | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mike Cernovich | — |
| Dan Bongino | — |
| Kayleigh McEnany | — |
| Harrison Fields | — |
| Taylor Rogers | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Hogan Gidley | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Katie Pavlich | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Katie Zacharia | — |
| Lauren Bis | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pat Adams | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Kaelan Dorr | — |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) — 11 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 6¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 8¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 44¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 75¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 13 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 12 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 11 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 10 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 9 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 8 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| September 7 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/5-9/11) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) — 6 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5 | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:17 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 87¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13) — 5 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 84¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 91¢ / ask 98¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/7-9/13) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3
Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026, Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/6-9/12) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 04, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Will the US create a national AI regulator? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 22¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 39¢ / ask 46¢ |
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:06 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 43¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 34¢ / ask 87¢ |
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/6 - 9/12): Above 0 — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11): Above 38.8% (bid 44¢ / ask 47¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?: Before 2027 (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?: Yes (bid 49¢ / ask 57¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?: Yes (bid 77¢ / ask 85¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 32 events, 129 markets
Mississauga mayoral election winner? — 14 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mike Matulewicz | bid 1¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Mohsin Khan | bid 1¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Karam Ahmed | bid 1¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Gord Elliott | bid 1¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Fadi Naami | bid 1¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Frank Fang | bid 1¢ / ask 56¢ |
| David Shaw | bid 1¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Dipika Damerla | bid 2¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Carolyn Parrish | bid 5¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Bonnie Crombie | bid 5¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Ana Luisa Vasquez De Espinal | bid 1¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Alvin Tedjo | bid 2¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Amjad Jilani | bid 1¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Aamir Bhatti | bid 1¢ / ask 55¢ |
Hamilton mayoral election winner? — 13 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Scarlett Gillespie | bid 2¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Sasha Austin | bid 1¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Rob Cooper | bid 2¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Pamela Mitchell | bid 1¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Paul Fromm | bid 1¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Nathalie Xian Yi Yan | bid 1¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Kevin Walker | bid 1¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Keanin Loomis | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Erin Janus | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Ejaz Butt | bid 1¢ / ask 52¢ |
| David Harrison | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| David Mark Cherkewski | bid 1¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Andrea Horwath | bid 5¢ / ask 75¢ |
Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo — 12 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 05, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET
Tracking: Republican sweep, Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate, Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor, Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House, Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate, Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate, Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate, Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate, Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House, Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor, Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate, Democratic sweep
Brazil Federal District Governor winner? — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rico Pinheiro | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Professora Samara Mineiro | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Professor Robson | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Paula Belmonte | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Leandro Grass | bid 2¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Kiko Caputo | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Expedito Mendonça | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Elisson | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Celina Leão | bid 5¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Cappelli | bid 2¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Arruda | bid 4¢ / ask 35¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 5, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 39.5% | last 8¢ (book empty) |
| 40.1% | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| 40.0% | bid 4¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 39.9% | bid 70¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 39.8% | bid 12¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 39.7% | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 39.6% | last 4¢ (book empty) |
| 39.5% | last 7¢ (book empty) |
| Above 40.1% | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
Pernambuco Governor winner? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Victor Assis | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Raquel Lyra | bid 8¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Renan | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Professora Camila | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| João Campos | bid 11¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Professor Jeremias do Banco | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ivan Moraes | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Guilherme Fonseca | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Taipei mayoral election winner? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tang Hsin-min | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Shen Bo-yang | bid 3¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Lin Chih-cheng | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Kuo Hsi | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Hsiao Wen-kan | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Chiang Wan-an | bid 31¢ / ask 95¢ |
Richmond, BC mayoral election winner? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sheldon Starrett | bid 2¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Rob Howard | bid 2¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Mei Kang | bid 2¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Kash Heed | bid 7¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Dickens Cheung | bid 2¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Alexa Loo | bid 6¢ / ask 60¢ |
Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| War Materiel Act amendment | bid 17¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Fair taxes for married couples | bid 17¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Fireworks Initiative | bid 17¢ / ask 83¢ |
| AHV VAT financing | bid 17¢ / ask 83¢ |
Taichung mayoral election winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Hong Li-hua | bid 2¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Ho Hsin-chun | bid 13¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Chiang Chi-chen | bid 18¢ / ask 87¢ |
Serb member of the Presidency winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zeljka Cvijanovic | bid 47¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Nebojsa Vukanovic | bid 5¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Marinko Bozovic | bid 7¢ / ask 38¢ |
Croat member of the Presidency winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zdenko Lucic | bid 2¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Slaven Kovacevic | bid 16¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Darijana Filipovic | bid 25¢ / ask 80¢ |
Bexar County District Attorney winner? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Luz Elena Chapa | bid 61¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Jason Wolff | bid 3¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Ashley Foster | bid 4¢ / ask 39¢ |
Arizona Corporation Commission party breakdown? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 1 Republican + 1 Democrat | bid 17¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 2 Republicans | bid 4¢ / ask 78¢ |
| 2 Democrats | bid 8¢ / ask 81¢ |
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robert G. Luna | bid 22¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Alex Villanueva | bid 4¢ / ask 78¢ |
Hennepin County Attorney winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Cedrick Frazier | bid 22¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Anders Folk | bid 12¢ / ask 78¢ |
California Attorney General winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rob Bonta | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Michael E. Gates | bid 13¢ / ask 16¢ |
Iowa State Auditor winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Taylor Wettach | bid 16¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Chris Cournoyer | bid 18¢ / ask 84¢ |
California Insurance Commissioner winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jane Kim | bid 24¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Ben Allen | bid 32¢ / ask 76¢ |
Montana Supreme Court winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Dan Wilson | bid 12¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Amy Eddy | bid 22¢ / ask 86¢ |
Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jaime Hawk | bid 29¢ / ask 85¢ |
| David Stevens | bid 15¢ / ask 71¢ |
Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Theo Angelis | bid 31¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Dave Larson | bid 14¢ / ask 69¢ |
Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maggie Ellis | bid 9¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Jimmy Blacklock | bid 12¢ / ask 91¢ |
Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| James P. Sullivan | bid 27¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Chari Kelly | bid 11¢ / ask 73¢ |
Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kyle Hawkins | bid 22¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Kristen Hawkins | bid 11¢ / ask 78¢ |
Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Gisela D. Triana | bid 11¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Brett Busby | bid 22¢ / ask 89¢ |
Alabama Supreme Court Place 8 winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Greg Shaw | bid 17¢ / ask 90¢ |
| AshLeigh Dunham | bid 10¢ / ask 83¢ |
Will Missouri Proposition A pass?: Yes (bid 12¢ (no asks)) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 10:06 PM ET
Will Eric Rosen be retained on the Kansas Supreme Court?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:17 PM ET
Will Robert Jarosh be retained on the Wyoming Supreme Court?: Yes (bid 45¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?: Yes (bid 45¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/4-9/11): Above 5.6% (bid 60¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Sep 04, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
730 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 430 | 56 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +53 more |
| 📊 Economics | 253 | 17 | Ohio gas price, North Carolina gas price, Pennsylvania gas price, +14 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 32 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.