📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 18 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 19 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 180 unique markets across 21 new events, plus 5,483 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Prime Day 2026 U.S. online spend: At least $34 billion bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, At least $32 billion bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, At least $30 billion bid 25¢ / ask 26¢
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in June 2026?: At least $3,500 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, At least $3,400 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least $3,300 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in June 2026?: At least HK$24,400 bid 52¢ / ask 53¢, At least HK$24,200 bid 55¢ / ask 56¢, At least HK$24,100 bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
Bank of England rate decision in July: Hike more than 25bps bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Cut more than 25bps bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?: By Dec 31, 2039 bid 24¢ / ask 25¢, By Dec 31, 2034 bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, By Dec 31, 2031 bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026?: At least ₩9,500 bid 62¢ / ask 63¢, At least ₩9,400 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, At least ₩9,300 bid 99¢ (no asks)
When will the Supreme Court finish its 2025 Term?: Before Jun 29, 2026 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Before Jun 26, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Jul 4, 2026 bid 92¢ / ask 94¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- When will the Supreme Court finish its 2025 Term?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Will the United Kingdom join the EU?
- Love Island UK S13: 2nd place couple
- Love Island UK S13: 3rd place couple
- Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples
- Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination
- Love Island UK S13: Winners
- Love Island UK S13: Winning couple
- Airbnb bookings in Q2
- How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026?
- How high will the Hang Seng Index get in June 2026?
- How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026?
- How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in June 2026?
- McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2
- Will the CAC 40 finish positive in June 2026?
- Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?
- Will the Russell 2000 Index finish positive in June 2026?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 1 market
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?: Before Jun 27, 2026 (bid 34¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
📊 Economics — 2 events, 13 markets
Prime Day 2026 U.S. online spend — 8 brackets — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $34 billion | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least $32 billion | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least $30 billion | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $28 billion | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least $26 billion | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
| At least $24 billion | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| At least $22 billion | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| At least $20 billion | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
Bank of England rate decision in July — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 78¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 8 markets
When will the Supreme Court finish its 2025 Term? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 29, 2026 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Jun 26, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Before Jul 4, 2026 | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 30¢ / ask 66¢ |
Will the United Kingdom join the EU? — 3 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:46 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| By Dec 31, 2039 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| By Dec 31, 2034 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| By Dec 31, 2031 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
Which bills will become law in 2026?: NO FAKES Act (bid 19¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 122 markets
Love Island UK S13: 3rd place couple — 36 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:29 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mica and Chidi | — |
| Mica and Finley | — |
| Angelista and Chidi | — |
| Angelista and Finley | — |
| Ellie and Chidi | — |
| Ellie and Finley | — |
| Jasmine and Chidi | — |
| Jasmine and Finley | — |
| Lola and Chidi | — |
| Lola and Finley | — |
| Yasmine and Chidi | — |
| Yasmine and Finley | — |
| Priya and Chidi | — |
| Priya and Finley | — |
| Namibia and Chidi | — |
| Namibia and Finley | — |
| Halle and Aidan | — |
| Halle and Sam | — |
| Halle and Sean | — |
| Halle and Samraj | — |
| Halle and Lorenzo | — |
| Halle and Kavan | — |
| Halle and Tommy | — |
| Halle and Simba | — |
| Halle and Chidi | — |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island UK S13: 2nd place couple — 36 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
Tracking: Mica and Chidi, Mica and Finley, Angelista and Chidi, Angelista and Finley, Ellie and Chidi, Ellie and Finley, Jasmine and Chidi, Jasmine and Finley, Lola and Chidi, Lola and Finley, Yasmine and Chidi, Yasmine and Finley, Priya and Chidi, Priya and Finley, Namibia and Chidi, Namibia and Finley, Halle and Aidan, Halle and Sam, Halle and Sean, Halle and Samraj, Halle and Lorenzo, Halle and Kavan, Halle and Tommy, Halle and Simba, Halle and Chidi, +11 more
Love Island UK S13: Winning couple — 36 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mica and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Mica and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Angelista and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Angelista and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ellie and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ellie and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Jasmine and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Jasmine and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lola and Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lola and Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Yasmine and Chidi | — |
| Yasmine and Finley | — |
| Priya and Chidi | — |
| Priya and Finley | — |
| Namibia and Chidi | — |
| Namibia and Finley | — |
| Halle and Aidan | — |
| Halle and Sam | — |
| Halle and Sean | — |
| Halle and Samraj | — |
| Halle and Lorenzo | — |
| Halle and Kavan | — |
| Halle and Tommy | — |
| Halle and Simba | — |
| Halle and Chidi | — |
+ 11 more outcomes
Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Mica and Chidi | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Mica and Finley | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Angelista and Chidi | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Angelista and Finley | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Ellie and Chidi | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
Love Island UK S13: Winners — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Halle | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Tina | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Namibia | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Chidi | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Finley | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Halle | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Tina | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
💹 Financials — 9 events, 36 markets
How high will the CAC 40 get in June 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least €8,800 | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least €8,750 | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least €8,700 | bid 27¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least €8,650 | bid 33¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least €8,600 | bid 56¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least €8,550 | bid 48¢ / ask 87¢ |
| At least €8,500 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least €8,450 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in June 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $3,500 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least $3,400 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least $3,300 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| At least $3,200 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| At least $3,100 | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least $3,000 | bid 76¢ / ask 77¢ |
| At least $2,990 | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
How high will the Hang Seng Index get in June 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least HK$24,500 | bid 24¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least HK$24,400 | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least HK$24,300 | bid 55¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least HK$24,200 | bid 55¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least HK$24,100 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| At least HK$24,000 | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least ₩9,100 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least ₩9,200 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least ₩9,300 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| At least ₩9,400 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least ₩9,500 | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
Airbnb bookings in Q2 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?: Positive return in June 2026 (bid 36¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET
Will the CAC 40 finish positive in June 2026?: Positive return in June 2026 (bid 57¢ / ask 58¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET
Will the Russell 2000 Index finish positive in June 2026?: Positive return in June 2026 (bid 56¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Jun 18, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,483 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,100 | 8 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +5 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 60 | 4 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +1 more |
| 📊 Economics | 34 | 5 | US Gulf Coast jet fuel price weekly, Weekly initial jobless claims, Fed tweets, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.