Kalshi Markets: Providence Mayor, Israel Mandate, Anthropic

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 18 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 19 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 457 unique markets across 158 new events, plus 6,672 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

2 events

10 markets

🎬 Entertainment

5 events

57 markets

🗳️ Elections

6 events

12 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

100 markets

🏛️ Politics

17 events

54 markets

💹 Financials

118 events

224 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Providence Mayor winner?: David Talan — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Trump +5 or more bid 95¢ / ask 96¢, Trump +10 or more bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, Trump +30 or more bid 4¢ / ask 6¢

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?: Gadi Eisenkot bid 47¢ / ask 48¢, Yair Lapid bid 2¢ / ask 5¢, Yair Golan bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

Anthropic market share this week: Above 4.1% bid 95¢ / ask 96¢, Above 3.7% bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 6.1% bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

OpenAI market share this week: Above 19.9% bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 21.2% bid 3¢ / ask 5¢, Above 14.7% bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th: ByteDance bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Tencent bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, Moonshot bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?: 5.24% or above bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, 5.02% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 5.14% or above bid 59¢ / ask 61¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

🔬 Science and Technology

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 10 markets

Hungary rate decision in November — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	bid 21¢ / ask 91¢
Hike more than 25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 44¢
Hike 1-25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 44¢
Cut more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 45¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢

Bank Indonesia rate decision in November — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 4:21 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Maintain current rate	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Hike more than 25bps	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Hike 1-25bps	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 28¢
Cut 1-25bps	bid 1¢ / ask 79¢

🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 57 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 20, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 11¢ / ask 15¢
TRALALA	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video)	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Shararat	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Parvati	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 14: z5y8Clp_TdE]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA \| THE KIDD	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dai Dai	bid 20¢ / ask 22¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 20¢ / ask 56¢
Basinga Balaalu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Barsaat	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 20, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
TRALALA	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video)	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Shararat	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Parvati	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 14: z5y8Clp_TdE]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KAALI HOODIE (MUSIC VIDEO) SIDHU MOOSE WALA FT BOHEMIA \| THE KIDD	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dai Dai	bid 13¢ / ask 25¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 2¢ / ask 39¢
Basinga Balaalu	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Barsaat	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 20, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Todo Lo Fue	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
The Aura Farmer	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video)	bid 12¢ / ask 79¢
Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)	bid 6¢ / ask 50¢
Nicole Kidman	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Janice STFU	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
If I Get High (Official Video)	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Going On A Date - NSP	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dai Dai	bid 27¢ / ask 77¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 11: hLOheGDwD_0]	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 4: nUsrYVxrDwI]	bid 6¢ / ask 74¢
BbY WOW	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alma Rota	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
AH HA	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

"Shroom Clouds" by A$AP Rocky, reggie, and Jeremih · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026) — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 19, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET

Tracking: Rank 7 to 10, Rank 75 to 100, Rank 5 to 6, Rank 51 to 74, Rank 41 to 50, Rank 3 to 4, Rank 31 to 40, Rank 21 to 30, Rank 1 to 2, Rank 16 to 20, Rank 11 to 15

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026: At least 5 weeks (bid 2¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 6 events, 12 markets

Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:33 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Trump +5 or more	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Trump +30 or more	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Trump +25 or more	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
Trump +20 or more	bid 59¢ / ask 68¢
Trump +15 or more	bid 90¢ / ask 97¢
Trump +10 or more	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

2028 Republican presidential nominee — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 4:57 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Chris Sununu	last 1¢ (book empty)
Tim Scott	last 1¢ (book empty)

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:25 PM ET

Providence Mayor winner?: David Talan (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET

Will Democrats win all House seats bordering Mexico in 2026?: Yes (bid 17¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET

Will Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?: Yes (bid 25¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:14 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 100 markets

Where will Waymo operate before 2028? — 18 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 4:36 PM ET

View market options (18 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tokyo, Japan	—
St. Louis, MO	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Seattle, WA	—
Sacramento, CA	—
Portland, OR	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Pittsburgh, PA	—
Philadelphia, PA	—
New York, NY	ask 94¢ (no bids)
New Orleans, LA	—
Minneapolis, MN	—
London, UK	—
Detroit, MI	—
Washington, DC	—
Chicago, IL	—
Charlotte, NC	bid 21¢ / ask 99¢
Boston, MA	—
Baltimore, MD	—
Toronto, Canada	—

Anthropic market share this week — 10 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 6.1%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 5.4%	bid 19¢ / ask 23¢
Above 5.0%	bid 48¢ / ask 52¢
Above 4.9%	bid 58¢ / ask 62¢
Above 4.8%	bid 59¢ / ask 63¢
Above 4.7%	bid 75¢ / ask 79¢
Above 4.6%	bid 81¢ / ask 84¢
Above 4.4%	bid 91¢ / ask 93¢
Above 4.1%	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 3.7%	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25 — 10 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 174T tokens	bid 8¢ / ask 77¢
Above 172T tokens	bid 10¢ / ask 77¢
Above 170T tokens	bid 14¢ / ask 77¢
Above 168T tokens	bid 17¢ / ask 78¢
Above 166T tokens	bid 19¢ / ask 79¢
Above 164T tokens	bid 20¢ / ask 77¢
Above 162T tokens	bid 23¢ / ask 77¢
Above 160T tokens	bid 50¢ / ask 78¢
Above 158T tokens	bid 50¢ / ask 83¢
Above 156T tokens	bid 52¢ / ask 76¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Xiaomi	bid 63¢ / ask 72¢
Tencent	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Moonshot	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
MiniMax	bid 5¢ / ask 10¢
Meituan	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
DeepSeek	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
ByteDance	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Baidu	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Alibaba	bid 10¢ / ask 16¢

Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 20.8%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 20.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
Above 19.8%	bid 14¢ / ask 17¢
Above 19.6%	bid 17¢ / ask 20¢
Above 19.3%	bid 18¢ / ask 21¢
Above 19.0%	bid 26¢ / ask 29¢
Above 18.0%	bid 54¢ / ask 57¢
Above 16.6%	bid 84¢ / ask 87¢

DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 27.7%	bid 13¢ / ask 16¢
Above 26.4%	bid 45¢ / ask 49¢
Above 25.5%	bid 71¢ / ask 75¢
Above 25.3%	bid 78¢ / ask 82¢
Above 25.0%	bid 71¢ / ask 87¢
Above 24.8%	bid 87¢ / ask 90¢
Above 24.6%	bid 82¢ / ask 92¢
Above 23.8%	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢
Above 22.7%	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.2%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 19.9%	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 19.0%	bid 19¢ / ask 22¢
Above 18.7%	bid 25¢ / ask 28¢
Above 18.4%	bid 32¢ / ask 35¢
Above 18.1%	bid 41¢ / ask 45¢
Above 17.7%	bid 55¢ / ask 58¢
Above 16.5%	bid 79¢ / ask 83¢
Above 14.7%	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic

🔗 View on Kalshi →

🏛️ Politics — 17 events, 54 markets

Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 1:11 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tim Burchett	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
Stuart McWhorter	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
No one	bid 5¢ / ask 68¢
Marsha Blackburn	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
Glenn Jacobs	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
Damon Hininger	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
Diana Harshbarger	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
Cameron Sexton	bid 3¢ / ask 66¢
Chuck Fleischmann	bid 4¢ / ask 67¢
Bill Lee	bid 2¢ / ask 66¢
Andy Ogles	bid 2¢ / ask 66¢

Who will Trump nominate as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Nicole Malliotakis	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
Michael Psaros	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
Josh Huck	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
John Georges	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
John Catsimatidis	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
Geoffrey Pyatt	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
Gus Bilirakis	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
Dean Spanos	bid 4¢ / ask 73¢
Debbie Matenopoulos	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yair Lapid	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Yair Golan	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Naftali Bennett	bid 4¢ / ask 10¢
Gadi Eisenkot	bid 47¢ / ask 48¢
Benjamin Netanyahu	bid 37¢ / ask 44¢
Amir Ohana	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Avigdor Lieberman	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 19, 2026 at 5:40 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2027, Before Nov 13, 2026, Before Dec 19, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will any U.S. state change its name? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:41 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2030	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 2¢ / ask 18¢

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Jesse Ventura	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Tina Smith	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Ben Schierer	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Jacob Frey	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢

When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 28¢ / ask 36¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢

Will France declare a state of emergency? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 7:02 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 18¢ / ask 20¢

Will the U.S. move to revoke Ilhan Omar's citizenship in 2026?: Before Jan 2027 (bid 9¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:42 PM ET

Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?: In 2026 (bid 27¢ / ask 32¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET

Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan?: Yes (bid 14¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET

Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?: Before Nov 1, 2026 (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET

Will federal student loan wage garnishment resume before Jul 1, 2027?: Yes (bid 60¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET

Will the Eisenhower Executive Office Building be painted in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET

Will work on the East Potomac golf course resume in 2026?: Yes (bid 42¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 6:46 PM ET

Will the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?: Before 2027 (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 6:46 PM ET

💹 Financials — 118 events, 224 markets

IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026 — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 4:04 PM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 220,000 points	—
At least 219,000 points	—
At least 218,000 points	—
At least 217,000 points	—
At least 216,000 points	—
At least 215,000 points	—
At least 214,000 points	—
At least 213,000 points	—
At least 212,000 points	—
At least 211,000 points	—
At least 210,000 points	—
At least 209,000 points	—
At least 208,000 points	—
At least 207,000 points	—
At least 206,000 points	—
At least 205,000 points	—
At least 204,000 points	—
At least 203,000 points	—
At least 202,000 points	—
At least 201,000 points	—
At least 200,000 points	—
At least 199,000 points	—
At least 198,000 points	—
At least 197,000 points	—
At least 196,000 points	—

+ 6 more

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.59% or above	ask 8¢ (no bids)
5.57% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.55% or above	ask 18¢ (no bids)
5.53% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 26¢
5.51% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 39¢
5.49% or above	bid 24¢ / ask 51¢
5.47% or above	bid 38¢ / ask 68¢
5.45% or above	bid 54¢ / ask 79¢
5.43% or above	bid 68¢ / ask 89¢
5.41% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 94¢
5.39% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
5.37% or above	bid 90¢ (no asks)
5.35% or above	bid 93¢ (no asks)
5.33% or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)
5.31% or above	bid 98¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.24% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
5.22% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
5.2% or above	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
5.18% or above	bid 27¢ / ask 35¢
5.16% or above	bid 43¢ / ask 48¢
5.14% or above	bid 59¢ / ask 61¢
5.12% or above	bid 72¢ / ask 75¢
5.1% or above	bid 76¢ / ask 86¢
5.08% or above	bid 85¢ / ask 92¢
5.06% or above	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
5.04% or above	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
5.02% or above	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
5% or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)
4.98% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)
4.96% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.14% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.12% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 18¢
5.1% or above	bid 11¢ / ask 26¢
5.08% or above	bid 21¢ / ask 37¢
5.06% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 49¢
5.04% or above	bid 43¢ / ask 63¢
5.02% or above	bid 54¢ / ask 74¢
5% or above	bid 65¢ / ask 84¢
4.98% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
4.96% or above	bid 82¢ / ask 98¢
4.94% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
4.92% or above	bid 92¢ (no asks)
4.9% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
4.88% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)
4.86% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.04% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 14¢
5.02% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 18¢
5% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 27¢
4.98% or above	bid 21¢ / ask 38¢
4.96% or above	bid 32¢ / ask 49¢
4.94% or above	bid 44¢ / ask 64¢
4.92% or above	bid 58¢ / ask 76¢
4.9% or above	bid 69¢ / ask 82¢
4.88% or above	bid 77¢ / ask 92¢
4.86% or above	bid 83¢ / ask 98¢
4.84% or above	bid 89¢ / ask 98¢
4.82% or above	bid 92¢ (no asks)
4.8% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
4.78% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)
4.76% or above	bid 99¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
4.89% or above	ask 7¢ (no bids)
4.87% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
4.85% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 16¢
4.83% or above	bid 11¢ / ask 26¢
4.81% or above	bid 20¢ / ask 38¢
4.79% or above	bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
4.77% or above	bid 44¢ / ask 64¢
4.75% or above	bid 58¢ / ask 76¢
4.73% or above	bid 70¢ / ask 86¢
4.71% or above	bid 80¢ / ask 92¢
4.69% or above	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
4.67% or above	bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
4.65% or above	bid 95¢ (no asks)
4.63% or above	bid 96¢ (no asks)
4.61% or above	bid 97¢ (no asks)

Fear & Greed Index on Nov 13, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 6¢ / ask 47¢
Extreme Fear	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Neutral	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Greed	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Fear	ask 86¢ (no bids)

Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4960	bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
Above 4980	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Above 5000	ask 7¢ (no bids)

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.41064 (bid 50¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69804 (bid 43¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.541 (bid 61¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12135 (bid 40¢ / ask 41¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.33072 (bid 43¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Oct 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

6,672 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	5,085	26	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, US 7Y Treasury yield hourly, +23 more
📊 Economics	1,084	63	Virginia gas price, Nebraska gas price, Florida gas price, +60 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	414	56	Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +53 more
🎬 Entertainment	41	6	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE , +3 more
🏛️ Politics	31	5	VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +2 more
🔬 Science and Technology	17	2	Open-weight AI market share (OpenRouter), Meta market share

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Providence Mayor winner, Israel Government Mandate, Anthropi — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:23 PM ET, Oct 19)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 10 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 57 markets

🗳️ Elections — 6 events, 12 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 100 markets

🏛️ Politics — 17 events, 54 markets

💹 Financials — 118 events, 224 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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